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Nevis Range ski resort
Tier C — ENSO-proof

Europe

Nevis Range Snow Forecast

Off-season

Last season ended April 5, 2026

Best months to book: February, January, March · 30-yr snow record

Off-season — closed April 5

Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.

Last Snowfall

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Past 24 Hours

0cm

Past 48 Hours

0cm

Past 10 Days

0cm

7-Day Forecast

7cm

Snow Depth

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Updated: Oct 5, 6:03 PM•Weather at base: 100m
SnowSure™ ScoreWhen to book
Off-season

Nevis Range is closed for the season. Here is when it is usually best to book.

Best months to book: February, January, March.Dec2Jan1Feb3MarAprOpens 19 DecCloses 5 Apr

Best months to book

  1. #1February41cm avg
  2. #2January39cm avg
  3. #3March25cm avg

Ranked on 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. The live score returns when the lifts turn.

Snow Summary

1,221m
ECMWFGFSGEMJMAICONMétéo-FrMet Norway

Updated Oct 5, 2026 at 6:03 PM

0cm
24h
7cm
Past 10d
7-Day Forecast
0
Prev10d
—
Now5
—
T6
0
W7
—
T8
—
F9
7
S10
—
S11
Days 8–14 and every model are in Pro.Unlock with Pro
Past
Today
Forecast

Hourly Forecast

5 Mon
8° / 2°
6 Tue
5° / -0°
7 Wed
2° / -2°
8 Thu
3° / -3°
9 Fri
6° / 1°
10 Sat
1° / -0°
11 Sun
3° / 0°
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight12 Mon13 Tue14 Wed15 Thu16 Fri17 Sat18 Sun
Conditions🌧️🌧️☁️🌧️🌧️🌧️🌧️🌧️🌧️☁️⛅⛅🌧️🌧️🌧️🌧️🌧️🌧️☁️☁️☁️
light drizzlelight drizzlecloudylight drizzlelight drizzlelight drizzlelight drizzledrizzlelight drizzlecloudysome cloudssome cloudslight drizzlelight drizzledrizzlelight rainlight raindrizzlecloudycloudycloudy
Summit1,221 mModeled
Temp°C6°5°5°2°4°1°0°1°-1°-1°2°0°3°3°3°0°1°0°1°3°1°
Feels like°C2°0°1°-1°0°-2°-4°-2°-4°-4°-1°-4°-2°-2°-1°-5°-5°-4°-3°-1°-2°
Snowcm·····0.20.70.11·····1.37.18.35.20.1·1.4
Precipmm4.50.92.80.70.51.01.02.71.5·0.27.91.62.015.810.211.87.40.2·2.0
Windkm/h2021168127695499192117202317111211
Mid-mountain661 mModeled
Temp°C10°8°9°6°8°5°3°5°2°2°6°3°6°7°7°4°4°4°5°7°5°
Feels like°C7°4°5°3°5°3°1°2°0°0°3°0°3°2°3°-1°0°0°2°4°2°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm4.50.92.80.70.51.01.02.71.5·0.27.91.62.015.810.211.87.40.2·2.0
Windkm/h2021168127695499192117202317111211
Base100 mModeled
Temp°C13°12°12°9°12°9°7°9°6°6°10°7°10°10°10°7°8°8°8°10°9°
Feels like°C11°8°10°8°9°7°5°6°4°4°7°5°7°7°8°4°4°5°6°8°7°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm4.50.92.80.70.51.01.02.71.5·0.27.91.62.015.810.211.87.40.2·2.0
Windkm/h2021168127695499192117202317111211
Humidity%998089957293968796987096988998979897927995
0°C linem—————————————————————
Sunhours

Freeze line is the height where rain turns to snow. Plain: straight from the models. Marked ○: estimated from temperature. Sun is hours of actual sunshine, not day length; blank means we have no reading.

Forecast Range · SnowSure Pro

Every model for Nevis Range, side by side for 14 days

Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here. Free for 14 days, then yearly.

Unlock with Pro

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For Nevis Range (alps), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

  • 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
  • 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
  • 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Snowfall Forecast Maps

Scotland region

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27

Nevis Range El Niño rank & forecast

Nevis Range ranks #244 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier C, −2% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier C — ENSO-proof: Strong El Niño winters looked like a normal year here — within about ±3% of this resort’s own 30-year snowfall average. Not a jackpot, not a bust: a hedge if you’re planning around El Niño.

#244 of 488Tier C — ENSO-proof

Strong-event signal: −2% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Nevis Range averaged -2% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. El Niño has historically made little difference here — this is an ENSO-proof mountain, for winter 2026-27 as in past events. Analog winters: '97-98 -33%, '15-16 +28%, '23-24 0%. A pattern, not a promise.

'97-98 −34%'15-16 +28%'23-24 0%

Signal = average snowfall in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996 ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24) vs this resort's own 30-year ERA5 baseline. n=3 — a lean, not a law. Updated monthly against measured snowfall Dec–Mar.

Full El Niño report →

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 10 past El Niño winters at Nevis Range, ERA5 season snowfall median was 122 cm (48 in), about 18% below this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

JAS 2026 · ANOM +2.16°C

Analog season median

122cm

10 El Niño winters · 18% below median

All-season median

149cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)

PhaseSeasonsMedianp25–p75Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent10122cm104cm – 189cm2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009
La Niña12169cm150cm – 195cm2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010
ENSO-neutral8136cm124cm – 157cm2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Local Reports

0 reports

How accurate is this forecast?

We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.

→

Frequently asked questions about Nevis Range

How much snow is Nevis Range getting this week?
The SnowSure™ blend forecasts about 7 cm (3 in) of snow at Nevis Range over the next 7 days.
What is the 14-day snow forecast for Nevis Range?
The full 14-day forecast for Nevis Range — the SnowSure™ blend and every model we track, day by day — is part of SnowSure Pro. The first 7 days are free on this page.
How accurate are SnowSure forecasts for Nevis Range?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell and publish the results — see our forecast verification pages for model-by-model accuracy, updated continuously.