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Niseko Annupuri ski resort

Asia

Niseko Annupuri Snow Forecast

Off-season

Closed for the season · reopens Dec 7

Best months to book: February, January, March · 30-yr snow record

Off-season

Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.

Last Snowfall

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Past 24 Hours

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Past 48 Hours

0cm

Past 10 Days

0cm

7-Day Forecast

0cm

Snow Depth

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Updated: Sep 22, 7:01 PMWeather at base: 400m
SnowSure™ ScoreWhen to book
Off-season

Niseko Annupuri is closed for the season. Here is when it is usually best to book.

Best months to book: February, January, March.NovDec2Jan1Feb3MarAprMay

February

#1 to book

51cm avg

January

#2 to book

64cm avg

March

#3 to book

45cm avg

Ranked on 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. The live score returns when the lifts turn.

Snow Summary

1,308m

Updated Sep 22, 2026 at 7:01 PM

0cm
24h
0cm
Past 10d
7-Day Forecast
0
Prev10d
Now22
W23
T24
F25
S26
S27
M28
Days 814 and every model are in Pro.Unlock with Pro
Past
Today
Forecast

Hourly Forecast

23 Wed
14° /
24 Thu
12° /
25 Fri
11° / -1°
26 Sat
11° / -0°
27 Sun
13° /
28 Mon
15° /
29 Tue
11° /
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight30 Wed1 Thu2 Fri3 Sat4 Sun5 Mon6 Tue
Conditions☀️☀️☁️🌤️🌧️☁️☀️🌤️☀️☁️☁️☀️🌧️🌧️🌧️🌧️🌧️☁️☀️☀️
clearclearcloudymostly clearlight drizzlecloudyclearmostly clearclearcloudycloudyclearlight drizzlelight drizzlelight drizzlelight drizzlelight drizzlecloudyclearclearsome clouds
Summit1,308 mModeled
Temp°C12°10°10°10°12°10°13°10°
Feels like°C10°-1°10°12°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm···0.65.20.5·····0.60.31.25.10.51.00.9···
Windkm/h2624932913101111034629113
Mid-mountain854 mModeled
Temp°C11°15°12°13°12°13°13°15°10°13°16°11°13°
Feels like°C10°14°11°11°10°12°14°13°15°10°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm···0.65.20.5·····0.60.31.25.10.51.00.9···
Windkm/h2624932913101111034629113
Base400 mModeled
Temp°C14°18°10°15°15°10°11°15°12°16°16°18°13°16°19°11°14°16°
Feels like°C14°18°10°15°15°10°13°10°14°15°18°13°17°19°11°12°14°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm···0.65.20.5·····0.60.31.25.10.51.00.9···
Windkm/h2624932913101111034629113
Humidity%795793838999775189705985877898887593675390
0°C linem
Sunhours

Freeze line is the height where rain turns to snow. Plain: straight from the models. Marked ○: estimated from temperature. Sun is hours of actual sunshine, not day length; blank means we have no reading.

Forecast Range · SnowSure Pro

Every model for Niseko Annupuri, side by side for 14 days

Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here. Free for 14 days, then yearly.

Unlock with Pro

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For Niseko Annupuri (japan), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

  • 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
  • 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
  • 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Snowfall Forecast Maps

Hokkaido region

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27

Niseko Annupuri El Niño rank & forecast

Niseko Annupuri ranks Under review SnowSure resorts — Tier E, −15% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier EDeep timing play — aim late winter: Strong El Niño winters ran clearly below this resort’s own baseline (≤ −8%). Still skiable — schedule late season; one storm cycle can beat the climatology.

Under reviewTier EDeep timing play — aim late winter

Strong-event signal: −15% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

This resort carries no separate rank: its 30-year record is identical to niseko-grand-hirafu, which is the ranked entry for this measurement. At ~31km resolution the reanalysis cannot resolve them as different mountains, so publishing both would be publishing one number twice.

'97-98 −46%'15-16 −22%'23-24 +23%

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 10 past El Niño winters at Niseko Annupuri, ERA5 season snowfall median was 242 cm (95 in), about this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

JJA 2026 · ANOM +1.8°C

Analog season median

242cm

10 El Niño winters · ≈ long-term median

All-season median

243cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)

PhaseSeasonsMedianp25–p75Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent10242cm215cm – 286cm2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009
La Niña12243cm218cm – 353cm2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010
ENSO-neutral8249cm221cm – 315cm2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Local Reports

0 reports

How accurate is this forecast?

We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.

Frequently asked questions about Niseko Annupuri

How much snow is Niseko Annupuri getting this week?
No significant snow is forecast at Niseko Annupuri over the next 7 days.
What is the 14-day snow forecast for Niseko Annupuri?
The full 14-day forecast for Niseko Annupuri — the SnowSure™ blend and every model we track, day by day — is part of SnowSure Pro. The first 7 days are free on this page.
How accurate are SnowSure forecasts for Niseko Annupuri?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell and publish the results — see our forecast verification pages for model-by-model accuracy, updated continuously.