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Norefjell ski resort
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Tier B — Favored

Europe

Norefjell Snow Forecast

Off-season

Closed for the season · reopens Nov 22

Best months to book: January, March, February · 30-yr snow record

Off-season

Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.

Last Snowfall

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Past 24 Hours

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Past 48 Hours

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Past 10 Days

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7-Day Forecast

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Snow Depth

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Updated: Sep 20, 3:03 PM•Weather at base: 180m
SnowSure™ ScoreWhen to book
Off-season

Norefjell is closed for the season. Here is when it is usually best to book.

Best months to book: January, March, February.NovDec1Jan3Feb2MarAprMay

January

#1 to book

55cm avg

March

#2 to book

38cm avg

February

#3 to book

37cm avg

Ranked on 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. The live score returns when the lifts turn.

Snow Summary

1,188m
ECMWFGFSGEMJMAICONMétéo-FrMet Norway

Updated Sep 20, 2026 at 3:03 PM

0cm
24h
0cm
Past 10d
7-Day Forecast
0
Prev10d
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Now20
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M21
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T22
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W23
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T24
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F25
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S26
Days 8–14 and every model are in Pro.Unlock with Pro
Past
Today
Forecast

Hourly Forecast

20 Sun
9° / 0°
21 Mon
10° / 1°
22 Tue
9° / 1°
23 Wed
7° / 3°
24 Thu
10° / 5°
25 Fri
9° / 4°
26 Sat
10° / 1°
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight27 Sun28 Mon29 Tue30 Wed1 Thu2 Fri3 Sat
Conditions☁️⛅☀️🌤️🌤️☀️☀️🌤️⛅🌤️☁️🌧️☁️☁️🌤️☁️☁️☁️🌤️🌧️🌤️
cloudysome cloudsclearmostly clearmostly clearclearclearmostly clearsome cloudsmostly clearcloudylight drizzlecloudycloudymostly clearcloudycloudycloudymostly clearlight drizzlemostly clear
Summit1,188 mModeled
Temp°C2°8°3°5°9°4°4°9°3°4°7°4°6°9°6°5°8°5°3°8°3°
Feels like°C-1°4°-1°0°4°-1°1°6°1°2°5°3°4°8°4°4°6°3°-1°5°1°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm·0.3·········0.6··0.6····0.30.3
Windkm/h615101614141532411213629105
Mid-mountain684 mModeled
Temp°C6°11°6°8°12°7°7°12°6°8°10°8°9°12°9°9°11°8°6°12°7°
Feels like°C3°8°3°4°8°3°5°10°4°6°9°6°8°12°8°8°10°7°3°9°5°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm·0.3·········0.6··0.6····0.30.3
Windkm/h615101614141532411213629105
Base180 mModeled
Temp°C9°15°9°11°15°10°10°15°10°11°13°11°12°16°12°12°14°12°10°15°10°
Feels like°C7°11°7°7°12°7°9°14°8°10°13°11°12°16°12°12°14°11°7°12°9°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm·0.3·········0.6··0.6····0.30.3
Windkm/h615101614141532411213629105
Humidity%845472624262745878838290977389938691765486
0°C linem—————————————————————
Forecast Range · SnowSure Pro

Every model for Norefjell, side by side for 14 days

Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here. Free for 14 days, then yearly.

Unlock with Pro

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For Norefjell (scandinavia), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

  • 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
  • 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
  • 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Snowfall Forecast Maps

Scandinavia region

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27

Norefjell El Niño rank & forecast

Norefjell ranks #137 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier B, +6% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier B — Favored: Modest El Niño upside (+3% to +8% vs normal). Often a solid pick, without the biggest Andes-style swings.

#137 of 488Tier B — Favored

Strong-event signal: +6% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Norefjell averaged +6% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. The pattern has historically leaned mildly in this resort's favor for winter 2026-27. Analog winters: '97-98 +13%, '15-16 -17%, '23-24 +22%. A pattern, not a promise.

'97-98 +13%'15-16 −17%'23-24 +22%

Signal = average snowfall in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996 ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24) vs this resort's own 30-year ERA5 baseline. n=3 — a lean, not a law. Updated monthly against measured snowfall Dec–Mar.

Full El Niño report →

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 10 past El Niño winters at Norefjell, ERA5 season snowfall median was 284 cm (112 in), about 5% above this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

JJA 2026 · ANOM +1.8°C

Analog season median

284cm

10 El Niño winters · 5% above median

All-season median

270cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)

PhaseSeasonsMedianp25–p75Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent10284cm262cm – 307cm2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009
La Niña12301cm217cm – 371cm2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010
ENSO-neutral8216cm197cm – 250cm2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Local Reports

0 reports

How accurate is this forecast?

We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.

→

Frequently asked questions about Norefjell

How much snow is Norefjell getting this week?
No significant snow is forecast at Norefjell over the next 7 days.
What is the 14-day snow forecast for Norefjell?
The full 14-day forecast for Norefjell — the SnowSure™ blend and every model we track, day by day — is part of SnowSure Pro. The first 7 days are free on this page.
How accurate are SnowSure forecasts for Norefjell?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell and publish the results — see our forecast verification pages for model-by-model accuracy, updated continuously.