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Nub's Nob ski resort
Indy PassBuy pass
Tier E — Deep timing play — aim late winter

📷 Nub's Nob

North America

Nub's Nob

Off-season

Closed for the season · reopens Nov 22

Conditions data updated Fri, Aug 28, 10:04 AM UTC · informational only

Off-season

Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.

Last Snowfall

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14-Day Forecast

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Snow Depth

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Updated: Aug 28, 10:04 AM•Weather at base: 278m

Overview

Nub's Nob is a ski resort in North America, United States, currently closed for the season (Closed for the season · reopens Nov 22). Conditions last updated 2026-08-28 10:04 UTC.

Resort Guide

Nub's Nob is located in Harbor Springs, Michigan, and features 248 acres of skiable terrain across 53 runs, catering to all ability levels. The resort is recognized for its meticulously groomed slopes, family-friendly atmosphere, and efficient lift system. Signature experiences include night skiing, a renowned ski school, and a variety of terrain parks, making it a popular destination for both beginners and seasoned skiers. Key amenities include a spacious day lodge, equipment rentals, and on-site dining options.

Resort Info

Summit408m
Base278m
Vertical130m
Lifts11
Runs53
Skiable Area248 acres
Average snowfall123 inches / 312 cm
CountryUnited States
Visit Resort Website →Follow on Instagram →View Trail Map →

Season dates

Projected openingNovember 22, 2026

Future dates are operator estimates and may change.

Ski passes

Indy Pass

Buy pass →

Access tiers change by season — confirm benefits on the pass operator's site.

Top Après Ski

The Nub's Pub – Located at the base of Nub's Nob, this cozy and welcoming bar is a favorite among skiers for its relaxed après-ski atmosphere, local craft beers, and hearty comfort food, making it the go-to spot to unwind after a day on the slopes.

Snow Summary

408mECMWF Model

Updated Aug 28, 2026 at 10:04 AM

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14-Day Forecast
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Prev10d
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Now28
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S29
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S30
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M31
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T3
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Today
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Snowfall Forecast Maps

Great Lakes & Midwest region

Current Conditions

Reported Fri, Aug 28, 10:04 AM UTC

Base

278m

Temp

13.1°C

Wind

0.7km/h

Snow Depth

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14-Day Forecast

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Mid-Mountain

343m

Temp

--°C

Wind

1km/h

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Summit

408m

Temp

12.3°C

Wind

0.7km/h

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14-Day Forecast

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El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27

Nub's Nob El Niño rank & forecast

Nub's Nob ranks #358 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier E, −10% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier E — Deep timing play — aim late winter: Strong El Niño winters ran clearly below this resort’s own baseline (≤ −8%). Still skiable — schedule late season; one storm cycle can beat the climatology.

#358 of 488Tier E — Deep timing play — aim late winter

Strong-event signal: −10% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Nub's Nob averaged -10% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. Historically this is a timing play rather than a reason to stay home: aim for late winter (February–March) in winter 2026-27. Analog winters: '97-98 -17%, '15-16 +8%, '23-24 -21%. A pattern, not a promise.

'97-98 −18%'15-16 +8%'23-24 −21%

Signal = average snowfall in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996 ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24) vs this resort's own 30-year ERA5 baseline. n=3 — a lean, not a law. Updated monthly against measured snowfall Dec–Mar.

Full El Niño report →

Live Conditions

Nub's Nob Webcams

All Webcams

Nub's Nob Ski Area

Nub's Nob Ski Area

2 webcams • Click to expand

Local Reports

0 reports
SnowSure™ Forecast Range

Daily Snowfall Forecast by Model

Black line = verified SnowSure™ blend (not a simple average). Weights update weekly from measured snowfall at SNOTEL stations and resort reports.

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For Nub's Nob (rockies), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

  • 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
  • 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
  • 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Hourly Forecast Detail

AM / PM / Night breakdown with wind and freezing level

NWP models refresh up to 4× daily · Last synced Aug 28, 10:04 AM

Hourly Forecast Detail
 
Today
19 / 120.3mm
Sat, Aug 29
22 / 152.1mm
Sun, Aug 30
21 / 184.5mm
Mon, Aug 31
27 / 1815.6mm
Tue, Sep 1
23 / 213mm
Wed, Sep 2
23 / 196.3mm
PeriodAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight
Snow (cm)000000000000000000
Precip (mm)00.30002.11.82.10.615.60002.70.35.11.20
Temp (°C)141915192217192019192521222222212321
Wind (km/h)4105172214141313121284610141211
Gusts (km/h)122913344630303325243631464432162929

14-Day Snow Forecast by Model

Summit elevation (408m)

ECMWF
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ICON
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Météo-Fr
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SnowSure™
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10-Day Forecast

Today

28

🌧️

19.3°

12°

12 km/h

Sat

29

🌧️

21.9°

14.6°

22 km/h

Sun

30

🌧️

21.1°

18.1°

16 km/h

Mon

31

🌦️

26.5°

17.9°

15 km/h

Tue

1

🌧️

23.2°

20.8°

12 km/h

Wed

2

🌧️

23.4°

18.6°

14 km/h

Thu

3

☁️

22.1°

15.9°

10 km/h

Fri

4

☁️

21.7°

14.8°

6 km/h

Sat

5

☁️

22.7°

14.4°

7 km/h

Sun

6

🌧️

24.9°

16.9°

21 km/h

Summit elevation (408m) • ECMWF model

Avalanche

No bulletin for this mountain

Avalanche.org (US avalanche centers)

This resort lies outside every forecast zone published by its national warning service, so no bulletin covers it.

Read the official bulletin ↗

SnowSure relays the official avalanche bulletin and does not issue avalanche forecasts. Read the full bulletin at the issuer’s link and make your own terrain decisions. Not a substitute for avalanche education, equipment, or local knowledge.

Season vs Historic

Updated Fri, Aug 28, 10:04 AM UTC

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Season Total

This Season to Date

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vs 5-Year Avg

Off-season · 148cm full-season avg

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vs 30-Year Avg

Off-season · 144cm full-season avg

148cm

5-Yr Avg by Now

The last completed season totaled ~225 cm. That's 52% above the 5-year average (148 cm). Versus the 30-year baseline: 56% above the 30-year average (144 cm).

Nub's Nob Snow History

Average annual snowfall is 152cm with an average of 87 snowfall days per season. The table below shows monthly averages across 30 seasons of archive data (modeled snowpack at mid-elevation).

Average monthly snowfall history
MonthAvg SnowfallSnowfall DaysAvg Base DepthMax Base DepthBiggest Snowfall
November17.1cm10 days3cm10cm4.3cm
December39.8cm20 days15cm28cm8.4cm
January34.2cm20 days30cm41cm6.3cm
February24.8cm15 days39cm47cm6.4cm
March21.4cm12 days31cm45cm7.8cm
April12cm7 days9cm23cm4.9cm
May0.6cm0 days0cm3cm1.5cm

Source: SnowSure archive · Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis at mid-elevation. Depth is modeled, not resort-reported.

Season at a Glance

Next season(2026-27)

Opens Nov 22, 2026

Multi-season averages will appear once SnowSure has tracked more than one full season.

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 10 past El Niño winters at Nub's Nob, ERA5 season snowfall median was 126 cm (50 in), about 19% below this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

MJJ 2026 · ANOM +1.39°C

Analog season median

126 cm

10 El Niño winters · 19% below median

All-season median

156 cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)

PhaseSeasonsMedianp25–p75Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent10126 cm121 cm – 161 cm2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009
La Niña12151 cm111 cm – 173 cm2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010
ENSO-neutral8174 cm156 cm – 192 cm2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Best Months to Visit

February

Peak Season

January

Peak Season

March

Good

December

Good

Note: Based on typical ski season patterns for this region.

Back to All Destinations

Frequently asked questions about Nub's Nob

Where is Nub's Nob?
Nub's Nob is a ski resort in the United States.
How high is Nub's Nob?
Nub's Nob runs from a base elevation of 278 m (912 ft) to a summit of 408 m (1,339 ft), giving a vertical drop of 130 m (427 ft).
How big is Nub's Nob?
Nub's Nob has 248 acres (100 hectares) of skiable terrain, 53 marked runs and 11 lifts.
Which ski pass covers Nub's Nob?
Nub's Nob is on the Indy Pass. Access terms such as blackout dates and day limits vary by pass tier, so check the pass operator for the current season.
How much snow does Nub's Nob get in a typical season?
Nub's Nob averages 123 inches / 312 cm of snowfall in a typical season. Any individual season can run well above or below that.
How will El Niño affect Nub's Nob in winter 2026-27?
El Niño Signal Rank: #358 of 488 SnowSure resorts · Tier E · strong-event signal -10% vs its own 30-yr average. In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Nub's Nob averaged -10% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. Historically this is a timing play rather than a reason to stay home: aim for late winter (February–March) in winter 2026-27. Analog winters: '97-98 -17%, '15-16 +8%, '23-24 -21%. A pattern, not a promise.