Skip to main content
Pebble Creek Ski Area ski resort

North America

Pebble Creek Ski Area Snow Forecast

Status unconfirmed

Best months to book: February, January, March · 30-yr snow record

Status unconfirmed

Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.

Last Snowfall

Oct 13

3d ago

Past 24 Hours

0cm

Past 48 Hours

0cm

Past 10 Days

5cm

7-Day Forecast

0cm

Snow Depth

--

Updated: Oct 16, 11:05 AM•Weather at base: 1,939m
SnowSure™ ScoreAI
Status unconfirmed

Pebble Creek Ski Area is closed for the season. Here is when it is usually best to book.

Best months to book: February, January, March.NovDec2Jan1Feb3MarAprMay

Best months to book

  1. #1February35cm avg
  2. #2January41cm avg
  3. #3March30cm avg

Ranked on 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. The live score returns when the lifts turn.

—

Depth

Resort closed — no current ski-base depth.

—

Recent

In the past week, there has been a total of 5cm of snowfall.

—

Forecast

Light snow possible this week.

—

Historic

Season-to-date snowfall is 1% of the 5-year average for this time of year.

Status unconfirmed · Data updated Fri, Oct 16, 11:05 AM UTC · informational only

Snow Summary

Updated Oct 16 at 11:05 AM

5cm
Season
5cm
Past 10 days
0cm
48h
0cm
24h
0cm
Today
0cm
Next 6 days
Days 8–14 · Pro
0
4
Seasontotal
Wed14
Thu15
14 daystotal
—
—
—
—
—
—
0
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
SunOct 4
Mon5
Tue6
Wed7
Thu8
Fri9
Sat10
Sun11
Mon12
Tue13
TODAY16
Sat17
Sun18
Mon19
Tue20
Wed21
Thu22
Fri23
Sat24
Sun25
Mon26
Tue27
Wed28
Thu29
Freezing line

Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro

Hourly Forecast

16 Fri
10° / -5°
17 Sat
11° / -3°
18 Sun
11° / -3°
19 Mon
11° / -3°
20 Tue
9° / 1°
21 Wed
11° / -2°
22 Thu
7° / -0°
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight23 Fri24 Sat25 Sun26 Mon27 Tue28 Wed29 Thu
Conditions☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️⛅☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️🌧️🌤️⛅☀️🌤️☀️🌧️⛅🌧️
clearclearclearclearclearclearsome cloudsclearclearclearclearclearlight drizzlemostly clearsome cloudsclearmostly clearclearlight drizzlesome cloudslight drizzle
Summit2,609 mModeled
Temp°C1°9°2°2°10°3°1°10°3°1°10°3°3°9°3°2°10°4°3°8°3°
Feels like°C-6°5°-4°-4°6°-3°-4°6°-2°-4°6°-2°-1°5°0°-3°7°0°-1°4°0°
Snowcm···············0.1····0.1
Precipmm············0.60.40.20.30.40.40.40.53.1
Windkm/h664611558461249114794333
Mid-mountain2,274 mModeled
Temp°C3°11°4°4°12°5°3°12°5°3°12°5°5°11°5°4°12°6°5°11°5°
Feels like°C-4°8°-1°-2°8°0°-1°8°0°-2°8°0°2°8°2°0°10°2°2°7°2°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm············0.50.30.20.30.30.30.40.42.6
Windkm/h664611558461249114794333
Base1,939 mModeled
Temp°C5°14°7°6°15°7°5°14°7°5°14°7°7°13°7°6°14°8°7°13°7°
Feels like°C-1°10°1°1°11°2°1°11°3°1°11°3°4°10°5°3°12°5°4°9°5°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm············0.40.30.20.20.30.20.30.32.2
Windkm/h664611558461249114794333
Humidity%764569674468654267694369906677875379857984
0°C linem—————————————————————
Sunhours

Freeze line is the height where rain turns to snow. Plain: straight from the models. Marked ○: estimated from temperature. Sun is hours of actual sunshine, not day length; blank means we have no reading.

Forecast Range · SnowSure Pro

Every model for Pebble Creek Ski Area, side by side for 14 days

Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here.

Unlock with Pro

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For Pebble Creek Ski Area (rockies), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

  • 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
  • 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
  • 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Snowfall Forecast Maps

Northern Rockies & Canadian Rockies region

14 Day map is in SnowSure ProUnlock with Pro

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27

Pebble Creek Ski Area El Niño rank & forecast

Pebble Creek Ski Area ranks #59 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier A, +11% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain: Historically snowed much more than normal in strong El Niño winters (≥ +8% vs this resort’s own 30-year average).

#59 of 488Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain

Strong-event signal: +11% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Pebble Creek Ski Area averaged +11% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. The pattern has historically been a friend here. With a record-strength event forecast for winter 2026-27, Pebble Creek Ski Area sits on the favorable side of the ledger. Analog winters: '97-98 0%, '15-16 -20%, '23-24 +54%. A pattern, not a promise.

'97-98 0%'15-16 −20%'23-24 +54%

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 10 past El Niño winters at Pebble Creek Ski Area, ERA5 season snowfall median was 181 cm (71 in), about 8% below this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

JAS 2026 · ANOM +2.16°C

Analog season median

181cm

10 El Niño winters · 8% below median

All-season median

197cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)

PhaseSeasonsMedianp25–p75Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent10181cm150cm – 226cm2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009
La Niña12205cm169cm – 242cm2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010
ENSO-neutral8208cm171cm – 255cm2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Local Reports

0 reports

How accurate is this forecast?

We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.

→

Frequently asked questions about Pebble Creek Ski Area

How much snow is Pebble Creek Ski Area getting this week?
No significant snow is forecast at Pebble Creek Ski Area over the next 7 days.
What is the 14-day snow forecast for Pebble Creek Ski Area?
The full 14-day forecast for Pebble Creek Ski Area — the SnowSure™ blend and every model we track, day by day — is part of SnowSure Pro. The first 7 days are free on this page.
How accurate are SnowSure forecasts for Pebble Creek Ski Area?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell and publish the results — see our forecast verification pages for model-by-model accuracy, updated continuously.