Name: SnowSure MCP Server
Author: SnowSure

Tier E — Deep timing play — aim late winter

North America

Projected to open Nov 27

Projected to open November 27, 2026

Best months to book: January, March, February · 30-yr snow record

Scroll for happiness

Projected to open Nov 27

Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.

Last Snowfall

Oct 13

3d ago

Past 24 Hours

0cm

Past 48 Hours

0cm

Past 10 Days

39cm

7-Day Forecast

12cm

Snow Depth

Updated: Oct 16, 12:07 PM•Weather at base: 914m

SnowSure™ ScoreWhen to book

Projected to open Nov 27

Powder King Mountain Resort is projected to open November 27, 2026. Here is when it is usually best to book.

Best months to book

#1January64cm avg
#2March51cm avg
#3February44cm avg

Ranked on 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. The live score returns when the lifts turn.

Snow Summary

Updated Oct 16 at 12:07 PM

Snow qualityHeavyAverageLightmeasuredestimated

Freezing line

36cm

Season

39cm

Past 10 days

0cm

48h

0cm

24h

0cm

Today

23cm

Next 6 days

Days 8–14 · Pro

Seasontotal

Wed14

Thu15

14 daystotal

—

SunOct 4

Mon5

Tue6

Wed7

Thu8

Fri9

Sat10

Sun11

Mon12

Tue13

TODAY16

Sat17

Sun18

Mon19

Tue20

Wed21

Thu22

Fri23

Sat24

Sun25

Mon26

Tue27

Wed28

Thu29

Freezing line

Snow qualityHeavyAverageLightmeasuredestimated

Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro

Hourly Forecast

	16 Fri 6° / -0°			17 Sat 1° / -3°			18 Sun 1° / -5°			19 Mon 0° / -6°			20 Tue -2° / -5°			21 Wed -1° / -3°			22 Thu -2° / -7°			Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
	AM	PM	Night	AM	PM	Night	AM	PM	Night	AM	PM	Night	AM	PM	Night	AM	PM	Night	AM	PM	Night	23 Fri	24 Sat	25 Sun	26 Mon	27 Tue	28 Wed	29 Thu
Conditions	⛅	🌧️	☁️	❄️	❄️	🌤️	☁️	⛅	☁️	☁️	🌧️	☁️	☁️	☁️	☁️	☁️	❄️	❄️	☁️	❄️	❄️	☁️	☁️	☀️	⛅	🌤️	☀️	☁️
	some clouds	drizzle	cloudy	snow	snow	mostly clear	cloudy	some clouds	cloudy	cloudy	light drizzle	cloudy	cloudy	cloudy	cloudy	cloudy	light snow	light snow	cloudy	light snow	snow	cloudy	cloudy	clear	some clouds	mostly clear	clear	cloudy
Summit1,676 mModeled
Temp°C	2°	5°	2°	-1°	0°	-1°	-2°	0°	-2°	-3°	0°	-3°	-4°	-2°	-3°	-2°	-1°	-2°	-2°	-1°	-3°	-4°	-4°	-4°	-3°	-3°	-3°	-4°
Feels like°C	-2°	0°	-3°	-7°	-5°	-6°	-8°	-5°	-8°	-7°	-4°	-8°	-8°	-8°	-8°	-7°	-6°	-7°	-6°	-6°	-8°	-9°	-9°	-9°	-8°	-7°	-7°	-10°
Snowcm	·	·	·	4.5	2	5.6	0.2	·	0.9	0.3	0.5	0.6	0.2	0.1	0.4	1.2	1.5	1.1	·	0.1	0.9	0.6	0.3	0.3	2.3	0.7	·	·
Precipmm	·	2.3	1.6	6.7	3.0	9.0	0.2	·	1.3	0.4	0.7	0.8	0.3	0.2	0.6	1.8	2.2	1.7	·	0.1	1.2	0.7	0.3	0.3	2.9	0.9	·	·
Windkm/h	19	15	12	14	18	12	14	11	11	3	6	5	7	16	10	15	12	14	9	9	9	8	4	4	6	5	5	14
Mid-mountain1,295 mModeled
Temp°C	5°	8°	4°	2°	3°	2°	0°	2°	0°	0°	2°	-1°	-1°	0°	-1°	1°	2°	0°	0°	1°	-1°	-2°	-2°	-1°	-0°	-1°	-1°	-1°
Feels like°C	1°	3°	0°	-4°	-2°	-3°	-6°	-2°	-5°	-5°	-1°	-5°	-6°	-5°	-5°	-4°	-3°	-4°	-3°	-3°	-5°	-7°	-7°	-7°	-6°	-4°	-4°	-7°
Snowcm	·	·	·	1.2	0.5	1.7	0.1	·	0.7	0.2	0.2	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.4	0.8	0.9	0.9	·	0.1	0.7	0.4	0.2	0.2	1.6	0.5	·	·
Precipmm	·	2.0	1.4	6.0	2.7	8.0	0.2	·	1.1	0.4	0.7	0.7	0.2	0.2	0.5	1.6	2.0	1.5	·	0.1	1.1	0.7	0.3	0.3	2.6	0.8	·	·
Windkm/h	19	15	12	14	18	12	14	11	11	3	6	5	7	16	10	15	12	14	9	9	9	8	4	4	6	5	5	14
Base914 mModeled
Temp°C	7°	10°	7°	4°	5°	4°	3°	5°	3°	2°	5°	2°	1°	3°	2°	3°	4°	3°	3°	4°	2°	1°	1°	1°	2°	2°	2°	1°
Feels like°C	3°	6°	3°	-1°	1°	0°	-3°	1°	-2°	-2°	2°	-3°	-3°	-2°	-3°	-2°	0°	-1°	-1°	-1°	-2°	-4°	-4°	-4°	-3°	-1°	-2°	-4°
Snowcm	·	·	·	0.5	0.2	0.8	·	·	0.4	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.1	·	·	0.4	0.5	0.5	·	0.1	0.5	0.4	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.5	·	·
Precipmm	·	1.8	1.2	5.3	2.4	7.0	0.2	·	1.0	0.3	0.6	0.6	0.2	0.1	0.5	1.4	1.7	1.3	·	0.1	1.0	0.6	0.3	0.3	2.2	0.7	·	·
Windkm/h	19	15	12	14	18	12	14	11	11	3	6	5	7	16	10	15	12	14	9	9	9	8	4	4	6	5	5	14
Humidity%	54	68	78	99	76	88	96	71	90	87	79	94	95	79	92	76	79	85	96	87	92	82	78	79	91	80	72	86
0°C linem	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	700	800	1,100	1,200	1,200	1,200	800
Sunhours																						6.2	5.7	8.5	7.6	6.5	7.9	5.5

Freeze line is the height where rain turns to snow. Plain: straight from the models. Marked ○: estimated from temperature. Sun is hours of actual sunshine, not day length; blank means we have no reading.

Forecast Range · SnowSure Pro

Every model for Powder King Mountain Resort, side by side for 14 days

Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here.

Unlock with Pro

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For Powder King Mountain Resort (rockies), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27

Powder King Mountain Resort El Niño rank & forecast

Powder King Mountain Resort ranks #461 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier E, −22% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier E — Deep timing play — aim late winter: Strong El Niño winters ran clearly below this resort’s own baseline (≤ −8%). Still skiable — schedule late season; one storm cycle can beat the climatology.

#461 of 488Tier E — Deep timing play — aim late winter

Strong-event signal: −22% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Powder King Mountain Resort averaged -22% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. Historically this is a timing play rather than a reason to stay home: aim for late winter (February–March) in winter 2026-27. Analog winters: '97-98 -19%, '15-16 -12%, '23-24 -35%. A pattern, not a promise.

'97-98 −19%'15-16 −12%'23-24 −36%

Signal = average snowfall in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996 ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24) vs this resort's own 30-year ERA5 baseline. n=3 — a lean, not a law. Updated monthly against measured snowfall Dec–Mar.

Full El Niño report →

Key

What the tiers mean

% vs each resort's own 30-year average in strong El Niño winters.

Tier	Signal	Means
A — Prime terrain	≥ +8%	Historically much snowier than normal.
B — Favored	+3% to +8%	Modest upside vs normal.
C — ENSO-proof	about −3% to +3%	Near-normal snowfall — a hedge, not a jackpot or bust.
D — Late bloomer	−3% to −8%	Often lighter early — aim Feb–Mar.
E — Timing play	≤ −8%	Often lighter overall — aim late winter.

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 10 past El Niño winters at Powder King Mountain Resort, ERA5 season snowfall median was 360 cm (142 in), about 5% below this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

JAS 2026 · ANOM +2.16°C

Analog season median

360cm

10 El Niño winters · 5% below median

All-season median

381cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)

Phase	Seasons	Median	p25–p75	Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent	10	360cm	323cm – 417cm	2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009
La Niña	12	404cm	359cm – 440cm	2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010
ENSO-neutral	8	404cm	358cm – 459cm	2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Local Reports

0 reports

How accurate is this forecast?

We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.

→

Frequently asked questions about Powder King Mountain Resort

How much snow is Powder King Mountain Resort getting this week?: The SnowSure™ blend forecasts about 12 cm (5 in) of snow at Powder King Mountain Resort over the next 7 days.
What is the 14-day snow forecast for Powder King Mountain Resort?: The full 14-day forecast for Powder King Mountain Resort — the SnowSure™ blend and every model we track, day by day — is part of SnowSure Pro. The first 7 days are free on this page.
How accurate are SnowSure forecasts for Powder King Mountain Resort?: We verify every forecast against what actually fell and publish the results — see our forecast verification pages for model-by-model accuracy, updated continuously.

Snow Summary

Hourly Forecast

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

Powder King Mountain Resort El Niño rank & forecast

ENSO seasonal analog

Local Reports

Frequently asked questions about Powder King Mountain Resort

@snow_sure

@snow_sure

Powder King Mountain Resort Snow Forecast

Snow Summary

Hourly Forecast

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

Powder King Mountain Resort El Niño rank & forecast

ENSO seasonal analog

Local Reports

Frequently asked questions about Powder King Mountain Resort

@snow_sure

@snow_sure