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Powder Mountain ski resort
Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain

North America

Powder Mountain Snow Forecast

Closed for the season

Best months to book: February, January, March · last season + 30-yr record

Closed for the season — closed April 12

Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.

Last Snowfall

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Past 24 Hours

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7-Day Forecast

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Snow Depth

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Updated: Sep 20, 10:03 PM•Weather at base: 2,012m
SnowSure™ Score2025-26 season
Closed for the season

Powder Mountain is closed for the season. Here is when it is usually best to book.

Best months to book: February, January, March. Best weeks: 22 Feb–28 Feb, 1 Mar–7 Mar, 8 Mar–14 Mar.Dec2Jan1Feb3MarAprOpens 12 DecCloses 12 Apr

February

#1 to book

45cm avg · scored 29.6

January

#2 to book

50cm avg

March

#3 to book

41cm avg · scored 17

Best weeks to book

  1. #122 Feb – 28 Febscored 29.6
  2. #21 Mar – 7 Marscored 32.1
  3. #38 Mar – 14 Marscored 14.1

Ranked on 25% last season's SnowSure score (2025-26) · 75% 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. The live score returns when the lifts turn.

Snow Summary

2,804m
ECMWFGFSGEMJMAICONMétéo-Fr

Updated Sep 20, 2026 at 10:03 PM

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Past 10d
7-Day Forecast
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S26
Days 8–14 and every model are in Pro.Unlock with Pro
Past
Today
Forecast

Hourly Forecast

20 Sun
11° / -1°
21 Mon
15° / -1°
22 Tue
13° / 3°
23 Wed
14° / 1°
24 Thu
17° / 0°
25 Fri
17° / 2°
26 Sat
16° / 5°
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight27 Sun28 Mon29 Tue30 Wed1 Thu2 Fri3 Sat
Conditions☀️☀️☀️⛅☀️☀️☀️🌧️🌧️☀️☀️☀️☀️☁️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️🌧️🌧️
clearclearclearsome cloudsclearclearcleardrizzlelight drizzleclearclearclearclearcloudyclearclearclearclearclearlight drizzlelight drizzle
Summit2,804 mModeled
Temp°C3°11°2°5°14°4°8°10°5°5°13°5°6°16°5°8°16°6°9°15°8°
Feels like°C1°8°-1°2°12°1°5°8°3°2°11°2°3°14°2°4°12°3°5°12°5°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm·······3.11.2··0.5·······0.50.6
Windkm/h3103564445593755914711138
Mid-mountain2,408 mModeled
Temp°C6°13°5°7°17°7°10°13°8°7°16°7°9°19°8°11°19°9°11°18°11°
Feels like°C3°11°2°5°15°4°8°11°6°6°14°5°6°17°5°7°15°6°8°15°8°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm·······3.11.2··0.5·······0.50.6
Windkm/h3103564445593755914711138
Base2,012 mModeled
Temp°C8°16°7°10°20°9°13°16°10°10°19°10°11°22°10°13°22°11°14°21°13°
Feels like°C6°14°5°8°18°7°11°15°9°9°17°8°9°20°8°10°18°9°11°18°11°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm·······3.11.2··0.5·······0.50.6
Windkm/h3103564445593755914711138
Humidity%704574683268576374874278683171512662513555
0°C linem—————————————————————
Forecast Range · SnowSure Pro

Every model for Powder Mountain, side by side for 14 days

Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here. Free for 14 days, then yearly.

Unlock with Pro

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For Powder Mountain (rockies), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

  • 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
  • 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
  • 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Snowfall Forecast Maps

Utah region

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27

Powder Mountain El Niño rank & forecast

Powder Mountain ranks #104 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier A, +9% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain: Historically snowed much more than normal in strong El Niño winters (≥ +8% vs this resort’s own 30-year average).

#104 of 488Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain

Strong-event signal: +9% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Powder Mountain averaged +9% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. The pattern has historically been a friend here. With a record-strength event forecast for winter 2026-27, Powder Mountain sits on the favorable side of the ledger. Analog winters: '97-98 +7%, '15-16 -17%, '23-24 +36%. A pattern, not a promise.

'97-98 +7%'15-16 −17%'23-24 +36%

Signal = average snowfall in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996 ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24) vs this resort's own 30-year ERA5 baseline. n=3 — a lean, not a law. Updated monthly against measured snowfall Dec–Mar.

Full El Niño report →

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 10 past El Niño winters at Powder Mountain, ERA5 season snowfall median was 261 cm (103 in), about this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

JJA 2026 · ANOM +1.8°C

Analog season median

261cm

10 El Niño winters · ≈ long-term median

All-season median

262cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)

PhaseSeasonsMedianp25–p75Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent10261cm203cm – 337cm2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009
La Niña12262cm227cm – 295cm2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010
ENSO-neutral8260cm227cm – 314cm2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Local Reports

0 reports

How accurate is this forecast?

We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.

→

Frequently asked questions about Powder Mountain

How much snow is Powder Mountain getting this week?
No significant snow is forecast at Powder Mountain over the next 7 days.
What is the 14-day snow forecast for Powder Mountain?
The full 14-day forecast for Powder Mountain — the SnowSure™ blend and every model we track, day by day — is part of SnowSure Pro. The first 7 days are free on this page.
How accurate are SnowSure forecasts for Powder Mountain?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell and publish the results — see our forecast verification pages for model-by-model accuracy, updated continuously.