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Powder Mountain ski resort
Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain

North America

Powder Mountain Snow Forecast

Projected to open December 12, 2026

Best months to book: February, January, March · last season + 30-yr record

Projected to open Dec 12 — closed April 12

Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.

Last Snowfall

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Past 24 Hours

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Past 48 Hours

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Past 10 Days

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7-Day Forecast

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Snow Depth

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Updated: Oct 12, 9:02 PM•Weather at base: 2,012m
SnowSure™ Score2025-26 season
Projected to open Dec 12

Powder Mountain is projected to open December 12, 2026. Here is when it is usually best to book.

Best months to book: February, January, March. Best weeks: 22 Feb–28 Feb, 1 Mar–7 Mar, 8 Mar–14 Mar.Dec2Jan1Feb3MarAprOpens 12 DecCloses 12 Apr

Best months to book

  1. #1February45cm avg · last season 29.6
  2. #2January50cm avg
  3. #3March41cm avg · last season 17

Best weeks to book

  1. #1 22 Feb – 28 Feb · last season 29.6
  2. #2 1 Mar – 7 Mar · last season 32.1
  3. #3 8 Mar – 14 Mar · last season 14.1

Ranked on 25% last season's SnowSure score (2025-26) · 75% 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. The live score returns when the lifts turn.

Snow Summary

2,804m
ECMWFGFSGEMJMAICONMétéo-Fr

Updated Oct 12, 2026 at 9:02 PM

0cm
24h
8cm
Past 10d
7-Day Forecast
0
Prev10d
0
Now12
7
T13
1
W14
—
T15
—
F16
—
S17
—
S18
Days 8–14 and every model are in Pro.Unlock with Pro
Past
Today
Forecast

Hourly Forecast

12 Mon
3° / -1°
13 Tue
1° / -4°
14 Wed
4° / -5°
15 Thu
8° / -5°
16 Fri
10° / -5°
17 Sat
9° / -6°
18 Sun
10° / -3°
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight19 Mon20 Tue21 Wed22 Thu23 Fri24 Sat25 Sun
Conditions🌧️🌧️🌧️🌧️❄️🌧️☁️🌤️☁️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️🌤️☀️
drizzledrizzledrizzlelight drizzlelight snowlight drizzlecloudymostly clearcloudyclearclearclearclearclearclearclearclearclearclearmostly clearclear
Summit2,804 mModeled
Temp°C1°3°0°-1°0°-1°-3°3°-3°-2°7°-2°-3°8°-2°0°9°-2°3°10°1°
Feels like°C-2°0°-3°-4°-3°-4°-6°-1°-6°-5°2°-6°-7°5°-6°-4°5°-6°0°7°-2°
Snowcm1.2·4.50.63.41.5···············
Precipmm5.05.18.50.85.12.2···············
Windkm/h755362493416108610695574
Mid-mountain2,408 mModeled
Temp°C3°5°2°2°3°1°0°6°0°1°9°1°0°11°1°2°11°0°5°12°3°
Feels like°C1°3°0°-1°0°-1°-3°2°-3°-2°5°-3°-5°7°-3°-2°8°-3°3°10°1°
Snowcm····0.40.2···············
Precipmm5.05.18.50.85.12.2···············
Windkm/h755362493416108610695574
Base2,012 mModeled
Temp°C6°8°5°4°5°4°3°8°2°4°12°4°2°13°4°5°14°3°8°15°6°
Feels like°C4°6°3°2°3°2°0°5°0°1°8°0°-2°10°0°1°11°0°6°13°4°
Snowcm····0.4················
Precipmm5.05.18.50.85.12.2···············
Windkm/h755362493416108610695574
Humidity%968498968998946690804771562864584076705679
0°C linem—————————————————————
Sunhours

Freeze line is the height where rain turns to snow. Plain: straight from the models. Marked ○: estimated from temperature. Sun is hours of actual sunshine, not day length; blank means we have no reading.

Forecast Range · SnowSure Pro

Every model for Powder Mountain, side by side for 14 days

Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here.

Unlock with Pro

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For Powder Mountain (rockies), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

  • 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
  • 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
  • 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Snowfall Forecast Maps

Utah region

14 Day map is in SnowSure ProUnlock with Pro

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27

Powder Mountain El Niño rank & forecast

Powder Mountain ranks #104 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier A, +9% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain: Historically snowed much more than normal in strong El Niño winters (≥ +8% vs this resort’s own 30-year average).

#104 of 488Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain

Strong-event signal: +9% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Powder Mountain averaged +9% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. The pattern has historically been a friend here. With a record-strength event forecast for winter 2026-27, Powder Mountain sits on the favorable side of the ledger. Analog winters: '97-98 +7%, '15-16 -17%, '23-24 +36%. A pattern, not a promise.

'97-98 +7%'15-16 −17%'23-24 +36%

Signal = average snowfall in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996 ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24) vs this resort's own 30-year ERA5 baseline. n=3 — a lean, not a law. Updated monthly against measured snowfall Dec–Mar.

Full El Niño report →

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 10 past El Niño winters at Powder Mountain, ERA5 season snowfall median was 261 cm (103 in), about this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

JAS 2026 · ANOM +2.16°C

Analog season median

261cm

10 El Niño winters · ≈ long-term median

All-season median

262cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)

PhaseSeasonsMedianp25–p75Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent10261cm203cm – 337cm2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009
La Niña12262cm227cm – 295cm2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010
ENSO-neutral8260cm227cm – 314cm2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Local Reports

0 reports

How accurate is this forecast?

We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.

→

Frequently asked questions about Powder Mountain

How much snow is Powder Mountain getting this week?
The SnowSure™ blend forecasts about 8 cm (3 in) of snow at Powder Mountain over the next 7 days.
What is the 14-day snow forecast for Powder Mountain?
The full 14-day forecast for Powder Mountain — the SnowSure™ blend and every model we track, day by day — is part of SnowSure Pro. The first 7 days are free on this page.
How accurate are SnowSure forecasts for Powder Mountain?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell and publish the results — see our forecast verification pages for model-by-model accuracy, updated continuously.