Skip to main content
Red Mountain ski resort
Ikon PassView resorts
Tier C — ENSO-proof

North America

Red Mountain Snow Forecast

Projected to open December 26, 2026

Best months to book: January, March, February · last season + 30-yr record

Projected to open Dec 26 — closed April 4

Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.

Last Snowfall

Oct 10

2d ago

Past 24 Hours

0cm

Past 48 Hours

0cm

Past 10 Days

1cm

7-Day Forecast

0cm

Snow Depth

--

Updated: Oct 12, 9:02 PM•Weather at base: 1,185m
SnowSure™ Score2025-26 season
Projected to open Dec 26

Red Mountain is projected to open December 26, 2026. Here is when it is usually best to book.

Best months to book: January, March, February. Best weeks: 8 Mar–14 Mar, 15 Mar–21 Mar, 22 Mar–28 Mar.Dec1Jan3Feb2MarAprOpens 26 DecCloses 4 Apr

Best months to book

  1. #1January58cm avg
  2. #2March44cm avg · last season 25
  3. #3February40cm avg · last season 27.4

Best weeks to book

  1. #1 8 Mar – 14 Mar · last season 27.1
  2. #2 15 Mar – 21 Mar · last season 24.9
  3. #3 22 Mar – 28 Mar · last season 23.8

Ranked on 25% last season's SnowSure score (2025-26) · 75% 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. The live score returns when the lifts turn.

Snow Summary

2,075m
ECMWFGFSGEMJMAICONMétéo-Fr

Updated Oct 12, 2026 at 9:02 PM

1cm
24h
0cm
Past 10d
7-Day Forecast
1
Prev10d
—
Now12
—
T13
—
W14
—
T15
—
F16
—
S17
—
S18
Days 8–14 and every model are in Pro.Unlock with Pro
Past
Today
Forecast

Hourly Forecast

12 Mon
3° / -8°
13 Tue
4° / -7°
14 Wed
6° / -5°
15 Thu
8° / -6°
16 Fri
10° / -5°
17 Sat
9° / -4°
18 Sun
5° / -4°
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight19 Mon20 Tue21 Wed22 Thu23 Fri24 Sat25 Sun
Conditions☀️☀️☀️⛅☀️☀️☀️☀️☁️🌤️⛅☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️🌤️☀️☁️🌤️🌤️
clearclearclearsome cloudsclearclearclearclearcloudymostly clearsome cloudsclearclearclearclearclearmostly clearclearcloudymostly clearmostly clear
Summit2,075 mModeled
Temp°C-5°3°-5°-5°3°-4°-3°5°-2°-3°7°-2°-1°9°-1°0°8°-1°0°4°-1°
Feels like°C-9°-1°-9°-8°-1°-7°-6°2°-6°-6°4°-5°-5°6°-4°-4°5°-4°-4°1°-4°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm·····················
Windkm/h232231231433423262222
Mid-mountain1,630 mModeled
Temp°C-2°5°-2°-2°6°-1°0°8°0°0°10°1°1°12°2°2°11°2°3°7°1°
Feels like°C-6°2°-6°-5°3°-4°-3°5°-2°-3°8°-2°-2°9°-1°0°8°0°0°5°-1°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm·····················
Windkm/h232231231433423262222
Base1,185 mModeled
Temp°C0°8°0°1°9°2°3°11°3°3°13°4°4°15°5°5°14°5°5°10°4°
Feels like°C-3°5°-3°-2°6°-1°0°8°1°0°11°2°1°13°2°3°11°3°3°8°2°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm·····················
Windkm/h232231231433423262222
Humidity%694168744771745175764672684271704471685976
0°C linem—————————————————————
Sunhours

Freeze line is the height where rain turns to snow. Plain: straight from the models. Marked ○: estimated from temperature. Sun is hours of actual sunshine, not day length; blank means we have no reading.

Forecast Range · SnowSure Pro

Every model for Red Mountain, side by side for 14 days

Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here.

Unlock with Pro

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For Red Mountain (rockies), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

  • 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
  • 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
  • 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Snowfall Forecast Maps

Pacific Northwest & BC region

14 Day map is in SnowSure ProUnlock with Pro

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27

Red Mountain El Niño rank & forecast

Red Mountain ranks #178 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier C, +3% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier C — ENSO-proof: Strong El Niño winters looked like a normal year here — within about ±3% of this resort’s own 30-year snowfall average. Not a jackpot, not a bust: a hedge if you’re planning around El Niño.

#178 of 488Tier C — ENSO-proof

Strong-event signal: +3% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Red Mountain averaged +3% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. El Niño has historically made little difference here — this is an ENSO-proof mountain, for winter 2026-27 as in past events. Analog winters: '97-98 -14%, '15-16 -14%, '23-24 +36%. A pattern, not a promise.

'97-98 −14%'15-16 −14%'23-24 +36%

Signal = average snowfall in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996 ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24) vs this resort's own 30-year ERA5 baseline. n=3 — a lean, not a law. Updated monthly against measured snowfall Dec–Mar.

Full El Niño report →

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 10 past El Niño winters at Red Mountain, ERA5 season snowfall median was 254 cm (100 in), about 12% below this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

JAS 2026 · ANOM +2.16°C

Analog season median

254cm

10 El Niño winters · 12% below median

All-season median

289cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)

PhaseSeasonsMedianp25–p75Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent10254cm229cm – 269cm2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009
La Niña12306cm271cm – 376cm2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010
ENSO-neutral8310cm273cm – 364cm2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Local Reports

0 reports

How accurate is this forecast?

We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.

→

Frequently asked questions about Red Mountain

How much snow is Red Mountain getting this week?
No significant snow is forecast at Red Mountain over the next 7 days.
What is the 14-day snow forecast for Red Mountain?
The full 14-day forecast for Red Mountain — the SnowSure™ blend and every model we track, day by day — is part of SnowSure Pro. The first 7 days are free on this page.
How accurate are SnowSure forecasts for Red Mountain?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell and publish the results — see our forecast verification pages for model-by-model accuracy, updated continuously.