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Red River ski resort
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Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain

North America

Red River Snow Forecast

Projected to open November 27, 2026

Best months to book: February, April, March · last season + 30-yr record

Projected to open Nov 27 — closed April 5

Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.

Last Snowfall

Sep 30

12d ago

Past 24 Hours

0cm

Past 48 Hours

0cm

Past 10 Days

0cm

7-Day Forecast

1cm

Snow Depth

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Updated: Oct 12, 11:02 PM•Weather at base: 2,668m
SnowSure™ Score2025-26 season
Projected to open Nov 27

Red River is projected to open November 27, 2026. Here is when it is usually best to book.

Best months to book: February, April, March. Best weeks: 29 Mar–4 Apr, 22 Feb–28 Feb, 1 Mar–7 Mar.NovDecJan1Feb3Mar2AprOpens 27 NovCloses 5 Apr

Best months to book

  1. #1February23cm avg · last season 13.3
  2. #2April23cm avg · last season 21.4
  3. #3March24cm avg · last season 7.4

Best weeks to book

  1. #1 29 Mar – 4 Apr · last season 16.7
  2. #2 22 Feb – 28 Feb · last season 13.3
  3. #3 1 Mar – 7 Mar · last season 8.4

Ranked on 25% last season's SnowSure score (2025-26) · 75% 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. The live score returns when the lifts turn.

Snow Summary

3,155m
ECMWFGFSGEMJMAICONMétéo-Fr

Updated Oct 12, 2026 at 11:02 PM

0cm
24h
1cm
Past 10d
7-Day Forecast
0
Prev10d
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Now12
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T13
0
W14
0
T15
0
F16
—
S17
0
S18
Days 8–14 and every model are in Pro.Unlock with Pro
Past
Today
Forecast

Hourly Forecast

12 Mon
12° / 4°
13 Tue
11° / 3°
14 Wed
10° / -1°
15 Thu
9° / -3°
16 Fri
6° / -4°
17 Sat
10° / -2°
18 Sun
8° / 1°
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight19 Mon20 Tue21 Wed22 Thu23 Fri24 Sat25 Sun
Conditions🌧️🌤️☀️🌤️🌤️☀️☀️🌤️☀️☀️🌤️☀️☁️☁️☁️☀️☀️⛅⛅🌧️☀️
light drizzlemostly clearclearmostly clearmostly clearclearclearmostly clearclearclearmostly clearclearcloudycloudycloudyclearclearsome cloudssome cloudslight drizzleclear
Summit3,155 mModeled
Temp°C6°11°6°6°10°5°5°9°2°1°8°-1°-1°6°-1°3°9°1°4°7°2°
Feels like°C3°7°3°2°6°2°1°4°-2°-3°4°-5°-6°0°-6°-1°6°-2°1°5°0°
Snowcm·················0.3··0.4
Precipmm0.90.30.1·0.3··0.6·········1.2·0.50.7
Windkm/h10171114169101866981216113116673
Mid-mountain2,912 mModeled
Temp°C7°12°7°7°11°6°6°10°3°3°9°0°1°7°0°4°11°3°6°9°4°
Feels like°C5°8°4°4°7°3°3°6°0°-1°6°-4°-4°1°-4°1°8°-1°3°6°2°
Snowcm·················0.3··0.1
Precipmm0.90.30.1·0.3··0.6·········1.2·0.50.7
Windkm/h10171114169101866981216113116673
Base2,668 mModeled
Temp°C9°14°9°9°13°8°8°12°5°4°11°2°3°9°2°6°12°5°8°10°5°
Feels like°C7°10°6°6°9°5°5°8°2°1°8°-2°-2°3°-3°2°9°1°5°8°3°
Snowcm·················0.3··0.1
Precipmm0.90.30.1·0.3··0.6·········1.2·0.50.7
Windkm/h10171114169101866981216113116673
Humidity%895285785483695178614580411447274553806285
0°C linem—————————————————————
Sunhours

Freeze line is the height where rain turns to snow. Plain: straight from the models. Marked ○: estimated from temperature. Sun is hours of actual sunshine, not day length; blank means we have no reading.

Forecast Range · SnowSure Pro

Every model for Red River, side by side for 14 days

Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here.

Unlock with Pro

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For Red River (rockies), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

  • 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
  • 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
  • 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Snowfall Forecast Maps

Rockies & Southwest region

14 Day map is in SnowSure ProUnlock with Pro

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27

Red River El Niño rank & forecast

Red River ranks #107 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier A, +8% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain: Historically snowed much more than normal in strong El Niño winters (≥ +8% vs this resort’s own 30-year average).

#107 of 488Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain

Strong-event signal: +8% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Red River averaged +8% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. The pattern has historically been a friend here. With a record-strength event forecast for winter 2026-27, Red River sits on the favorable side of the ledger. Analog winters: '97-98 -15%, '15-16 -3%, '23-24 +43%. A pattern, not a promise.

'97-98 −15%'15-16 −3%'23-24 +43%

Signal = average snowfall in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996 ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24) vs this resort's own 30-year ERA5 baseline. n=3 — a lean, not a law. Updated monthly against measured snowfall Dec–Mar.

Full El Niño report →

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 10 past El Niño winters at Red River, ERA5 season snowfall median was 156 cm (61 in), about 7% above this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

JAS 2026 · ANOM +2.16°C

Analog season median

156cm

10 El Niño winters · 7% above median

All-season median

145cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)

PhaseSeasonsMedianp25–p75Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent10156cm138cm – 170cm2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009
La Niña12133cm110cm – 170cm2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010
ENSO-neutral8135cm107cm – 182cm2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Local Reports

0 reports

How accurate is this forecast?

We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.

→

Frequently asked questions about Red River

How much snow is Red River getting this week?
The SnowSure™ blend forecasts about 1 cm (0 in) of snow at Red River over the next 7 days.
What is the 14-day snow forecast for Red River?
The full 14-day forecast for Red River — the SnowSure™ blend and every model we track, day by day — is part of SnowSure Pro. The first 7 days are free on this page.
How accurate are SnowSure forecasts for Red River?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell and publish the results — see our forecast verification pages for model-by-model accuracy, updated continuously.