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Ruka ski resort

Europe

Ruka Snow Forecast

Pre-season — not open yet

Projected to open October 4, 2026

Best months to book: March, February, January · 30-yr snow record

Pre-season — not open yet

Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.

Last Snowfall

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Past 24 Hours

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Past 48 Hours

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Past 10 Days

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7-Day Forecast

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Snow Depth

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Updated: Sep 21, 12:04 AMWeather at base: 291m
SnowSure™ ScoreWhen to book
Pre-season — not open yet

Ruka is closed for the season. Here is when it is usually best to book.

Best months to book: March, February, January.NovDec3Jan2Feb1MarAprMay

March

#1 to book

22cm avg

February

#2 to book

22cm avg

January

#3 to book

26cm avg

Ranked on 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. The live score returns when the lifts turn.

Snow Summary

492m

Updated Sep 21, 2026 at 12:04 AM

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7-Day Forecast
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Days 814 and every model are in Pro.Unlock with Pro
Past
Today
Forecast

Hourly Forecast

21 Mon
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22 Tue
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23 Wed
11° /
24 Thu
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25 Fri
12° /
26 Sat
10° /
27 Sun
10° /
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight28 Mon29 Tue30 Wed1 Thu2 Fri3 Sat4 Sun
Conditions🌧️☁️☀️☁️☁️☀️☁️☁️☁️🌧️🌧️☁️☁️☁️☁️☁️🌧️🌧️🌧️☀️🌧️
light drizzlecloudyclearcloudycloudyclearcloudycloudycloudylight drizzledrizzlecloudycloudycloudycloudycloudylight drizzlelight drizzlelight drizzleclearlight drizzle
Summit492 mModeled
Temp°C10°11°10°
Feels like°C
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm1.20.14.2······2.52.9···0.8·0.71.30.4·1.0
Windkm/h1211135361110109108121310121510131312
Mid-mountain392 mModeled
Temp°C11°11°10°10°
Feels like°C10°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm1.20.14.2······2.52.9···0.8·0.71.30.4·1.0
Windkm/h1211135361110109108121310121510131312
Base291 mModeled
Temp°C10°10°11°12°10°10°10°11°
Feels like°C10°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm1.20.14.2······2.52.9···0.8·0.71.30.4·1.0
Windkm/h1211135361110109108121310121510131312
Humidity%98768989658589608598100961009299978799967092
0°C linem
Forecast Range · SnowSure Pro

Every model for Ruka, side by side for 14 days

Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here. Free for 14 days, then yearly.

Unlock with Pro

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For Ruka (scandinavia), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

  • 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
  • 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
  • 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Snowfall Forecast Maps

Scandinavia region

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27

Ruka El Niño rank & forecast

Ruka ranks #101 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier A, +9% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier APrime El Niño terrain: Historically snowed much more than normal in strong El Niño winters (≥ +8% vs this resort’s own 30-year average).

#101 of 488Tier APrime El Niño terrain

Strong-event signal: +9% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Ruka averaged +9% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. The pattern has historically been a friend here. With a record-strength event forecast for winter 2026-27, Ruka sits on the favorable side of the ledger. Analog winters: '97-98 +15%, '15-16 +4%, '23-24 +8%. A pattern, not a promise.

'97-98 +15%'15-16 +4%'23-24 +8%

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 10 past El Niño winters at Ruka, ERA5 season snowfall median was 182 cm (72 in), about 7% above this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

JJA 2026 · ANOM +1.8°C

Analog season median

182cm

10 El Niño winters · 7% above median

All-season median

171cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)

PhaseSeasonsMedianp25–p75Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent10182cm171cm – 198cm2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009
La Niña12168cm153cm – 181cm2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010
ENSO-neutral8158cm140cm – 187cm2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Local Reports

0 reports

How accurate is this forecast?

We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.

Frequently asked questions about Ruka

How much snow is Ruka getting this week?
No significant snow is forecast at Ruka over the next 7 days.
What is the 14-day snow forecast for Ruka?
The full 14-day forecast for Ruka — the SnowSure™ blend and every model we track, day by day — is part of SnowSure Pro. The first 7 days are free on this page.
How accurate are SnowSure forecasts for Ruka?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell and publish the results — see our forecast verification pages for model-by-model accuracy, updated continuously.