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Sainte-Foy-Tarentaise ski resort
Tier B — Favored

Europe

Sainte-Foy-Tarentaise Snow Forecast

Projected to open December 14, 2026

Best months to book: March, January, February · last season + 30-yr record

Projected to open Dec 14 — closed April 19

Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.

Last Snowfall

Oct 8

5d ago

Past 24 Hours

0cm

Past 48 Hours

0cm

Past 10 Days

1cm

7-Day Forecast

12cm

Snow Depth

--

Updated: Oct 13, 12:03 AM•Weather at base: 1,550m
SnowSure™ Score2025-26 season
Projected to open Dec 14

Sainte-Foy-Tarentaise is projected to open December 14, 2026. Here is when it is usually best to book.

Best months to book: March, January, February. Best weeks: 27 Mar–1 Apr, 19 Mar–25 Mar, 2 Apr–8 Apr.Dec2Jan3Feb1MarAprOpens 14 DecCloses 19 Apr

Best months to book

  1. #1March79cm avg · last season 41.2
  2. #2January90cm avg
  3. #3February69cm avg

Best weeks to book

  1. #1 27 Mar – 1 Apr · last season 43.3
  2. #2 19 Mar – 25 Mar · last season 39
  3. #3 2 Apr – 8 Apr · last season 23.4

Ranked on 25% last season's SnowSure score (2025-26) · 75% 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. The live score returns when the lifts turn.

Snow Summary

2,620m
ECMWFGFSGEMJMAICONMétéo-Fr

Updated Oct 13, 2026 at 12:03 AM

1cm
24h
12cm
Past 10d
7-Day Forecast
1
Prev10d
—
Now13
—
W14
—
T15
—
F16
—
S17
2
S18
10
M19
Days 8–14 and every model are in Pro.Unlock with Pro
Past
Today
Forecast

Hourly Forecast

13 Tue
6° / -0°
14 Wed
10° / -2°
15 Thu
11° / 3°
16 Fri
10° / 2°
17 Sat
4° / -0°
18 Sun
2° / 0°
19 Mon
1° / -6°
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight20 Tue21 Wed22 Thu23 Fri24 Sat25 Sun26 Mon
Conditions☀️☀️🌤️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️⛅☁️☀️❄️❄️❄️❄️🌤️🌤️
clearclearmostly clearclearclearclearclearclearclearclearclearclearsome cloudscloudyclearlight snowsnowheavy snowsnowmostly clearmostly clear
Summit2,620 mModeled
Temp°C1°6°1°3°9°1°6°11°5°6°10°4°1°3°1°1°1°0°0°0°-2°
Feels like°C-3°2°-2°0°6°-2°2°7°2°2°6°1°-2°0°-1°-2°-2°-3°-3°-3°-6°
Snowcm···············0.47.11314.91.720.8
Precipmm·············0.30.30.610.818.621.32.429.7
Windkm/h382152161161262656566
Mid-mountain2,085 mModeled
Temp°C5°9°5°6°13°5°9°14°8°9°13°8°4°7°5°4°5°4°4°3°1°
Feels like°C1°6°2°4°10°2°6°11°5°6°10°5°2°4°3°2°2°1°1°1°-2°
Snowcm···············0.46.511.613.71.518.9
Precipmm·············0.30.30.610.818.621.32.429.7
Windkm/h382152161161262656566
Base1,550 mModeled
Temp°C6°14°6°6°16°6°9°18°9°9°17°9°6°10°6°5°6°4°3°8°2°
Feels like°C3°11°4°4°14°4°6°16°6°6°14°6°4°8°4°4°4°2°1°6°0°
Snowcm················1.32.13.6·4.4
Precipmm·············2.12.7·5.77.27.20.69.0
Windkm/h242334333242243353133
Humidity%436367674583332942323552847392929698948590
0°C linem—————————————————————
Sunhours

Freeze line is the height where rain turns to snow. Plain: straight from the models. Marked ○: estimated from temperature. Sun is hours of actual sunshine, not day length; blank means we have no reading.

Forecast Range · SnowSure Pro

Every model for Sainte-Foy-Tarentaise, side by side for 14 days

Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here.

Unlock with Pro

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For Sainte-Foy-Tarentaise (alps), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

  • 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
  • 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
  • 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Snowfall Forecast Maps

The Alps region

14 Day map is in SnowSure ProUnlock with Pro

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27

Sainte-Foy-Tarentaise El Niño rank & forecast

Sainte-Foy-Tarentaise ranks #124 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier B, +7% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier B — Favored: Modest El Niño upside (+3% to +8% vs normal). Often a solid pick, without the biggest Andes-style swings.

#124 of 488Tier B — Favored

Strong-event signal: +7% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Sainte-Foy-Tarentaise averaged +7% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. The pattern has historically leaned mildly in this resort's favor for winter 2026-27. Analog winters: '97-98 -22%, '15-16 -3%, '23-24 +46%. A pattern, not a promise.

'97-98 −22%'15-16 −4%'23-24 +46%

Signal = average snowfall in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996 ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24) vs this resort's own 30-year ERA5 baseline. n=3 — a lean, not a law. Updated monthly against measured snowfall Dec–Mar.

Full El Niño report →

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 10 past El Niño winters at Sainte-Foy-Tarentaise, ERA5 season snowfall median was 574 cm (226 in), about 6% below this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

JAS 2026 · ANOM +2.16°C

Analog season median

574cm

10 El Niño winters · 6% below median

All-season median

612cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)

PhaseSeasonsMedianp25–p75Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent10574cm485cm – 645cm2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009
La Niña12636cm529cm – 719cm2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010
ENSO-neutral8615cm585cm – 688cm2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Local Reports

0 reports

How accurate is this forecast?

We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.

→

Frequently asked questions about Sainte-Foy-Tarentaise

How much snow is Sainte-Foy-Tarentaise getting this week?
The SnowSure™ blend forecasts about 12 cm (5 in) of snow at Sainte-Foy-Tarentaise over the next 7 days.
What is the 14-day snow forecast for Sainte-Foy-Tarentaise?
The full 14-day forecast for Sainte-Foy-Tarentaise — the SnowSure™ blend and every model we track, day by day — is part of SnowSure Pro. The first 7 days are free on this page.
How accurate are SnowSure forecasts for Sainte-Foy-Tarentaise?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell and publish the results — see our forecast verification pages for model-by-model accuracy, updated continuously.