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San Martino di Castrozza ski resort
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Tier B — Favored

Europe

San Martino di Castrozza Snow Forecast

Off-season

Closed for the season · reopens Dec 7

Best months to book: March, February, April · 30-yr snow record

Off-season

Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.

Last Snowfall

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Past 24 Hours

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Past 48 Hours

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Past 10 Days

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7-Day Forecast

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Snow Depth

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Updated: Sep 20, 9:03 PM•Weather at base: 1,404m
SnowSure™ ScoreWhen to book
Off-season

San Martino di Castrozza is closed for the season. Here is when it is usually best to book.

Best months to book: March, February, April.NovDecJan2Feb1Mar3AprMay

March

#1 to book

54cm avg

February

#2 to book

46cm avg

April

#3 to book

48cm avg

Ranked on 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. The live score returns when the lifts turn.

Snow Summary

2,357m
ECMWFGFSGEMJMAICONMétéo-Fr

Updated Sep 20, 2026 at 9:03 PM

0cm
24h
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Past 10d
7-Day Forecast
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Prev10d
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Now20
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M21
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T22
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W23
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T24
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F25
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S26
Days 8–14 and every model are in Pro.Unlock with Pro
Past
Today
Forecast

Hourly Forecast

20 Sun
14° / 1°
21 Mon
13° / 2°
22 Tue
9° / -1°
23 Wed
9° / -2°
24 Thu
10° / -1°
25 Fri
8° / -5°
26 Sat
10° / -2°
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight27 Sun28 Mon29 Tue30 Wed1 Thu2 Fri3 Sat
Conditions🌤️🌤️☁️⛅☁️⛅☀️☀️☀️⛅🌤️⛅☀️🌧️⛅☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️
mostly clearmostly clearcloudysome cloudscloudysome cloudsclearclearclearsome cloudsmostly clearsome cloudsclearlight drizzlesome cloudsclearclearclearclearclearclear
Summit2,357 mModeled
Temp°C5°13°4°6°13°4°3°9°1°2°8°1°3°9°1°-1°8°-1°2°9°1°
Feels like°C3°12°2°3°9°1°-2°5°-2°-1°5°-2°1°6°-2°-5°5°-4°-1°7°-2°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm·············0.61.8······
Windkm/h3535646103362374523351
Mid-mountain1,881 mModeled
Temp°C8°17°7°9°16°8°6°12°4°5°11°4°7°12°4°2°11°2°5°12°4°
Feels like°C6°16°6°6°13°5°2°8°1°2°9°2°4°10°1°-1°9°0°2°11°2°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm·············0.61.8······
Windkm/h3535646103362374523351
Base1,404 mModeled
Temp°C11°20°10°12°19°11°9°15°7°8°14°7°10°15°7°5°14°6°8°15°7°
Feels like°C10°20°10°10°16°9°5°12°4°6°13°5°8°14°5°2°12°3°6°14°6°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm·············0.61.8······
Windkm/h3535646103362374523351
Humidity%815892603165382450775887685685764477695583
0°C linem—————————————————————
Forecast Range · SnowSure Pro

Every model for San Martino di Castrozza, side by side for 14 days

Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here. Free for 14 days, then yearly.

Unlock with Pro

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For San Martino di Castrozza (alps), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

  • 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
  • 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
  • 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Snowfall Forecast Maps

The Alps region

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27

San Martino di Castrozza El Niño rank & forecast

San Martino di Castrozza ranks #143 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier B, +6% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier B — Favored: Modest El Niño upside (+3% to +8% vs normal). Often a solid pick, without the biggest Andes-style swings.

#143 of 488Tier B — Favored

Strong-event signal: +6% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), San Martino di Castrozza averaged +6% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. The pattern has historically leaned mildly in this resort's favor for winter 2026-27. Analog winters: '97-98 -23%, '15-16 -11%, '23-24 +51%. A pattern, not a promise.

'97-98 −23%'15-16 −11%'23-24 +51%

Signal = average snowfall in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996 ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24) vs this resort's own 30-year ERA5 baseline. n=3 — a lean, not a law. Updated monthly against measured snowfall Dec–Mar.

Full El Niño report →

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 10 past El Niño winters at San Martino di Castrozza, ERA5 season snowfall median was 280 cm (110 in), about 6% below this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

JJA 2026 · ANOM +1.8°C

Analog season median

280cm

10 El Niño winters · 6% below median

All-season median

297cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)

PhaseSeasonsMedianp25–p75Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent10280cm227cm – 419cm2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009
La Niña12310cm266cm – 467cm2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010
ENSO-neutral8282cm216cm – 399cm2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Local Reports

0 reports

How accurate is this forecast?

We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.

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Frequently asked questions about San Martino di Castrozza

How much snow is San Martino di Castrozza getting this week?
No significant snow is forecast at San Martino di Castrozza over the next 7 days.
What is the 14-day snow forecast for San Martino di Castrozza?
The full 14-day forecast for San Martino di Castrozza — the SnowSure™ blend and every model we track, day by day — is part of SnowSure Pro. The first 7 days are free on this page.
How accurate are SnowSure forecasts for San Martino di Castrozza?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell and publish the results — see our forecast verification pages for model-by-model accuracy, updated continuously.