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Schuss Mountain at Shanty Creek Resort ski resort
Indy PassBuy pass
Tier E — Deep timing play — aim late winter

📷 Schuss Mountain at Shanty Creek Resort

North America

Schuss Mountain at Shanty Creek Resort

Status unconfirmed

Conditions data updated Fri, Aug 28, 09:04 AM UTC · informational only

Status unconfirmed

Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.

Last Snowfall

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Past 24 Hours

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Past 48 Hours

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Past 10 Days

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14-Day Forecast

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Snow Depth

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Updated: Aug 28, 9:04 AM•Weather at base: 191m

Overview

Schuss Mountain at Shanty Creek Resort is a ski resort in North America, United States, currently not operating today. Today's SnowSure™ Score is 10/100. Conditions last updated 2026-08-28 09:04 UTC.

Resort Guide

Schuss Mountain at Shanty Creek Resort is located in Bellaire, Michigan, and features 53 ski runs across varied terrain suitable for all skill levels. The resort offers a relaxed, family-friendly atmosphere with amenities including ski-in/ski-out lodging, multiple dining options, and a Nordic center for cross-country skiing and snowshoeing. Signature experiences include night skiing, terrain parks, and scenic views of northern Michigan’s rolling hills. Schuss Mountain stands out for its blend of classic Midwest skiing and comprehensive resort facilities.

Resort Info

Base191m
Lifts7
Runs53
Skiable Area400 acres
Average snowfall175 inches / 445 cm
CountryUnited States
Visit Resort Website →View Trail Map →

Ski passes

Indy Pass

Buy pass →

Access tiers change by season — confirm benefits on the pass operator's site.

Top Après Ski

Ivan’s Café – A popular après-ski spot at Schuss Mountain, Ivan’s Café is renowned for its lively atmosphere, live music events, and spacious outdoor patio, making it a favorite gathering place for skiers to unwind with drinks and hearty fare after a day on the slopes.

SnowSure™ ScoreAI
Status unconfirmed

Status unconfirmed

SnowSure scores and forecasts below are for planning and reference only while the resort is closed.

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Depth

Resort closed — no current ski-base depth.

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Recent

There has been no new snow in the past week.

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Forecast

The 14-day snow outlook is currently not available.

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Historic

Season-to-date snowfall is not available, while the 5-year average to date stands at 158cm.

Status unconfirmed · Data updated Fri, Aug 28, 09:04 AM UTC · informational only

Snow Summary

--mECMWF Model

Updated Aug 28, 2026 at 9:04 AM

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14-Day Forecast
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Now28
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S29
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S30
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M31
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Today
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Snowfall Forecast Maps

Great Lakes & Midwest region

Current Conditions

Reported Fri, Aug 28, 09:04 AM UTC

Base

191m

Temp

13.4°C

Wind

6.5km/h

Snow Depth

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14-Day Forecast

0cm

Mid-Mountain

--m

Temp

--°C

Wind

7km/h

Snow Depth

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14-Day Forecast

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Summit

--m

Temp

--°C

Wind

8km/h

Snow Depth

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14-Day Forecast

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El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27

Schuss Mountain at Shanty Creek Resort El Niño rank & forecast

Schuss Mountain at Shanty Creek Resort ranks #374 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier E, −11% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier E — Deep timing play — aim late winter: Strong El Niño winters ran clearly below this resort’s own baseline (≤ −8%). Still skiable — schedule late season; one storm cycle can beat the climatology.

#374 of 488Tier E — Deep timing play — aim late winter

Strong-event signal: −11% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Schuss Mountain at Shanty Creek Resort averaged -11% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. Historically this is a timing play rather than a reason to stay home: aim for late winter (February–March) in winter 2026-27. Analog winters: '97-98 -17%, '15-16 +6%, '23-24 -23%. A pattern, not a promise.

'97-98 −17%'15-16 +6%'23-24 −23%

Signal = average snowfall in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996 ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24) vs this resort's own 30-year ERA5 baseline. n=3 — a lean, not a law. Updated monthly against measured snowfall Dec–Mar.

Full El Niño report →

Local Reports

0 reports
SnowSure™ Forecast Range

Daily Snowfall Forecast by Model

Black line = verified SnowSure™ blend (not a simple average). Weights update weekly from measured snowfall at SNOTEL stations and resort reports.

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For Schuss Mountain at Shanty Creek Resort (rockies), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

  • 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
  • 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
  • 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Hourly Forecast Detail

AM / PM / Night breakdown with wind and freezing level

NWP models refresh up to 4× daily · Last synced Aug 28, 9:04 AM

Hourly Forecast Detail
 
Today
22 / 130.3mm
Sat, Aug 29
25 / 170.3mm
Sun, Aug 30
23 / 209mm
Mon, Aug 31
29 / 201.8mm
Tue, Sep 1
24 / 226.3mm
Wed, Sep 2
25 / 216mm
PeriodAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight
Snow (cm)000000000000000000
Precip (mm)0.300000.31.26.90.91.80005.40.92.43.30.3
Temp (°C)152117202419202221212823232323222322
Wind (km/h)675171811141011131414714911119
Gusts (km/h)132110313822262622253629373528152725

14-Day Snow Forecast by Model

Summit elevation (--m)

ECMWF
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SnowSure™
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10-Day Forecast

Today

28

🌧️

21.6°

13.4°

8 km/h

Sat

29

🌧️

24.6°

17°

20 km/h

Sun

30

🌧️

22.6°

19.7°

15 km/h

Mon

31

🌧️

28.8°

19.7°

15 km/h

Tue

1

⛈️

24.2°

22°

18 km/h

Wed

2

🌧️

24.5°

20.5°

15 km/h

Thu

3

☁️

23.9°

18.1°

10 km/h

Fri

4

🌤️

22.8°

16.4°

9 km/h

Sat

5

☁️

24.6°

16.5°

8 km/h

Sun

6

☁️

26.7°

18.5°

22 km/h

Summit elevation (--m) • ECMWF model

Avalanche

No bulletin for this mountain

Avalanche.org (US avalanche centers)

This resort lies outside every forecast zone published by its national warning service, so no bulletin covers it.

Read the official bulletin ↗

SnowSure relays the official avalanche bulletin and does not issue avalanche forecasts. Read the full bulletin at the issuer’s link and make your own terrain decisions. Not a substitute for avalanche education, equipment, or local knowledge.

Season vs Historic

Updated Fri, Aug 28, 09:04 AM UTC

0cm

Season Total

This Season to Date

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vs 5-Year Avg

Off-season · 158cm full-season avg

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vs 30-Year Avg

Off-season · 149cm full-season avg

158cm

5-Yr Avg by Now

Schuss Mountain at Shanty Creek Resort Snow History

Average annual snowfall is 157cm with an average of 90 snowfall days per season. The table below shows monthly averages across 30 seasons of archive data (modeled snowpack at mid-elevation).

Average monthly snowfall history
MonthAvg SnowfallSnowfall DaysAvg Base DepthMax Base DepthBiggest Snowfall
November17.9cm11 days3cm9cm4.3cm
December38.9cm20 days13cm25cm7.9cm
January37cm21 days26cm37cm6cm
February26.1cm16 days33cm41cm6.3cm
March21.7cm12 days21cm37cm7.7cm
April12.2cm7 days3cm13cm4.7cm
May0.9cm1 days0cm3cm2.3cm

Source: SnowSure archive · Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis at mid-elevation. Depth is modeled, not resort-reported.

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 10 past El Niño winters at Schuss Mountain at Shanty Creek Resort, ERA5 season snowfall median was 135 cm (53 in), about 16% below this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

MJJ 2026 · ANOM +1.39°C

Analog season median

135 cm

10 El Niño winters · 16% below median

All-season median

161 cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)

PhaseSeasonsMedianp25–p75Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent10135 cm123 cm – 161 cm2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009
La Niña12150 cm126 cm – 196 cm2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010
ENSO-neutral8175 cm168 cm – 210 cm2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Best Months to Visit

February

Peak Season

January

Peak Season

March

Good

December

Good

Note: Based on typical ski season patterns for this region.

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Frequently asked questions about Schuss Mountain at Shanty Creek Resort

Where is Schuss Mountain at Shanty Creek Resort?
Schuss Mountain at Shanty Creek Resort is a ski resort in the United States.
How big is Schuss Mountain at Shanty Creek Resort?
Schuss Mountain at Shanty Creek Resort has 400 acres (162 hectares) of skiable terrain, 53 marked runs and 7 lifts.
Which ski pass covers Schuss Mountain at Shanty Creek Resort?
Schuss Mountain at Shanty Creek Resort is on the Indy Pass. Access terms such as blackout dates and day limits vary by pass tier, so check the pass operator for the current season.
How much snow does Schuss Mountain at Shanty Creek Resort get in a typical season?
Schuss Mountain at Shanty Creek Resort averages 175 inches / 445 cm of snowfall in a typical season. Any individual season can run well above or below that.
How will El Niño affect Schuss Mountain at Shanty Creek Resort in winter 2026-27?
El Niño Signal Rank: #374 of 488 SnowSure resorts · Tier E · strong-event signal -11% vs its own 30-yr average. In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Schuss Mountain at Shanty Creek Resort averaged -11% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. Historically this is a timing play rather than a reason to stay home: aim for late winter (February–March) in winter 2026-27. Analog winters: '97-98 -17%, '15-16 +6%, '23-24 -23%. A pattern, not a promise.