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Selva Val Gardena ski resort
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Tier B — Favored

Europe

Selva Val Gardena Snow Forecast

Closed for the season

Best months to book: March, February, April · last season + 30-yr record

Closed for the season — closed April 19

Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.

Last Snowfall

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Past 24 Hours

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Past 48 Hours

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Past 10 Days

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7-Day Forecast

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Snow Depth

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Updated: Sep 20, 6:05 PM•Weather at base: 1,563m
SnowSure™ Score2025-26 season
Closed for the season

Selva Val Gardena is closed for the season. Here is when it is usually best to book.

Best months to book: March, February, April. Best weeks: 15 Mar–21 Mar, 22 Mar–28 Mar, 8 Mar–14 Mar.DecJan2Feb1Mar3AprOpens 5 DecCloses 19 Apr

March

#1 to book

37cm avg · scored 29.3

February

#2 to book

32cm avg · scored 25.4

April

#3 to book

35cm avg · scored 20

Best weeks to book

  1. #115 Mar – 21 Marscored 35.6
  2. #222 Mar – 28 Marscored 33.5
  3. #38 Mar – 14 Marscored 24.6

Ranked on 25% last season's SnowSure score (2025-26) · 75% 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. The live score returns when the lifts turn.

Snow Summary

2,518m
ECMWFGFSGEMJMAICONMétéo-Fr

Updated Sep 20, 2026 at 6:05 PM

0cm
24h
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Past 10d
7-Day Forecast
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Prev10d
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Now20
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M21
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T22
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W23
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T24
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F25
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S26
Days 8–14 and every model are in Pro.Unlock with Pro
Past
Today
Forecast

Hourly Forecast

20 Sun
13° / 3°
21 Mon
10° / 0°
22 Tue
6° / -3°
23 Wed
8° / -3°
24 Thu
8° / -2°
25 Fri
9° / -4°
26 Sat
13° / -0°
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight27 Sun28 Mon29 Tue30 Wed1 Thu2 Fri3 Sat
Conditions⛅🌤️⛅⛅☁️⛅☀️☀️☀️☀️🌤️☀️☀️🌧️🌤️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️
some cloudsmostly clearsome cloudssome cloudscloudysome cloudsclearclearclearclearmostly clearclearcleardrizzlemostly clearclearclearclearclearclearclear
Summit2,518 mModeled
Temp°C6°13°5°5°9°3°0°6°-1°1°8°0°3°6°0°0°8°0°3°11°3°
Feels like°C4°11°3°2°6°0°-4°2°-4°-2°5°-3°0°3°-4°-4°5°-3°1°10°1°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm·············1.8·······
Windkm/h1614945124261284373021
Mid-mountain2,041 mModeled
Temp°C9°16°9°8°13°6°3°9°2°4°11°3°6°9°3°3°11°3°6°14°6°
Feels like°C8°14°7°5°9°4°-1°5°-1°1°8°1°4°7°0°0°8°0°4°13°4°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm·············1.8·······
Windkm/h1614945124261284373021
Base1,563 mModeled
Temp°C12°19°12°11°16°9°6°12°5°7°14°6°9°13°6°6°14°6°9°18°9°
Feels like°C12°18°11°9°13°7°3°8°3°5°12°4°7°11°4°3°12°4°8°17°8°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm·············1.8·······
Windkm/h1614945124261284373021
Humidity%714871634064553565674667786679754177665277
0°C linem—————————————————————
Forecast Range · SnowSure Pro

Every model for Selva Val Gardena, side by side for 14 days

Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here. Free for 14 days, then yearly.

Unlock with Pro

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For Selva Val Gardena (alps), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

  • 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
  • 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
  • 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Snowfall Forecast Maps

The Alps region

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27

Selva Val Gardena El Niño rank & forecast

Selva Val Gardena ranks Under review SnowSure resorts — Tier B, +7% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier B — Favored: Modest El Niño upside (+3% to +8% vs normal). Often a solid pick, without the biggest Andes-style swings.

Under reviewTier B — Favored

Strong-event signal: +7% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

This resort carries no separate rank: its 30-year record is identical to val-gardena, which is the ranked entry for this measurement. At ~31km resolution the reanalysis cannot resolve them as different mountains, so publishing both would be publishing one number twice.

'97-98 −8%'15-16 −8%'23-24 +38%

Signal = average snowfall in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996 ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24) vs this resort's own 30-year ERA5 baseline. n=3 — a lean, not a law. Updated monthly against measured snowfall Dec–Mar.

Full El Niño report →

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 10 past El Niño winters at Selva Val Gardena, ERA5 season snowfall median was 240 cm (94 in), about 2% above this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

JJA 2026 · ANOM +1.8°C

Analog season median

240cm

10 El Niño winters · 2% above median

All-season median

235cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)

PhaseSeasonsMedianp25–p75Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent10240cm180cm – 321cm2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009
La Niña12235cm220cm – 340cm2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010
ENSO-neutral8204cm169cm – 320cm2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Local Reports

0 reports

How accurate is this forecast?

We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.

→

Frequently asked questions about Selva Val Gardena

How much snow is Selva Val Gardena getting this week?
No significant snow is forecast at Selva Val Gardena over the next 7 days.
What is the 14-day snow forecast for Selva Val Gardena?
The full 14-day forecast for Selva Val Gardena — the SnowSure™ blend and every model we track, day by day — is part of SnowSure Pro. The first 7 days are free on this page.
How accurate are SnowSure forecasts for Selva Val Gardena?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell and publish the results — see our forecast verification pages for model-by-model accuracy, updated continuously.