Asia
Shymbulak Snow Forecast
Status unconfirmed
Best months to book: April, March, February · 30-yr snow record
Scroll for happiness
Status unconfirmed
Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.
Last Snowfall
Nov 13
todayPast 24 Hours
0cm
Past 48 Hours
7cm
Past 10 Days
14cm
7-Day Forecast
3cm
Snow Depth
--
Shymbulak is closed for the season. Here is when it is usually best to book.
Best months to book
- #1April79cm avg
- #2March56cm avg
- #3February41cm avg
Ranked on 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. The live score returns when the lifts turn.
Depth
Resort closed — no current ski-base depth.
Recent
In the past week, there has been a total of 10cm of snowfall.
Forecast
3cm in the next 7 days.
Historic
Season-to-date snow accumulation is at 55cm, which is 92% of the 5-year average of 59cm.
Status unconfirmed · Data updated Fri, Nov 13, 02:09 PM UTC · informational only
Snow Summary
Updated Nov 13 at 2:09 PM
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
No measurement at mid height (2,730m) reached us: past snow shown is the model's estimate at the summit.
Hourly Forecast
13 Fri -5° / -17° | 14 Sat -6° / -19° | 15 Sun -7° / -18° | 16 Mon -10° / -24° | 17 Tue -5° / -21° | 18 Wed -2° / -18° | 19 Thu -1° / -15° | Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | 20 Fri | 21 Sat | 22 Sun | 23 Mon | 24 Tue | 25 Wed | 26 Thu | |
| Conditions | ⛅ | ☁️ | ☁️ | ⛅ | ☀️ | ☀️ | ❄️ | ❄️ | 🌤️ | 🌤️ | ☀️ | ☀️ | ☀️ | ☀️ | ☀️ | ☁️ | ☁️ | ☁️ | ☁️ | 🌤️ | 🌤️ | |||||||
| some clouds | cloudy | cloudy | some clouds | clear | clear | light snow | light snow | mostly clear | mostly clear | clear | clear | clear | clear | clear | cloudy | cloudy | cloudy | cloudy | mostly clear | mostly clear | ||||||||
| Mid-mountain2,730 mModeled | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Temp°C | -8° | -6° | -10° | -8° | -6° | -10° | -7° | -5° | -9° | -10° | -9° | -11° | -8° | -3° | -9° | -5° | -2° | -6° | -3° | -1° | -4° | |||||||
| Feels like°C | -16° | -11° | -18° | -18° | -12° | -22° | -18° | -12° | -20° | -16° | -17° | -22° | -21° | -12° | -22° | -16° | -7° | -17° | -15° | -9° | -16° | |||||||
| Snowcm | · | · | · | · | · | · | 0.2 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 0.1 | · | 0.7 | · | · | · | · | · | · | 0.1 | · | · | |||||||
| Precipmm | · | · | · | · | · | · | 0.2 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.1 | · | 0.7 | · | · | · | · | 0.1 | · | 0.1 | 0.1 | · | |||||||
| Windkm/h | 7 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 9 | |||||||
| Summit3,200 mModeled | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Temp°C | -11° | -10° | -13° | -12° | -10° | -14° | -11° | -9° | -14° | -14° | -14° | -16° | -13° | -9° | -15° | -9° | -5° | -10° | -6° | -4° | -8° | |||||||
| Feels like°C | -19° | -14° | -22° | -21° | -15° | -25° | -21° | -15° | -23° | -19° | -20° | -25° | -24° | -15° | -25° | -19° | -11° | -21° | -18° | -12° | -19° | |||||||
| Snowcm | · | · | · | · | · | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 0.3 | · | 1 | · | · | · | · | 0.1 | · | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | |||||||
| Precipmm | · | · | · | · | · | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 0.3 | · | 1.0 | · | · | · | · | 0.1 | · | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 | |||||||
| Windkm/h | 7 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 9 | |||||||
| Base2,260 mModeled | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Temp°C | -5° | -4° | -6° | -4° | -3° | -6° | -3° | -2° | -5° | -7° | -6° | -7° | -3° | 0° | -4° | 1° | 2° | -1° | 2° | 3° | 0° | |||||||
| Feels like°C | -10° | -10° | -12° | -9° | -8° | -12° | -8° | -7° | -11° | -12° | -11° | -13° | -8° | -6° | -10° | -3° | -1° | -6° | -4° | -1° | -6° | |||||||
| Snowcm | · | · | · | · | · | · | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.1 | · | 0.6 | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | |||||||
| Precipmm | · | · | · | · | · | · | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.1 | · | 0.7 | · | · | · | · | · | · | 0.1 | 0.1 | · | |||||||
| Windkm/h | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 4 | |||||||
| Humidity% | 74 | 86 | 68 | 70 | 70 | 63 | 50 | 74 | 67 | 82 | 86 | 70 | 33 | 47 | 52 | 76 | 76 | 84 | 81 | 71 | 84 | |||||||
| 0°C linem | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||
| Sunhours | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Freeze line is the height where rain turns to snow. Plain: straight from the models. Marked ○: estimated from temperature. Sun is hours of actual sunshine, not day length; blank means we have no reading.
Every model for Shymbulak, side by side for 14 days
Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here.
Unlock with ProSnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting
The black line is not a simple average. For Shymbulak (alps), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).
- 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
- 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
- 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.
Building verification history for this resort.
How we verify forecasts →ENSO seasonal analog
History · not a forecastIn 10 past El Niño winters at Shymbulak, ERA5 season snowfall median was 588 cm (231 in), about 14% above this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.
Prevailing ONI
El Niño
ASO 2026 · ANOM +2.46°C
Analog season median
588cm
10 El Niño winters · 14% above median
All-season median
516cm
Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)
| Phase | Seasons | Median | p25–p75 | Recent analogs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Niñocurrent | 10 | 588cm | 461cm – 592cm | 2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009 |
| La Niña | 12 | 506cm | 408cm – 558cm | 2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010 |
| ENSO-neutral | 8 | 503cm | 461cm – 561cm | 2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003 |
Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.
Local Reports
0 reportsHow accurate is this forecast?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.
Frequently asked questions about Shymbulak
- How much snow is Shymbulak getting this week?
- The SnowSure™ blend forecasts about 3 cm (1 in) of snow at Shymbulak over the next 7 days.
- What is the 14-day snow forecast for Shymbulak?
- The full 14-day forecast for Shymbulak — the SnowSure™ blend and every model we track, day by day — is part of SnowSure Pro. The first 7 days are free on this page.
- How accurate are SnowSure forecasts for Shymbulak?
- We verify every forecast against what actually fell and publish the results — see our forecast verification pages for model-by-model accuracy, updated continuously.
