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Closed for the season
Best months to book: March, January, February · last season + 30-yr record
Scroll for happiness
Closed for the season — closed May 3
Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.
Last Snowfall
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Past 24 Hours
0cm
Past 48 Hours
0cm
Past 10 Days
0cm
7-Day Forecast
0cm
Snow Depth
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Sierra Nevada is closed for the season. Here is when it is usually best to book.
March
#1 to book
38cm avg · scored 30.2
January
#2 to book
23cm avg
February
#3 to book
17cm avg · scored 14.9
Best weeks to book
Ranked on 25% last season's SnowSure score (2025-26) · 75% 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. The live score returns when the lifts turn.
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.
Unlock with ProHistorical data from Open-Meteo archive • Forecast: SnowSure™ multi-model blend
22 Tue 10° / 2° | 23 Wed 11° / 2° | 24 Thu 11° / 2° | 25 Fri 15° / 3° | 26 Sat 14° / 3° | 27 Sun 12° / 4° | 28 Mon 9° / 3° | Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | 29 Tue | 30 Wed | 1 Thu | 2 Fri | 3 Sat | 4 Sun | 5 Mon | |
| Conditions | ☀️ | ⛅ | 🌤️ | ☀️ | 🌤️ | ☀️ | ☀️ | ☀️ | ☀️ | ☀️ | ☀️ | ☀️ | ☀️ | ☀️ | ☀️ | ☁️ | ☁️ | 🌤️ | ☁️ | ☁️ | 🌤️ | |||||||
| clear | some clouds | mostly clear | clear | mostly clear | clear | clear | clear | clear | clear | clear | clear | clear | clear | clear | cloudy | cloudy | mostly clear | cloudy | cloudy | mostly clear | ||||||||
| Summit3,300 mModeled | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Temp°C | 4° | 10° | 4° | 4° | 10° | 5° | 4° | 11° | 5° | 6° | 14° | 7° | 6° | 13° | 7° | 6° | 12° | 6° | 4° | 8° | 5° | |||||||
| Feels like°C | 1° | 8° | 2° | 1° | 8° | 2° | 1° | 8° | 2° | 3° | 11° | 4° | 3° | 10° | 3° | 2° | 8° | 3° | 1° | 5° | 2° | |||||||
| Snowcm | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | |||||||
| Precipmm | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | |||||||
| Windkm/h | 1 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | |||||||
| Mid-mountain2,700 mModeled | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Temp°C | 8° | 14° | 8° | 8° | 14° | 9° | 8° | 15° | 9° | 10° | 18° | 11° | 10° | 17° | 11° | 10° | 15° | 10° | 8° | 12° | 9° | |||||||
| Feels like°C | 5° | 12° | 6° | 6° | 13° | 6° | 5° | 13° | 7° | 7° | 15° | 8° | 7° | 14° | 8° | 7° | 12° | 8° | 5° | 9° | 6° | |||||||
| Snowcm | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | |||||||
| Precipmm | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | |||||||
| Windkm/h | 1 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | |||||||
| Base2,100 mModeled | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Temp°C | 12° | 18° | 12° | 12° | 18° | 13° | 12° | 19° | 13° | 14° | 22° | 15° | 14° | 21° | 15° | 13° | 19° | 14° | 12° | 16° | 13° | |||||||
| Feels like°C | 9° | 17° | 11° | 10° | 17° | 11° | 10° | 17° | 12° | 11° | 19° | 12° | 12° | 19° | 12° | 11° | 16° | 12° | 10° | 14° | 11° | |||||||
| Snowcm | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | |||||||
| Precipmm | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | |||||||
| Windkm/h | 1 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | |||||||
| Humidity% | 47 | 50 | 60 | 47 | 46 | 60 | 54 | 40 | 61 | 43 | 24 | 43 | 37 | 27 | 44 | 38 | 32 | 51 | 41 | 36 | 54 | |||||||
| 0°C linem | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||
| Sunhours | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Freeze line is the height where rain turns to snow. Plain: straight from the models. Marked ○: estimated from temperature. Sun is hours of actual sunshine, not day length; blank means we have no reading.
Every model for Sierra Nevada, side by side for 14 days
Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here. Free for 14 days, then yearly.
Unlock with ProThe black line is not a simple average. For Sierra Nevada (pyrenees), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).
Building verification history for this resort.
How we verify forecasts →Spain & Iberia region
El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27
Sierra Nevada is under review in SnowSure's El Niño dataset — we will not publish a rank against a discontinuous historical series.
This station is under review and carries no rank: its record has an era discontinuity our quality pass cannot correct for, so a percentage against it would not mean what it appears to mean.
In 10 past El Niño winters at Sierra Nevada, ERA5 season snowfall median was 33 cm (13 in), about 6% above this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.
Prevailing ONI
El Niño
JJA 2026 · ANOM +1.8°C
Analog season median
33cm
10 El Niño winters · 6% above median
All-season median
31cm
Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)
| Phase | Seasons | Median | p25–p75 | Recent analogs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Niñocurrent | 10 | 33cm | 21cm – 229cm | 2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009 |
| La Niña | 12 | 32cm | 13cm – 207cm | 2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010 |
| ENSO-neutral | 8 | 29cm | 23cm – 223cm | 2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003 |
Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.
How accurate is this forecast?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.
