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Ski Arlberg ski resort
Epic PassView resorts
Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain

Europe

Ski Arlberg Snow Forecast

Closed for the season

Best months to book: March, February, January · last season + 30-yr record

Closed for the season — closed April 19

Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.

Last Snowfall

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Past 24 Hours

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7-Day Forecast

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Snow Depth

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Updated: Sep 20, 4:03 PM•Weather at base: 1,304m
SnowSure™ Score2025-26 season
Closed for the season

Ski Arlberg is closed for the season. Here is when it is usually best to book.

Best months to book: March, February, January. Best weeks: 22 Mar–28 Mar, 15 Mar–21 Mar, 29 Mar–4 Apr.Dec3Jan2Feb1MarAprOpens 6 DecCloses 19 Apr

March

#1 to book

85cm avg · scored 37.8

February

#2 to book

81cm avg · scored 42.3

January

#3 to book

85cm avg

Best weeks to book

  1. #122 Mar – 28 Marscored 49.7
  2. #215 Mar – 21 Marscored 42
  3. #329 Mar – 4 Aprscored 51

Ranked on 25% last season's SnowSure score (2025-26) · 75% 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. The live score returns when the lifts turn.

Snow Summary

2,811m
ECMWFGFSGEMJMAICONMétéo-Fr

Updated Sep 20, 2026 at 4:03 PM

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7-Day Forecast
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S26
Days 8–14 and every model are in Pro.Unlock with Pro
Past
Today
Forecast

Hourly Forecast

20 Sun
10° / -0°
21 Mon
5° / -3°
22 Tue
3° / -7°
23 Wed
7° / -6°
24 Thu
3° / -5°
25 Fri
6° / -7°
26 Sat
11° / -3°
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight27 Sun28 Mon29 Tue30 Wed1 Thu2 Fri3 Sat
Conditions🌤️☁️⛅⛅☁️☁️☀️☀️☀️☀️🌤️☀️🌤️🌧️⛅☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️
mostly clearcloudysome cloudssome cloudscloudycloudyclearclearclearclearmostly clearclearmostly cleardrizzlesome cloudsclearclearclearclearclearclear
Summit2,811 mModeled
Temp°C4°9°2°1°5°-1°-3°3°-4°0°7°-2°1°0°-3°-3°5°-3°2°9°1°
Feels like°C1°6°-1°-2°1°-4°-6°-1°-7°-4°3°-6°-3°-5°-6°-6°2°-7°-2°6°-2°
Snowcm·············2.61.3······
Precipmm·············5.11.8······
Windkm/h3104511339328310164272372
Mid-mountain2,058 mModeled
Temp°C9°14°7°6°10°4°2°8°1°5°11°3°6°5°2°2°10°1°7°14°6°
Feels like°C6°11°4°4°7°2°-1°4°-2°2°8°0°2°1°0°-1°7°-1°4°11°3°
Snowcm·············0.20.2······
Precipmm·············5.11.8······
Windkm/h3104511339328310164272372
Base1,304 mModeled
Temp°C14°19°11°11°14°9°7°13°6°10°16°7°11°10°7°7°15°6°12°19°11°
Feels like°C12°17°10°10°12°8°4°10°4°7°14°5°8°7°5°5°13°5°9°17°8°
Snowcm·············0.20.2······
Precipmm·············5.11.8······
Windkm/h3104511339328310164272372
Humidity%535081746490674689304065708582734985363153
0°C linem—————————————————————
Forecast Range · SnowSure Pro

Every model for Ski Arlberg, side by side for 14 days

Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here. Free for 14 days, then yearly.

Unlock with Pro

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For Ski Arlberg (alps), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

  • 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
  • 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
  • 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Snowfall Forecast Maps

The Alps region

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27

Ski Arlberg El Niño rank & forecast

Ski Arlberg ranks #65 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier A, +11% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain: Historically snowed much more than normal in strong El Niño winters (≥ +8% vs this resort’s own 30-year average).

#65 of 488Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain

Strong-event signal: +11% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Ski Arlberg averaged +11% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. The pattern has historically been a friend here. With a record-strength event forecast for winter 2026-27, Ski Arlberg sits on the favorable side of the ledger. Analog winters: '97-98 -12%, '15-16 -9%, '23-24 +53%. A pattern, not a promise.

'97-98 −12%'15-16 −9%'23-24 +53%

Signal = average snowfall in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996 ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24) vs this resort's own 30-year ERA5 baseline. n=3 — a lean, not a law. Updated monthly against measured snowfall Dec–Mar.

Full El Niño report →

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 10 past El Niño winters at Ski Arlberg, ERA5 season snowfall median was 517 cm (204 in), about 7% below this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

JJA 2026 · ANOM +1.8°C

Analog season median

517cm

10 El Niño winters · 7% below median

All-season median

557cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)

PhaseSeasonsMedianp25–p75Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent10517cm474cm – 578cm2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009
La Niña12638cm561cm – 711cm2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010
ENSO-neutral8526cm443cm – 589cm2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Local Reports

0 reports

How accurate is this forecast?

We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.

→

Frequently asked questions about Ski Arlberg

How much snow is Ski Arlberg getting this week?
No significant snow is forecast at Ski Arlberg over the next 7 days.
What is the 14-day snow forecast for Ski Arlberg?
The full 14-day forecast for Ski Arlberg — the SnowSure™ blend and every model we track, day by day — is part of SnowSure Pro. The first 7 days are free on this page.
How accurate are SnowSure forecasts for Ski Arlberg?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell and publish the results — see our forecast verification pages for model-by-model accuracy, updated continuously.