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Snowy Range Ski Area ski resort
Tier C — ENSO-proof

North America

Snowy Range Ski Area Snow Forecast

Projected to open Dec 4

Projected to open December 4, 2026

Best months to book: April, March, February · 30-yr snow record

Projected to open Dec 4

Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.

Last Snowfall

Oct 16

today

Past 24 Hours

3cm

Past 48 Hours

10cm

Past 10 Days

19cm

7-Day Forecast

0cm

Snow Depth

--

Updated: Oct 16, 12:08 PM•Weather at base: 2,682m
SnowSure™ ScoreWhen to book
Projected to open Dec 4

Snowy Range Ski Area is projected to open December 4, 2026. Here is when it is usually best to book.

Best months to book: April, March, February.NovDecJan3Feb2Mar1AprMay

Best months to book

  1. #1April46cm avg
  2. #2March38cm avg
  3. #3February35cm avg

Ranked on 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. The live score returns when the lifts turn.

Snow Summary

Updated Oct 16 at 12:08 PM

19cm
Season
2cm
Past 10 days
8cm
48h
10cm
24h
0cm
Today
0cm
Next 6 days
Days 8–14 · Pro
2
Seasontotal
8
10
Wed14
Thu15
14 daystotal
—
—
—
—
—
—
0
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
SunOct 4
Mon5
Tue6
Wed7
Thu8
Fri9
Sat10
Sun11
Mon12
Tue13
TODAY16
Sat17
Sun18
Mon19
Tue20
Wed21
Thu22
Fri23
Sat24
Sun25
Mon26
Tue27
Wed28
Thu29
Freezing line

Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro

Hourly Forecast

16 Fri
9° / -10°
17 Sat
12° / -2°
18 Sun
12° / -1°
19 Mon
10° / -1°
20 Tue
11° / 0°
21 Wed
12° / 1°
22 Thu
11° / 1°
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight23 Fri24 Sat25 Sun26 Mon27 Tue28 Wed29 Thu
Conditions☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️⛅☀️🌤️🌤️☀️☀️☀️☀️☁️🌧️🌧️
clearclearclearclearclearclearclearclearclearclearsome cloudsclearmostly clearmostly clearclearclearclearclearcloudylight drizzlelight drizzle
Summit2,945 mModeled
Temp°C-1°8°-2°5°12°3°5°11°3°4°11°3°5°10°3°5°10°4°6°11°4°
Feels like°C-5°4°-10°-2°6°-5°0°7°-3°0°5°-2°0°4°-2°2°7°0°2°6°1°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm·············0.1··0.3··0.40.9
Windkm/h258111512988511812187511612144
Mid-mountain2,814 mModeled
Temp°C0°9°0°5°13°4°6°12°4°5°12°4°6°11°4°6°11°5°7°12°6°
Feels like°C-4°5°-9°-1°6°-4°0°8°-2°1°6°-1°1°5°-1°3°8°1°3°7°2°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm·············0.1··0.3··0.40.7
Windkm/h258111512988511812187511612144
Base2,682 mModeled
Temp°C0°9°0°6°14°5°6°13°5°6°13°5°6°12°5°7°12°6°8°13°6°
Feels like°C-3°5°-8°0°7°-3°1°9°-1°2°7°0°2°6°0°4°9°2°4°8°3°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm·············0.1··0.3··0.40.7
Windkm/h258111512988511812187511612144
Humidity%411966332543412648565172814582664074666791
0°C linem—————————————————————
Sunhours

Freeze line is the height where rain turns to snow. Plain: straight from the models. Marked ○: estimated from temperature. Sun is hours of actual sunshine, not day length; blank means we have no reading.

Forecast Range · SnowSure Pro

Every model for Snowy Range Ski Area, side by side for 14 days

Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here.

Unlock with Pro

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For Snowy Range Ski Area (rockies), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

  • 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
  • 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
  • 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Snowfall Forecast Maps

Rockies & Southwest region

14 Day map is in SnowSure ProUnlock with Pro

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27

Snowy Range Ski Area El Niño rank & forecast

Snowy Range Ski Area ranks #211 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier C, 0% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier C — ENSO-proof: Strong El Niño winters looked like a normal year here — within about ±3% of this resort’s own 30-year snowfall average. Not a jackpot, not a bust: a hedge if you’re planning around El Niño.

#211 of 488Tier C — ENSO-proof

Strong-event signal: 0% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Snowy Range Ski Area averaged +0% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. El Niño has historically made little difference here — this is an ENSO-proof mountain, for winter 2026-27 as in past events. Analog winters: '97-98 -28%, '15-16 +2%, '23-24 +28%. A pattern, not a promise.

'97-98 −28%'15-16 +2%'23-24 +28%

Signal = average snowfall in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996 ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24) vs this resort's own 30-year ERA5 baseline. n=3 — a lean, not a law. Updated monthly against measured snowfall Dec–Mar.

Full El Niño report →

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 10 past El Niño winters at Snowy Range Ski Area, ERA5 season snowfall median was 273 cm (107 in), about 2% above this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

JAS 2026 · ANOM +2.16°C

Analog season median

273cm

10 El Niño winters · 2% above median

All-season median

268cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)

PhaseSeasonsMedianp25–p75Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent10273cm243cm – 321cm2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009
La Niña12258cm228cm – 366cm2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010
ENSO-neutral8273cm197cm – 297cm2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Local Reports

0 reports

How accurate is this forecast?

We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.

→

Frequently asked questions about Snowy Range Ski Area

How much snow is Snowy Range Ski Area getting this week?
No significant snow is forecast at Snowy Range Ski Area over the next 7 days.
What is the 14-day snow forecast for Snowy Range Ski Area?
The full 14-day forecast for Snowy Range Ski Area — the SnowSure™ blend and every model we track, day by day — is part of SnowSure Pro. The first 7 days are free on this page.
How accurate are SnowSure forecasts for Snowy Range Ski Area?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell and publish the results — see our forecast verification pages for model-by-model accuracy, updated continuously.