Name: SnowSure MCP Server
Author: SnowSure

View resorts

Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain

North America

Projected to open Nov 19

Projected to open November 19, 2026

Best months to book: March, February, January · 30-yr snow record

Scroll for happiness

Projected to open Nov 19

Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.

Last Snowfall

Oct 14

2d ago

Past 24 Hours

0cm

Past 48 Hours

0cm

Past 10 Days

32cm

7-Day Forecast

3cm

Snow Depth

Updated: Oct 16, 11:06 AM•Weather at base: 2,437m

SnowSure™ ScoreWhen to book

Projected to open Nov 19

Solitude is projected to open November 19, 2026. Here is when it is usually best to book.

Best months to book

#1March54cm avg
#2February56cm avg
#3January61cm avg

Ranked on 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. The live score returns when the lifts turn.

Snow Summary

Updated Oct 16 at 11:06 AM

Snow qualityHeavyAverageLightmeasuredestimated

Freezing line

32cm

Season

27cm

Past 10 days

5cm

48h

0cm

24h

0cm

Today

9cm

Next 6 days

Days 8–14 · Pro

Seasontotal

Wed14

Thu15

14 daystotal

—

SunOct 4

Mon5

Tue6

Wed7

Thu8

Fri9

Sat10

Sun11

Mon12

Tue13

TODAY16

Sat17

Sun18

Mon19

Tue20

Wed21

Thu22

Fri23

Sat24

Sun25

Mon26

Tue27

Wed28

Thu29

Freezing line

Snow qualityHeavyAverageLightmeasuredestimated

Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro

Hourly Forecast

	16 Fri 9° / -6°			17 Sat 11° / -4°			18 Sun 9° / -4°			19 Mon 9° / -4°			20 Tue 7° / -1°			21 Wed 9° / -2°			22 Thu 4° / -1°			Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
	AM	PM	Night	AM	PM	Night	AM	PM	Night	AM	PM	Night	AM	PM	Night	AM	PM	Night	AM	PM	Night	23 Fri	24 Sat	25 Sun	26 Mon	27 Tue	28 Wed	29 Thu
Conditions	☀️	☀️	☀️	🌤️	☀️	☀️	⛅	☀️	☀️	☀️	🌤️	☀️	🌤️	🌧️	🌧️	🌤️	🌤️	🌤️	🌧️	🌧️	🌤️	❄️	☀️	☀️	☀️	☀️	☀️	🌤️
	clear	clear	clear	mostly clear	clear	clear	some clouds	clear	clear	clear	mostly clear	clear	mostly clear	light drizzle	light drizzle	mostly clear	mostly clear	mostly clear	light drizzle	light rain	mostly clear	heavy snow	clear	clear	clear	clear	clear	mostly clear
Summit3,197 mModeled
Temp°C	0°	8°	0°	2°	9°	2°	1°	9°	1°	0°	8°	1°	1°	5°	1°	1°	6°	2°	2°	4°	0°	-3°	-4°	-3°	-2°	0°	-3°	-5°
Feels like°C	-7°	5°	-5°	-4°	7°	-5°	-4°	5°	-4°	-4°	4°	-4°	-3°	2°	-3°	-3°	4°	-2°	-2°	1°	-3°	-6°	-7°	-5°	-4°	-4°	-5°	-5°
Snowcm	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	0.3	·	0.6	0.3	0.2	1	0.4	0.3	5.7	20	3	0.9	1.4	0.1	6.2	2.6
Precipmm	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	0.2	0.5	2.7	2.9	0.7	1.1	2.2	1.4	9.6	10.7	29.1	3.4	0.2	1.2	0.1	8.3	2.9
Windkm/h	1	2	1	2	4	3	2	6	2	2	8	3	6	9	2	5	11	3	4	4	3	3	4	2	2	2	2	3
Mid-mountain2,817 mModeled
Temp°C	2°	10°	3°	4°	12°	4°	4°	11°	4°	3°	10°	4°	4°	8°	4°	4°	9°	4°	5°	7°	3°	0°	-2°	-0°	1°	2°	-1°	-3°
Feels like°C	-4°	7°	-2°	-1°	9°	-2°	-1°	7°	-2°	-1°	7°	-1°	0°	5°	0°	0°	6°	1°	1°	4°	0°	-4°	-4°	-2°	-1°	-1°	-2°	-2°
Snowcm	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.7	14.9	1.9	0.5	0.7	0.1	4.6	2
Precipmm	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	0.2	0.5	2.3	2.3	0.6	0.9	1.8	1.0	8.0	8.8	24.0	2.8	0.2	1.1	0.1	7.0	2.5
Windkm/h	1	2	1	2	4	3	2	6	2	2	8	3	6	9	2	5	11	3	4	4	3	3	4	2	2	2	2	3
Base2,437 mModeled
Temp°C	4°	13°	5°	7°	14°	7°	6°	14°	6°	6°	13°	6°	6°	11°	6°	6°	11°	7°	8°	9°	5°	2°	1°	2°	4°	5°	2°	-0°
Feels like°C	-2°	10°	0°	1°	12°	1°	1°	10°	1°	2°	10°	2°	3°	8°	3°	3°	9°	4°	4°	7°	2°	-1°	-2°	0°	2°	2°	1°	0°
Snowcm	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	0.2	0.1	0.2	3.9	1.3	0.4	0.5	·	3.8	1.5
Precipmm	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	0.1	0.4	1.9	1.9	0.5	0.7	1.5	0.9	6.7	7.5	20.1	2.2	0.1	1.0	0.1	5.8	2.0
Windkm/h	1	2	1	2	4	3	2	6	2	2	8	3	6	9	2	5	11	3	4	4	3	3	4	2	2	2	2	3
Humidity%	54	26	55	44	26	40	52	29	43	63	39	66	87	56	81	81	47	73	80	86	90	94	65	44	46	49	47	56
0°C linem	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	3,000	2,150	2,150	2,350	3,100	2,500	1,800
Sunhours																						0	9	9	9	9	9	9

Freeze line is the height where rain turns to snow. Plain: straight from the models. Marked ○: estimated from temperature. Sun is hours of actual sunshine, not day length; blank means we have no reading.

Forecast Range · SnowSure Pro

Every model for Solitude, side by side for 14 days

Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here.

Unlock with Pro

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For Solitude (rockies), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Snowfall Forecast Maps

Utah region

14 Day map is in SnowSure ProUnlock with Pro

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27

Solitude El Niño rank & forecast

Solitude ranks Under review SnowSure resorts — Tier A, +9% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain: Historically snowed much more than normal in strong El Niño winters (≥ +8% vs this resort’s own 30-year average).

Under reviewTier A — Prime El Niño terrain

Strong-event signal: +9% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

This resort carries no separate rank: its 30-year record is identical to brighton, which is the ranked entry for this measurement. At ~31km resolution the reanalysis cannot resolve them as different mountains, so publishing both would be publishing one number twice.

'97-98 −4%'15-16 −26%'23-24 +58%

Signal = average snowfall in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996 ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24) vs this resort's own 30-year ERA5 baseline. n=3 — a lean, not a law. Updated monthly against measured snowfall Dec–Mar.

Full El Niño report →

Key

What the tiers mean

% vs each resort's own 30-year average in strong El Niño winters.

Tier	Signal	Means
A — Prime terrain	≥ +8%	Historically much snowier than normal.
B — Favored	+3% to +8%	Modest upside vs normal.
C — ENSO-proof	about −3% to +3%	Near-normal snowfall — a hedge, not a jackpot or bust.
D — Late bloomer	−3% to −8%	Often lighter early — aim Feb–Mar.
E — Timing play	≤ −8%	Often lighter overall — aim late winter.

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 10 past El Niño winters at Solitude, ERA5 season snowfall median was 325 cm (128 in), about 5% below this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

JAS 2026 · ANOM +2.16°C

Analog season median

325cm

10 El Niño winters · 5% below median

All-season median

342cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)

Phase	Seasons	Median	p25–p75	Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent	10	325cm	277cm – 390cm	2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009
La Niña	12	342cm	306cm – 439cm	2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010
ENSO-neutral	8	377cm	270cm – 482cm	2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Local Reports

0 reports

How accurate is this forecast?

We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.

→