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St-Luc-Chandolin ski resort
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Tier B — Favored

Europe

St-Luc-Chandolin Snow Forecast

Closed for the season

Best months to book: March, January, February · last season + 30-yr record

Closed for the season — closed April 12

Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.

Last Snowfall

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Past 24 Hours

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7-Day Forecast

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Snow Depth

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Updated: Sep 20, 5:04 PM•Weather at base: 1,680m
SnowSure™ Score2025-26 season
Closed for the season

St-Luc-Chandolin is closed for the season. Here is when it is usually best to book.

Best months to book: March, January, February. Best weeks: 15 Mar–21 Mar, 22 Mar–28 Mar, 29 Mar–4 Apr.Dec2Jan3Feb1MarAprOpens 18 DecCloses 12 Apr

March

#1 to book

72cm avg · scored 22

January

#2 to book

85cm avg

February

#3 to book

70cm avg · scored 16.4

Best weeks to book

  1. #115 Mar – 21 Marscored 26.9
  2. #222 Mar – 28 Marscored 26.7
  3. #329 Mar – 4 Aprscored 31.1

Ranked on 25% last season's SnowSure score (2025-26) · 75% 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. The live score returns when the lifts turn.

Snow Summary

2,900m
ECMWFGFSGEMJMAICONMétéo-Fr

Updated Sep 20, 2026 at 5:04 PM

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24h
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Past 10d
7-Day Forecast
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Prev10d
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Now20
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M21
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T22
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W23
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F25
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S26
Days 8–14 and every model are in Pro.Unlock with Pro
Past
Today
Forecast

Hourly Forecast

20 Sun
8° / 2°
21 Mon
7° / 1°
22 Tue
7° / 3°
23 Wed
7° / 1°
24 Thu
4° / -2°
25 Fri
7° / -2°
26 Sat
9° / 3°
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight27 Sun28 Mon29 Tue30 Wed1 Thu2 Fri3 Sat
Conditions⛅🌤️⛅☀️☁️☁️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️🌤️☁️🌤️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️
some cloudsmostly clearsome cloudsclearcloudycloudyclearclearclearclearclearclearmostly clearcloudymostly clearclearclearclearclearclearclear
Summit2,900 mModeled
Temp°C4°8°3°4°7°3°4°7°3°4°7°3°2°4°0°2°6°2°5°8°5°
Feels like°C1°6°0°1°4°0°0°4°0°1°4°0°-1°0°-4°-2°3°-2°2°6°1°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm·····················
Windkm/h4634735835637158564442
Mid-mountain2,290 mModeled
Temp°C5°16°6°5°15°6°6°15°6°6°15°6°5°12°4°2°14°4°5°16°7°
Feels like°C3°13°4°3°12°4°3°11°4°3°12°4°2°8°1°-1°10°0°2°12°4°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm·····················
Windkm/h1721721822822102171151
Base1,680 mModeled
Temp°C9°20°10°9°19°10°10°19°10°10°19°10°9°16°8°6°18°8°9°20°11°
Feels like°C7°18°9°7°16°8°7°16°8°8°16°8°6°12°6°3°14°5°6°17°8°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm·····················
Windkm/h1721721822822102171151
Humidity%693469633073492367603466602967391450371738
0°C linem—————————————————————
Forecast Range · SnowSure Pro

Every model for St-Luc-Chandolin, side by side for 14 days

Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here. Free for 14 days, then yearly.

Unlock with Pro

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For St-Luc-Chandolin (alps), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

  • 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
  • 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
  • 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Snowfall Forecast Maps

The Alps region

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27

St-Luc-Chandolin El Niño rank & forecast

St-Luc-Chandolin ranks #120 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier B, +7% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier B — Favored: Modest El Niño upside (+3% to +8% vs normal). Often a solid pick, without the biggest Andes-style swings.

#120 of 488Tier B — Favored

Strong-event signal: +7% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), St-Luc-Chandolin averaged +7% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. The pattern has historically leaned mildly in this resort's favor for winter 2026-27. Analog winters: '97-98 -16%, '15-16 +1%, '23-24 +36%. A pattern, not a promise.

'97-98 −16%'15-16 +1%'23-24 +36%

Signal = average snowfall in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996 ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24) vs this resort's own 30-year ERA5 baseline. n=3 — a lean, not a law. Updated monthly against measured snowfall Dec–Mar.

Full El Niño report →

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 10 past El Niño winters at St-Luc-Chandolin, ERA5 season snowfall median was 473 cm (186 in), about 10% below this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

JJA 2026 · ANOM +1.8°C

Analog season median

473cm

10 El Niño winters · 10% below median

All-season median

528cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)

PhaseSeasonsMedianp25–p75Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent10473cm448cm – 611cm2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009
La Niña12553cm508cm – 604cm2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010
ENSO-neutral8534cm485cm – 581cm2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Local Reports

0 reports

How accurate is this forecast?

We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.

→

Frequently asked questions about St-Luc-Chandolin

How much snow is St-Luc-Chandolin getting this week?
No significant snow is forecast at St-Luc-Chandolin over the next 7 days.
What is the 14-day snow forecast for St-Luc-Chandolin?
The full 14-day forecast for St-Luc-Chandolin — the SnowSure™ blend and every model we track, day by day — is part of SnowSure Pro. The first 7 days are free on this page.
How accurate are SnowSure forecasts for St-Luc-Chandolin?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell and publish the results — see our forecast verification pages for model-by-model accuracy, updated continuously.