El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27
St. Moritz – Corviglia El Niño rank & forecast
St. Moritz – Corviglia ranks #114 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier B, +7% in strong El Niño winters.
Tier B — Favored: Modest El Niño upside (+3% to +8% vs normal). Often a solid pick, without the biggest Andes-style swings.
Strong-event signal: +7% vs this resort's 30-yr avg
In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), St. Moritz – Corviglia averaged +7% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. The pattern has historically leaned mildly in this resort's favor for winter 2026-27. Analog winters: '97-98 -13%, '15-16 -2%, '23-24 +37%. A pattern, not a promise.







