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Sunlight ski resort
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Tier B — Favored

North America

Sunlight Snow Forecast

Projected to open December 12, 2026

Best months to book: February, April, March · last season + 30-yr record

Projected to open Dec 12 — closed April 5

Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.

Last Snowfall

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Past 24 Hours

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Past 48 Hours

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Past 10 Days

0cm

7-Day Forecast

5cm

Snow Depth

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Updated: Oct 14, 12:01 AM•Weather at base: 2,403m
SnowSure™ Score2025-26 season
Projected to open Dec 12

Sunlight is projected to open December 12, 2026. Here is when it is usually best to book.

Best months to book: February, April, March. Best weeks: 1 Mar–7 Mar, 22 Feb–28 Feb, 8 Mar–14 Mar.DecJan1Feb3Mar2AprOpens 12 DecCloses 5 Apr

Best months to book

  1. #1February40cm avg · last season 25.9
  2. #2April34cm avg · last season 29.2
  3. #3March39cm avg · last season 19.2

Best weeks to book

  1. #1 1 Mar – 7 Mar · last season 29
  2. #2 22 Feb – 28 Feb · last season 25.9
  3. #3 8 Mar – 14 Mar · last season 21.7

Ranked on 25% last season's SnowSure score (2025-26) · 75% 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. The live score returns when the lifts turn.

Snow Summary

2,814m · mid-upper
ECMWFGFSGEMJMAICONMétéo-FrUKMONBM

Updated Oct 14, 2026 at 12:01 AM

0cm
24h
5cm
Past 10d
7-Day Forecast
0
Prev10d
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Now13
3
W14
2
T15
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F16
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S17
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S18
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M19
Days 8–14 and every model are in Pro.Unlock with Pro
Past
Today
Forecast

Hourly Forecast

13 Tue
10° / 1°
14 Wed
4° / -3°
15 Thu
5° / -6°
16 Fri
10° / -9°
17 Sat
12° / -4°
18 Sun
9° / -2°
19 Mon
9° / -2°
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight20 Tue21 Wed22 Thu23 Fri24 Sat25 Sun26 Mon
Conditions🌧️🌧️🌧️🌧️❄️🌧️🌧️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☁️☀️☁️🌤️🌤️🌤️🌤️☀️
light drizzlelight drizzledrizzledrizzlelight snowlight drizzlelight drizzleclearclearclearclearclearclearcloudyclearcloudymostly clearmostly clearmostly clearmostly clearclear
Summit3,016 mModeled
Temp°C3°9°3°0°3°-1°-2°4°-3°-4°8°-3°0°10°0°1°8°0°2°8°1°
Feels like°C0°5°1°-3°-1°-4°-5°-1°-6°-8°5°-7°-3°7°-3°-3°4°-3°-1°6°-1°
Snowcm0.9·0.83.414.10.6·3.4············
Precipmm1.80.59.15.18.06.10.9·4.3············
Windkm/h31024935175533352172121
Mid-mountain2,710 mModeled
Temp°C5°11°5°2°5°1°0°6°-1°-2°10°-1°2°12°2°3°10°2°4°10°3°
Feels like°C3°7°3°0°1°-2°-3°1°-4°-6°7°-5°-1°9°-1°0°6°-1°1°8°1°
Snowcm····0.41.70.6·2.9············
Precipmm1.80.59.15.18.06.10.9·4.3············
Windkm/h31024935175533352172121
Base2,403 mModeled
Temp°C7°13°7°4°7°3°2°8°1°0°12°1°4°14°4°5°12°4°6°12°5°
Feels like°C5°10°6°2°4°1°-1°4°-2°-4°9°-2°1°11°1°2°9°2°4°10°3°
Snowcm····0.40.10.5·2.5············
Precipmm1.80.59.15.18.06.10.9·4.3············
Windkm/h31024935175533352172121
Humidity%844285988198894682552459452348514465695174
0°C linem—————————————————————
Sunhours

Freeze line is the height where rain turns to snow. Plain: straight from the models. Marked ○: estimated from temperature. Sun is hours of actual sunshine, not day length; blank means we have no reading.

Forecast Range · SnowSure Pro

Every model for Sunlight, side by side for 14 days

Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here.

Unlock with Pro

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For Sunlight (rockies), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

  • 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
  • 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
  • 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Snowfall Forecast Maps

Rockies & Southwest region

14 Day map is in SnowSure ProUnlock with Pro

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27

Sunlight El Niño rank & forecast

Sunlight ranks #131 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier B, +6% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier B — Favored: Modest El Niño upside (+3% to +8% vs normal). Often a solid pick, without the biggest Andes-style swings.

#131 of 488Tier B — Favored

Strong-event signal: +6% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Sunlight averaged +6% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. The pattern has historically leaned mildly in this resort's favor for winter 2026-27. Analog winters: '97-98 +0%, '15-16 +1%, '23-24 +18%. A pattern, not a promise.

'97-98 0%'15-16 +1%'23-24 +18%

Signal = average snowfall in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996 ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24) vs this resort's own 30-year ERA5 baseline. n=3 — a lean, not a law. Updated monthly against measured snowfall Dec–Mar.

Full El Niño report →

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 10 past El Niño winters at Sunlight, ERA5 season snowfall median was 263 cm (104 in), about 2% below this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

JAS 2026 · ANOM +2.16°C

Analog season median

263cm

10 El Niño winters · 2% below median

All-season median

267cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)

PhaseSeasonsMedianp25–p75Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent10263cm244cm – 285cm2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009
La Niña12275cm216cm – 307cm2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010
ENSO-neutral8244cm226cm – 288cm2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Local Reports

0 reports

How accurate is this forecast?

We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.

→

Frequently asked questions about Sunlight

How much snow is Sunlight getting this week?
The SnowSure™ blend forecasts about 5 cm (2 in) of snow at Sunlight over the next 7 days.
What is the 14-day snow forecast for Sunlight?
The full 14-day forecast for Sunlight — the SnowSure™ blend and every model we track, day by day — is part of SnowSure Pro. The first 7 days are free on this page.
How accurate are SnowSure forecasts for Sunlight?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell and publish the results — see our forecast verification pages for model-by-model accuracy, updated continuously.