El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27
Val di Fiemme–Obereggen El Niño rank & forecast
Val di Fiemme–Obereggen ranks #250 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier C, −3% in strong El Niño winters.
Tier C — ENSO-proof: Strong El Niño winters looked like a normal year here — within about ±3% of this resort’s own 30-year snowfall average. Not a jackpot, not a bust: a hedge if you’re planning around El Niño.
#250 of 488Tier C — ENSO-proof
Strong-event signal: −3% vs this resort's 30-yr avg
In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Val di Fiemme–Obereggen averaged -3% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. El Niño has historically made little difference here — this is an ENSO-proof mountain, for winter 2026-27 as in past events. Analog winters: '97-98 -16%, '15-16 -2%, '23-24 +9%. A pattern, not a promise.
'97-98 −16%'15-16 −2%'23-24 +9%
