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Val Gardena ski resort
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Tier B — Favored

Europe

Val Gardena Snow Forecast

Projected to open December 5, 2026

Best months to book: March, February, January · last season + 30-yr record

Projected to open Dec 5 — closed April 19

Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.

Last Snowfall

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Past 24 Hours

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Past 48 Hours

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Past 10 Days

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7-Day Forecast

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Snow Depth

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Updated: Oct 14, 2:05 AM•Weather at base: 1,236m
SnowSure™ Score2025-26 season
Projected to open Dec 5

Val Gardena is projected to open December 5, 2026. Here is when it is usually best to book.

Best months to book: March, February, January. Best weeks: 15 Mar–21 Mar, 22 Mar–28 Mar, 8 Mar–14 Mar.Dec3Jan2Feb1MarAprOpens 5 DecCloses 19 Apr

Best months to book

  1. #1March37cm avg · last season 25.5
  2. #2February32cm avg · last season 24.3
  3. #3January30cm avg

Best weeks to book

  1. #1 15 Mar – 21 Mar · last season 31
  2. #2 22 Mar – 28 Mar · last season 30
  3. #3 8 Mar – 14 Mar · last season 23

Ranked on 25% last season's SnowSure score (2025-26) · 75% 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. The live score returns when the lifts turn.

Snow Summary

2,095m · mid-upper
ECMWFGFSGEMJMAICONMétéo-FrUKMOMeteoSwissICON-2I

Updated Oct 14, 2026 at 2:05 AM

0cm
24h
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Past 10d
7-Day Forecast
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Prev10d
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Now14
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T15
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F16
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S17
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S18
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M19
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T20
Days 8–14 and every model are in Pro.Unlock with Pro
Past
Today
Forecast

Hourly Forecast

14 Wed
8° / -0°
15 Thu
9° / 1°
16 Fri
12° / 2°
17 Sat
9° / 0°
18 Sun
4° / -2°
19 Mon
7° / -3°
20 Tue
8° / -1°
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight21 Wed22 Thu23 Fri24 Sat25 Sun26 Mon27 Tue
Conditions🌤️☀️☀️⛅☁️⛅☀️☀️☁️☁️☀️☁️🌧️☁️☁️⛅🌤️🌤️☀️🌤️🌧️
mostly clearclearclearsome cloudscloudysome cloudsclearclearcloudycloudyclearcloudylight drizzlecloudycloudysome cloudsmostly clearmostly clearclearmostly clearlight drizzle
Summit2,518 mModeled
Temp°C2°7°1°3°8°2°5°11°4°5°8°3°0°3°-1°0°6°0°1°7°1°
Feels like°C-1°4°-1°0°5°-1°2°7°1°2°5°0°-3°-1°-4°-3°3°-3°-1°5°-1°
Snowcm············1.4·0.2······
Precipmm··········0.30.62.40.30.3····0.30.6
Windkm/h3712512611426105263122
Mid-mountain1,877 mModeled
Temp°C6°11°5°7°12°6°9°15°8°9°12°7°5°7°4°4°10°4°5°11°6°
Feels like°C4°9°4°5°9°4°6°12°5°6°9°5°2°4°1°1°8°2°4°10°4°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm··········0.30.62.40.30.3····0.30.6
Windkm/h3712512611426105263122
Base1,236 mModeled
Temp°C8°15°8°6°17°8°7°19°9°8°17°9°7°12°8°6°15°8°5°15°7°
Feels like°C6°14°7°4°14°6°4°17°7°6°15°7°6°11°6°4°13°6°4°13°5°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm··0.3········0.61.21.2·······
Windkm/h321331231121211131012
Humidity%866282583563393046484868976891795087866493
0°C linem—————————————————————
Sunhours

Freeze line is the height where rain turns to snow. Plain: straight from the models. Marked ○: estimated from temperature. Sun is hours of actual sunshine, not day length; blank means we have no reading.

Forecast Range · SnowSure Pro

Every model for Val Gardena, side by side for 14 days

Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here.

Unlock with Pro

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For Val Gardena (alps), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

  • 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
  • 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
  • 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Snowfall Forecast Maps

The Alps region

14 Day map is in SnowSure ProUnlock with Pro

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27

Val Gardena El Niño rank & forecast

Val Gardena ranks #119 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier B, +7% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier B — Favored: Modest El Niño upside (+3% to +8% vs normal). Often a solid pick, without the biggest Andes-style swings.

#119 of 488Tier B — Favored

Strong-event signal: +7% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Val Gardena averaged +7% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. The pattern has historically been a friend here. With a record-strength event forecast for winter 2026-27, Val Gardena sits on the favorable side of the ledger. Analog winters: '97-98 -8%, '15-16 -8%, '23-24 +38%. A pattern, not a promise.

'97-98 −8%'15-16 −8%'23-24 +38%

Signal = average snowfall in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996 ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24) vs this resort's own 30-year ERA5 baseline. n=3 — a lean, not a law. Updated monthly against measured snowfall Dec–Mar.

Full El Niño report →

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 10 past El Niño winters at Val Gardena, ERA5 season snowfall median was 240 cm (94 in), about 2% above this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

JAS 2026 · ANOM +2.16°C

Analog season median

240cm

10 El Niño winters · 2% above median

All-season median

235cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)

PhaseSeasonsMedianp25–p75Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent10240cm180cm – 321cm2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009
La Niña12235cm220cm – 340cm2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010
ENSO-neutral8204cm169cm – 320cm2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Local Reports

0 reports

How accurate is this forecast?

We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.

→

Frequently asked questions about Val Gardena

How much snow is Val Gardena getting this week?
No significant snow is forecast at Val Gardena over the next 7 days.
What is the 14-day snow forecast for Val Gardena?
The full 14-day forecast for Val Gardena — the SnowSure™ blend and every model we track, day by day — is part of SnowSure Pro. The first 7 days are free on this page.
How accurate are SnowSure forecasts for Val Gardena?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell and publish the results — see our forecast verification pages for model-by-model accuracy, updated continuously.