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Val Thorens ski resort
Epic PassView resorts
Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain

Europe

Val Thorens Snow Forecast

Closed for the season

Best months to book: March, January, February · last season + 30-yr record

Closed for the season — closed May 3

Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.

Last Snowfall

Sep 10

12d ago

Past 24 Hours

0cm

Past 48 Hours

0cm

Past 10 Days

0cm

7-Day Forecast

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Snow Depth

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Updated: Sep 22, 8:04 AM•Weather at base: 2,300m
SnowSure™ Score2025-26 season
Closed for the season

Val Thorens is closed for the season. Here is when it is usually best to book.

Best months to book: March, January, February. Best weeks: 22 Mar–28 Mar, 15 Mar–21 Mar, 8 Mar–14 Mar.NovDec2Jan3Feb1MarAprMayOpens 21 NovCloses 3 May

March

#1 to book

72cm avg · scored 41.1

January

#2 to book

86cm avg

February

#3 to book

68cm avg · scored 31

Best weeks to book

  1. #122 Mar – 28 Marscored 49.2
  2. #215 Mar – 21 Marscored 45.3
  3. #38 Mar – 14 Marscored 44

Ranked on 25% last season's SnowSure score (2025-26) · 75% 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. The live score returns when the lifts turn.

Snow Summary

3,180m
ECMWFGFSGEMJMAICONMétéo-Fr

Updated Sep 22, 2026 at 8:04 AM

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24h
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Past 10d
7-Day Forecast
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Prev10d
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Now22
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W23
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T24
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F25
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S26
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S27
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M28
Days 8–14 and every model are in Pro.Unlock with Pro
Past
Today
Forecast

Hourly Forecast

22 Tue
10° / -5°
23 Wed
8° / -3°
24 Thu
9° / -3°
25 Fri
10° / -3°
26 Sat
10° / -2°
27 Sun
11° / -1°
28 Mon
11° / -2°
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight29 Tue30 Wed1 Thu2 Fri3 Sat4 Sun5 Mon
Conditions☀️☀️☀️⛅☀️☀️🌤️⛅☁️⛅🌤️☀️☀️☀️☀️🌤️☁️☀️🌤️⛅☁️
clearclearclearsome cloudsclearclearmostly clearsome cloudscloudysome cloudsmostly clearclearclearclearclearmostly clearcloudyclearmostly clearsome cloudscloudy
Summit3,180 mModeled
Temp°C1°9°-1°0°7°0°0°9°0°1°9°0°1°10°1°2°11°2°0°10°1°
Feels like°C-2°6°-4°-3°4°-3°-3°5°-3°-3°5°-3°-2°6°-2°-2°7°-1°-3°6°-2°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm·····················
Windkm/h273373272272261162554
Mid-mountain2,740 mModeled
Temp°C4°12°2°3°10°3°3°11°3°4°12°3°4°13°4°5°14°5°3°12°4°
Feels like°C1°9°-1°0°7°0°0°8°0°0°8°0°1°9°1°1°10°2°0°9°1°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm·····················
Windkm/h273373272272261162554
Base2,300 mModeled
Temp°C6°15°4°6°13°6°6°14°6°6°15°6°7°15°7°8°16°8°6°15°7°
Feels like°C4°12°2°3°11°4°3°11°4°3°12°4°4°12°4°5°13°5°4°12°5°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm·····················
Windkm/h273373272272261162554
Humidity%633886784175552870472566431754322145723168
0°C linem—————————————————————
Sunhours

Freeze line is the height where rain turns to snow. Plain: straight from the models. Marked ○: estimated from temperature. Sun is hours of actual sunshine, not day length; blank means we have no reading.

Forecast Range · SnowSure Pro

Every model for Val Thorens, side by side for 14 days

Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here. Free for 14 days, then yearly.

Unlock with Pro

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For Val Thorens (alps), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

  • 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
  • 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
  • 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Snowfall Forecast Maps

The Alps region

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27

Val Thorens El Niño rank & forecast

Val Thorens ranks #103 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier A, +9% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain: Historically snowed much more than normal in strong El Niño winters (≥ +8% vs this resort’s own 30-year average).

#103 of 488Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain

Strong-event signal: +9% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Val Thorens averaged +9% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. The pattern has historically been a friend here. With a record-strength event forecast for winter 2026-27, Val Thorens sits on the favorable side of the ledger. Analog winters: '97-98 -17%, '15-16 -3%, '23-24 +47%. A pattern, not a promise.

'97-98 −17%'15-16 −4%'23-24 +47%

Signal = average snowfall in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996 ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24) vs this resort's own 30-year ERA5 baseline. n=3 — a lean, not a law. Updated monthly against measured snowfall Dec–Mar.

Full El Niño report →

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 10 past El Niño winters at Val Thorens, ERA5 season snowfall median was 460 cm (181 in), about 9% below this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

JJA 2026 · ANOM +1.8°C

Analog season median

460cm

10 El Niño winters · 9% below median

All-season median

505cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)

PhaseSeasonsMedianp25–p75Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent10460cm415cm – 631cm2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009
La Niña12513cm475cm – 585cm2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010
ENSO-neutral8526cm493cm – 549cm2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Local Reports

0 reports

How accurate is this forecast?

We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.

→

Frequently asked questions about Val Thorens

How much snow is Val Thorens getting this week?
No significant snow is forecast at Val Thorens over the next 7 days.
What is the 14-day snow forecast for Val Thorens?
The full 14-day forecast for Val Thorens — the SnowSure™ blend and every model we track, day by day — is part of SnowSure Pro. The first 7 days are free on this page.
How accurate are SnowSure forecasts for Val Thorens?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell and publish the results — see our forecast verification pages for model-by-model accuracy, updated continuously.