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Verbier ski resort
Epic PassView resorts
Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain

Europe

Verbier Snow Forecast

Closed for the season

Best months to book: March, January, February · last season + 30-yr record

Pre-season — not open yet

Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.

Last Snowfall

Sep 16

5d ago

Past 24 Hours

0cm

Past 48 Hours

0cm

Past 10 Days

2cm

7-Day Forecast

0cm

Snow Depth

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Updated: Sep 21, 9:00 PM•Weather at base: 1,500m
SnowSure™ Score2025-26 season
Pre-season — not open yet

Verbier is closed for the season. Here is when it is usually best to book.

Best months to book: March, January, February. Best weeks: 15 Mar–21 Mar, 22 Mar–28 Mar, 29 Mar–4 Apr.NovDec2Jan3Feb1MarAprOpens 14 NovCloses 26 Apr

March

#1 to book

74cm avg · scored 35.4

January

#2 to book

85cm avg

February

#3 to book

70cm avg · scored 29

Best weeks to book

  1. #115 Mar – 21 Marscored 42.3
  2. #222 Mar – 28 Marscored 40.8
  3. #329 Mar – 4 Aprscored 40.7

Ranked on 25% last season's SnowSure score (2025-26) · 75% 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. The live score returns when the lifts turn.

Snow Summary

3,330m
ECMWFGFSGEMJMAICONMétéo-Fr

Updated Sep 21, 2026 at 9:00 PM

2cm
24h
0cm
Past 10d
7-Day Forecast
2
Prev10d
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Now21
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T22
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W23
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T24
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F25
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S26
—
S27
Days 8–14 and every model are in Pro.Unlock with Pro
Past
Today
Forecast

Hourly Forecast

21 Mon
7° / -2°
22 Tue
6° / -1°
23 Wed
5° / -2°
24 Thu
5° / -3°
25 Fri
6° / -3°
26 Sat
8° / 1°
27 Sun
8° / 0°
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight28 Mon29 Tue30 Wed1 Thu2 Fri3 Sat4 Sun
Conditions⛅⛅☁️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️🌤️☁️⛅⛅🌤️🌤️☀️☀️☀️☀️☁️☀️
some cloudssome cloudscloudyclearclearclearclearclearclearmostly clearcloudysome cloudssome cloudsmostly clearmostly clearclearclearclearclearcloudyclear
Summit3,330 mModeled
Temp°C0°6°0°1°6°0°0°5°-1°0°4°-2°0°6°-1°3°8°2°3°8°2°
Feels like°C-3°2°-3°-3°2°-3°-3°2°-4°-4°0°-5°-4°1°-4°-1°4°-2°-1°4°-1°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm·····················
Windkm/h3812713823124271271142
Mid-mountain2,415 mModeled
Temp°C6°12°6°7°12°6°6°11°5°6°10°4°6°12°5°9°14°8°9°14°8°
Feels like°C3°9°4°4°9°3°4°8°3°3°7°1°2°8°2°6°11°5°6°11°5°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm·····················
Windkm/h3812713823124271271142
Base1,500 mModeled
Temp°C11°19°11°11°19°10°10°18°10°11°17°10°9°19°10°12°21°12°12°21°13°
Feels like°C9°18°10°8°17°9°9°16°9°9°15°8°7°16°9°9°18°10°10°18°11°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm·····················
Windkm/h152252372272261161231
Humidity%533661383755544764444367261139353547403055
0°C linem—————————————————————
Sunhours

Freeze line is the height where rain turns to snow. Plain: straight from the models. Marked ○: estimated from temperature. Sun is hours of actual sunshine, not day length; blank means we have no reading.

Forecast Range · SnowSure Pro

Every model for Verbier, side by side for 14 days

Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here. Free for 14 days, then yearly.

Unlock with Pro

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For Verbier (alps), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

  • 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
  • 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
  • 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Snowfall Forecast Maps

The Alps region

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27

Verbier El Niño rank & forecast

Verbier ranks #66 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier A, +10% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain: Historically snowed much more than normal in strong El Niño winters (≥ +8% vs this resort’s own 30-year average).

#66 of 488Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain

Strong-event signal: +10% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Verbier averaged +10% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline — one of the strongest positive El Niño signals we track. With NOAA forecasting a potentially record event for winter 2026-27, history says this is the winter to book Verbier with confidence. Individual analog winters: '97-98 -19%, '15-16 +4%, '23-24 +46%. A lean, not a law — but the lean is firmly up.

'97-98 −19%'15-16 +4%'23-24 +46%

Signal = average snowfall in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996 ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24) vs this resort's own 30-year ERA5 baseline. n=3 — a lean, not a law. Updated monthly against measured snowfall Dec–Mar.

Full El Niño report →

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 10 past El Niño winters at Verbier, ERA5 season snowfall median was 535 cm (211 in), about 3% below this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

JJA 2026 · ANOM +1.8°C

Analog season median

535cm

10 El Niño winters · 3% below median

All-season median

554cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)

PhaseSeasonsMedianp25–p75Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent10535cm502cm – 702cm2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009
La Niña12565cm522cm – 702cm2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010
ENSO-neutral8561cm547cm – 610cm2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Local Reports

0 reports

How accurate is this forecast?

We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.

→

Frequently asked questions about Verbier

How much snow is Verbier getting this week?
No significant snow is forecast at Verbier over the next 7 days.
What is the 14-day snow forecast for Verbier?
The full 14-day forecast for Verbier — the SnowSure™ blend and every model we track, day by day — is part of SnowSure Pro. The first 7 days are free on this page.
How accurate are SnowSure forecasts for Verbier?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell and publish the results — see our forecast verification pages for model-by-model accuracy, updated continuously.