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Vigiljoch ski resort
Tier B — Favored

Europe

Vigiljoch Snow Forecast

Projected to open December 14, 2026

Best months to book: March, February, April · last season + 30-yr record

Projected to open Dec 14 — closed April 5

Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.

Last Snowfall

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7-Day Forecast

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Snow Depth

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Updated: Oct 14, 7:07 AM•Weather at base: 1,486m
SnowSure™ Score2025-26 season
Projected to open Dec 14

Vigiljoch is projected to open December 14, 2026. Here is when it is usually best to book.

Best months to book: March, February, April. Best weeks: 15 Mar–21 Mar, 8 Mar–14 Mar, 22 Mar–28 Mar.DecJan2Feb1Mar3AprOpens 14 DecCloses 5 Apr

Best months to book

  1. #1March50cm avg · last season 23.9
  2. #2February41cm avg · last season 19.9
  3. #3April49cm avg · last season 17.4

Best weeks to book

  1. #1 15 Mar – 21 Mar · last season 32.3
  2. #2 8 Mar – 14 Mar · last season 24.4
  3. #3 22 Mar – 28 Mar · last season 22.7

Ranked on 25% last season's SnowSure score (2025-26) · 75% 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. The live score returns when the lifts turn.

Snow Summary

1,706m · mid-upper
ECMWFGFSGEMJMAICONMétéo-FrUKMOMeteoSwissICON-2I

Updated Oct 14, 2026 at 7:07 AM

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7-Day Forecast
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Now14
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Days 8–14 and every model are in Pro.Unlock with Pro
Past
Today
Forecast

Hourly Forecast

14 Wed
12° / 6°
15 Thu
13° / 6°
16 Fri
15° / 7°
17 Sat
11° / 5°
18 Sun
5° / 4°
19 Mon
8° / 4°
20 Tue
10° / 4°
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight21 Wed22 Thu23 Fri24 Sat25 Sun26 Mon27 Tue
Conditions⛅🌤️☀️☁️☁️⛅☀️☀️☁️⛅☀️☁️❄️🌧️☁️☁️⛅☁️☀️☀️☀️
some cloudsmostly clearclearcloudycloudysome cloudsclearclearcloudysome cloudsclearcloudylight snowlight drizzlecloudycloudysome cloudscloudyclearclearclear
Summit1,814 mModeled
Temp°C7°12°7°8°13°7°9°15°8°7°10°7°4°5°5°5°8°5°5°10°5°
Feels like°C6°10°5°5°10°4°6°13°6°5°8°5°2°3°3°3°6°3°3°8°3°
Snowcm············0.4········
Precipmm··0.3········0.32.70.90.3······
Windkm/h212212222242562132121
Mid-mountain1,650 mModeled
Temp°C8°13°8°9°14°8°11°16°10°8°11°8°5°6°6°6°9°6°7°11°6°
Feels like°C7°12°7°6°12°6°8°14°7°6°9°6°4°4°4°5°7°4°4°9°5°
Snowcm············0.4········
Precipmm··0.3········0.32.70.90.3······
Windkm/h212212222242562132121
Base1,486 mModeled
Temp°C9°14°9°10°15°9°12°17°11°10°12°9°7°7°7°7°10°7°8°12°7°
Feels like°C8°13°8°7°13°7°9°15°8°7°10°7°5°6°6°6°8°6°6°10°6°
Snowcm············0.4········
Precipmm··0.3········0.32.70.90.3······
Windkm/h212212222242562132121
Humidity%796576404649364044505463989594948193697081
0°C linem—————————————————————
Sunhours

Freeze line is the height where rain turns to snow. Plain: straight from the models. Marked ○: estimated from temperature. Sun is hours of actual sunshine, not day length; blank means we have no reading.

Forecast Range · SnowSure Pro

Every model for Vigiljoch, side by side for 14 days

Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here.

Unlock with Pro

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For Vigiljoch (alps), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

  • 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
  • 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
  • 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Snowfall Forecast Maps

The Alps region

14 Day map is in SnowSure ProUnlock with Pro

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27

Vigiljoch El Niño rank & forecast

Vigiljoch ranks #144 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier B, +6% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier B — Favored: Modest El Niño upside (+3% to +8% vs normal). Often a solid pick, without the biggest Andes-style swings.

#144 of 488Tier B — Favored

Strong-event signal: +6% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Vigiljoch averaged +6% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. The pattern has historically leaned mildly in this resort's favor for winter 2026-27. Analog winters: '97-98 -9%, '15-16 0%, '23-24 +26%. A pattern, not a promise.

'97-98 −10%'15-16 0%'23-24 +26%

Signal = average snowfall in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996 ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24) vs this resort's own 30-year ERA5 baseline. n=3 — a lean, not a law. Updated monthly against measured snowfall Dec–Mar.

Full El Niño report →

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 10 past El Niño winters at Vigiljoch, ERA5 season snowfall median was 373 cm (147 in), about 1% below this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

JAS 2026 · ANOM +2.16°C

Analog season median

373cm

10 El Niño winters · 1% below median

All-season median

376cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)

PhaseSeasonsMedianp25–p75Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent10373cm345cm – 393cm2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009
La Niña12395cm338cm – 423cm2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010
ENSO-neutral8361cm281cm – 465cm2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Local Reports

0 reports

How accurate is this forecast?

We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.

→

Frequently asked questions about Vigiljoch

How much snow is Vigiljoch getting this week?
No significant snow is forecast at Vigiljoch over the next 7 days.
What is the 14-day snow forecast for Vigiljoch?
The full 14-day forecast for Vigiljoch — the SnowSure™ blend and every model we track, day by day — is part of SnowSure Pro. The first 7 days are free on this page.
How accurate are SnowSure forecasts for Vigiljoch?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell and publish the results — see our forecast verification pages for model-by-model accuracy, updated continuously.