North America
Off-season
Closed for the season · reopens Dec 4
Conditions data updated Sun, Sep 6, 12:08 AM UTC · informational only
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Off-season
Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.
Last Snowfall
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Past 24 Hours
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Past 48 Hours
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Past 10 Days
0cm
14-Day Forecast
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Snow Depth
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Off-season
Closed for the season · reopens Dec 4
25 runs · 14 lifts — live counts and the SnowSure™ Score return when the lifts turn.
Updated Sep 6, 2026 at 12:08 AM
Historical data from Open-Meteo archive • Forecast: SnowSure™ multi-model blend
6 Sun 24° / 18° | 7 Mon 24° / 17° | 8 Tue 27° / 17° | 9 Wed 29° / 20° | 10 Thu 25° / 17° | 11 Fri 27° / 16° | 12 Sat 29° / 17° | 13 Sun 23° / 17° | 14 Mon 20° / 12° | 15 Tue 20° / 11° | 16 Wed 23° / 13° | 17 Thu 24° / 14° | 18 Fri 25° / 16° | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | Day | Day | Day | Day | Day | Day | |
| Conditions | ☀️ | ☀️ | ☀️ | ☀️ | 🌤️ | ☁️ | ☁️ | ☀️ | ☁️ | ☁️ | ⛅ | ☁️ | ☁️ | ☀️ | ☀️ | ⛅ | ☀️ | ☀️ | ☀️ | 🌤️ | ☀️ | 🌧️ | ☀️ | ☀️ | ☀️ | 🌤️ | 🌧️ |
| clear | clear | clear | clear | mostly clear | cloudy | cloudy | clear | cloudy | cloudy | some clouds | cloudy | cloudy | clear | clear | some clouds | clear | clear | clear | mostly clear | clear | light drizzle | clear | clear | clear | mostly clear | light drizzle | |
| Summit293 mModeled | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Temp°C | 21° | 23° | 19° | 20° | 24° | 18° | 19° | 26° | 21° | 24° | 28° | 23° | 19° | 24° | 19° | 19° | 26° | 19° | 20° | 28° | 22° | 20° | 16° | 16° | 18° | 19° | 20° |
| Feels like°C | 22° | 24° | 20° | 21° | 24° | 19° | 19° | 27° | 22° | 25° | 28° | 23° | 19° | 24° | 20° | 19° | 26° | 20° | 20° | 28° | 23° | 20° | 15° | 16° | 18° | 19° | 21° |
| Snowcm | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Precipmm | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | 1.6 | 8.6 | · | · | · | · | 0.4 |
| Windkm/h | 10 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 17 | 20 | 17 | 9 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 20 | 14 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 8 |
| Mid-mountain264 mModeled | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Temp°C | 21° | 23° | 19° | 20° | 24° | 19° | 19° | 26° | 22° | 24° | 28° | 24° | 19° | 25° | 19° | 19° | 26° | 19° | 20° | 28° | 22° | 20° | 16° | 16° | 18° | 19° | 20° |
| Feels like°C | 22° | 25° | 20° | 21° | 25° | 20° | 20° | 27° | 22° | 25° | 28° | 23° | 20° | 25° | 20° | 20° | 26° | 20° | 20° | 28° | 23° | 20° | 15° | 16° | 19° | 20° | 21° |
| Snowcm | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Precipmm | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | 1.6 | 8.6 | · | · | · | · | 0.4 |
| Windkm/h | 10 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 17 | 20 | 17 | 9 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 20 | 14 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 8 |
| Base235 mModeled | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Temp°C | 21° | 24° | 19° | 20° | 24° | 19° | 19° | 26° | 22° | 24° | 28° | 24° | 19° | 25° | 20° | 19° | 26° | 20° | 21° | 28° | 23° | 20° | 17° | 16° | 18° | 19° | 21° |
| Feels like°C | 23° | 25° | 20° | 22° | 25° | 20° | 20° | 28° | 22° | 25° | 29° | 23° | 20° | 25° | 21° | 20° | 26° | 20° | 20° | 29° | 23° | 21° | 16° | 17° | 19° | 20° | 21° |
| Snowcm | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Precipmm | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | 1.6 | 8.6 | · | · | · | · | 0.4 |
| Windkm/h | 10 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 17 | 20 | 17 | 9 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 20 | 14 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 8 |
| Humidity% | 85 | 65 | 88 | 80 | 58 | 86 | 81 | 60 | 76 | 70 | 51 | 62 | 79 | 51 | 80 | 76 | 46 | 74 | 71 | 53 | 72 | 86 | 68 | 73 | 71 | 70 | 71 |
| 0°C linem | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
The black line is not a simple average. For Wilmot (rockies), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).
Building verification history for this resort.
How we verify forecasts →Great Lakes & Midwest region
El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27
Wilmot is under review in SnowSure's El Niño dataset — we will not publish a rank against a discontinuous historical series.
This station is under review and carries no rank: its 30-year ERA5 baseline falls below the 80cm floor our methodology commits to, so percentage swings computed on it are unstable by construction. We expect it to benefit from El Niño; our method cannot size that reliably.
In 10 past El Niño winters at Wilmot, ERA5 season snowfall median was 77 cm (30 in), about this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.
Prevailing ONI
El Niño
JJA 2026 · ANOM +1.8°C
Analog season median
77 cm
10 El Niño winters · ≈ long-term median
All-season median
77 cm
Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)
| Phase | Seasons | Median | p25–p75 | Recent analogs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Niñocurrent | 10 | 77 cm | 69 cm – 90 cm | 2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009 |
| La Niña | 12 | 82 cm | 65 cm – 95 cm | 2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010 |
| ENSO-neutral | 8 | 64 cm | 52 cm – 95 cm | 2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003 |
Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.
How accurate is this forecast?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.
