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Ylläs ski resort
Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain

Europe

Ylläs Snow Forecast

Projected to open Nov 6

Projected to open November 6, 2026

Best months to book: February, March, January · 30-yr snow record

Projected to open Nov 6

Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.

Last Snowfall

Oct 14

2d ago

Past 24 Hours

0cm

Past 48 Hours

0cm

Past 10 Days

5cm

7-Day Forecast

0cm

Snow Depth

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Updated: Oct 16, 4:05 AM•Weather at base: 255m
SnowSure™ ScoreWhen to book
Projected to open Nov 6

Ylläs is projected to open November 6, 2026. Here is when it is usually best to book.

Best months to book: February, March, January.NovDec3Jan1Feb2MarAprMay

Best months to book

  1. #1February23cm avg
  2. #2March21cm avg
  3. #3January26cm avg

Ranked on 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. The live score returns when the lifts turn.

Snow Summary

Updated Oct 16 at 4:05 AM

5cm
Season
0cm
Past 10 days
5cm
48h
0cm
24h
0cm
Today
0cm
Next 6 days
Days 8–14 · Pro
Seasontotal
5
Wed14
Thu15
14 daystotal
—
0
—
—
—
—
0
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
SunOct 4
Mon5
Tue6
Wed7
Thu8
Fri9
Sat10
Sun11
Mon12
Tue13
TODAY16
Sat17
Sun18
Mon19
Tue20
Wed21
Thu22
Fri23
Sat24
Sun25
Mon26
Tue27
Wed28
Thu29
Freezing line

Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro

Hourly Forecast

16 Fri
5° / -1°
17 Sat
0° / -5°
18 Sun
-0° / -6°
19 Mon
4° / -4°
20 Tue
7° / -1°
21 Wed
0° / -3°
22 Thu
1° / -1°
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight23 Fri24 Sat25 Sun26 Mon27 Tue28 Wed29 Thu
Conditions☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☁️☁️☀️☁️☁️☁️☁️🌤️☀️☁️☁️☁️☁️☁️☁️
clearclearclearclearclearclearcloudycloudyclearcloudycloudycloudycloudymostly clearclearcloudycloudycloudycloudycloudycloudy
Summit719 mModeled
Temp°C2°3°2°-3°-1°-2°-5°-1°-3°-3°1°-1°2°5°2°-1°1°-1°0°1°0°
Feels like°C-3°-1°-3°-9°-6°-8°-10°-6°-9°-8°-4°-5°0°2°-2°-6°-5°-5°-4°-3°-4°
Snowcm·····0.1············0.1·0.3
Precipmm0.3·4.1··0.1············0.1·0.4
Windkm/h1620161214121012121826182115166139161312
Mid-mountain487 mModeled
Temp°C3°5°3°-1°1°-1°-3°0°-2°-1°3°1°4°6°3°0°3°1°1°2°1°
Feels like°C-1°0°-1°-7°-4°-7°-9°-4°-8°-6°-3°-4°2°4°0°-4°-3°-3°-2°-1°-2°
Snowcm·····0.1··············0.1
Precipmm0.3·3.7··0.1············0.1·0.4
Windkm/h1620161214121012121826182115166139161312
Base255 mModeled
Temp°C5°6°5°0°3°1°-2°2°0°0°4°2°5°8°5°2°4°2°3°4°3°
Feels like°C1°2°1°-5°-2°-5°-7°-3°-6°-4°-1°-2°3°6°2°-3°-1°-1°0°1°0°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm0.3·3.2··0.1············0.1·0.3
Windkm/h1620161214121012121826182115166139161312
Humidity%9872868762817966849981857570841009998989399
0°C linem—————————————————————
Sunhours

Freeze line is the height where rain turns to snow. Plain: straight from the models. Marked ○: estimated from temperature. Sun is hours of actual sunshine, not day length; blank means we have no reading.

Forecast Range · SnowSure Pro

Every model for Ylläs, side by side for 14 days

Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here.

Unlock with Pro

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For Ylläs (scandinavia), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

  • 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
  • 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
  • 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Snowfall Forecast Maps

Scandinavia region

14 Day map is in SnowSure ProUnlock with Pro

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27

Ylläs El Niño rank & forecast

Ylläs ranks #34 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier A, +15% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain: Historically snowed much more than normal in strong El Niño winters (≥ +8% vs this resort’s own 30-year average).

#34 of 488Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain

Strong-event signal: +15% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Ylläs averaged +15% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. The pattern has historically been a friend here. With a record-strength event forecast for winter 2026-27, Ylläs sits on the favorable side of the ledger. Analog winters: '97-98 +9%, '15-16 +15%, '23-24 +21%. A pattern, not a promise.

'97-98 +9%'15-16 +15%'23-24 +21%

Signal = average snowfall in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996 ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24) vs this resort's own 30-year ERA5 baseline. n=3 — a lean, not a law. Updated monthly against measured snowfall Dec–Mar.

Full El Niño report →

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 10 past El Niño winters at Ylläs, ERA5 season snowfall median was 205 cm (81 in), about 6% above this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

JAS 2026 · ANOM +2.16°C

Analog season median

205cm

10 El Niño winters · 6% above median

All-season median

193cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)

PhaseSeasonsMedianp25–p75Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent10205cm194cm – 213cm2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009
La Niña12194cm147cm – 210cm2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010
ENSO-neutral8172cm159cm – 185cm2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Local Reports

0 reports

How accurate is this forecast?

We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.

→

Frequently asked questions about Ylläs

How much snow is Ylläs getting this week?
No significant snow is forecast at Ylläs over the next 7 days.
What is the 14-day snow forecast for Ylläs?
The full 14-day forecast for Ylläs — the SnowSure™ blend and every model we track, day by day — is part of SnowSure Pro. The first 7 days are free on this page.
How accurate are SnowSure forecasts for Ylläs?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell and publish the results — see our forecast verification pages for model-by-model accuracy, updated continuously.