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Closed for the season · reopens Nov 7
Conditions data updated Sun, Sep 6, 01:07 AM UTC · informational only
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Off-season
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Past 24 Hours
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Past 10 Days
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14-Day Forecast
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Snow Depth
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Off-season
Closed for the season · reopens Nov 7
31 runs · 46 lifts — live counts and the SnowSure™ Score return when the lifts turn.
Updated Sep 6, 2026 at 1:07 AM
Historical data from Open-Meteo archive • Forecast: SnowSure™ multi-model blend
6 Sun 19° / 7° | 7 Mon 13° / 5° | 8 Tue 8° / 3° | 9 Wed 11° / 2° | 10 Thu 13° / 3° | 11 Fri 14° / 4° | 12 Sat 15° / 6° | 13 Sun 16° / 7° | 14 Mon 12° / 5° | 15 Tue 14° / 4° | 16 Wed 16° / 4° | 17 Thu 15° / 6° | 18 Fri 12° / 7° | 19 Sat 14° / 7° | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | Day | Day | Day | Day | Day | Day | Day | |
| Conditions | 🌤️ | ⛅ | ☁️ | 🌤️ | 🌧️ | ⛅ | 🌧️ | ☁️ | ⛅ | ☀️ | 🌤️ | 🌤️ | ☀️ | ☀️ | ☀️ | ☀️ | ☀️ | ☀️ | ☀️ | ☁️ | ☀️ | 🌤️ | 🌧️ | 🌧️ | 🌤️ | 🌤️ | 🌧️ | 🌧️ |
| mostly clear | some clouds | cloudy | mostly clear | light drizzle | some clouds | light drizzle | cloudy | some clouds | clear | mostly clear | mostly clear | clear | clear | clear | clear | clear | clear | clear | cloudy | clear | mostly clear | light drizzle | light drizzle | mostly clear | mostly clear | light drizzle | light drizzle | |
| Summit2,160 mModeled | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Temp°C | 14° | 18° | 10° | 10° | 11° | 7° | 3° | 7° | 4° | 6° | 10° | 4° | 8° | 12° | 5° | 9° | 14° | 6° | 11° | 14° | 8° | 12° | 9° | 9° | 11° | 11° | 9° | 10° |
| Feels like°C | 11° | 15° | 8° | 7° | 8° | 5° | -1° | 2° | 0° | 3° | 8° | 1° | 4° | 9° | 2° | 6° | 11° | 3° | 8° | 11° | 5° | 9° | 7° | 8° | 8° | 8° | 7° | 7° |
| Snowcm | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Precipmm | · | · | · | · | 0.9 | 6.9 | 1.2 | · | 5.7 | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | 1.8 | 1.8 | · | · | 3.6 | 4.2 |
| Windkm/h | 7 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 14 |
| Mid-mountain1,905 mModeled | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Temp°C | 15° | 20° | 12° | 11° | 13° | 9° | 4° | 8° | 5° | 7° | 12° | 5° | 9° | 14° | 7° | 11° | 15° | 8° | 13° | 16° | 9° | 13° | 11° | 11° | 12° | 13° | 11° | 12° |
| Feels like°C | 13° | 17° | 10° | 9° | 10° | 7° | 1° | 4° | 2° | 5° | 10° | 2° | 6° | 11° | 4° | 8° | 13° | 5° | 10° | 13° | 7° | 11° | 9° | 10° | 10° | 10° | 9° | 9° |
| Snowcm | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Precipmm | · | · | · | · | 0.9 | 6.9 | 1.2 | · | 5.7 | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | 1.8 | 1.8 | · | · | 3.6 | 4.2 |
| Windkm/h | 7 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 14 |
| Base1,650 mModeled | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Temp°C | 17° | 22° | 13° | 13° | 14° | 11° | 6° | 10° | 7° | 9° | 14° | 7° | 11° | 16° | 9° | 12° | 17° | 10° | 15° | 18° | 11° | 15° | 13° | 13° | 14° | 14° | 13° | 13° |
| Feels like°C | 15° | 19° | 12° | 11° | 12° | 9° | 3° | 6° | 4° | 7° | 12° | 4° | 8° | 13° | 6° | 10° | 15° | 7° | 12° | 15° | 8° | 13° | 11° | 12° | 12° | 12° | 11° | 11° |
| Snowcm | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Precipmm | · | · | · | · | 0.9 | 6.9 | 1.2 | · | 5.7 | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | 1.8 | 1.8 | · | · | 3.6 | 4.2 |
| Windkm/h | 7 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 14 |
| Humidity% | 48 | 30 | 71 | 73 | 70 | 86 | 85 | 50 | 71 | 50 | 43 | 61 | 42 | 36 | 52 | 43 | 37 | 52 | 39 | 34 | 50 | 42 | 64 | 72 | 58 | 63 | 83 | 69 |
| 0°C linem | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
The black line is not a simple average. For Yunding / Thaiwoo (alps), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).
Building verification history for this resort.
How we verify forecasts →Northeast China region
El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27
Yunding / Thaiwoo is under review in SnowSure's El Niño dataset — we will not publish a rank against a discontinuous historical series.
This station is under review and carries no rank: its 30-year ERA5 baseline falls below the 80cm floor our methodology commits to, so percentage swings computed on it are unstable by construction. We expect it to benefit from El Niño; our method cannot size that reliably.
In 10 past El Niño winters at Yunding / Thaiwoo, ERA5 season snowfall median was 56 cm (22 in), about 14% above this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.
Prevailing ONI
El Niño
JJA 2026 · ANOM +1.8°C
Analog season median
56 cm
10 El Niño winters · 14% above median
All-season median
49 cm
Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)
| Phase | Seasons | Median | p25–p75 | Recent analogs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Niñocurrent | 10 | 56 cm | 46 cm – 71 cm | 2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009 |
| La Niña | 12 | 42 cm | 33 cm – 52 cm | 2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010 |
| ENSO-neutral | 8 | 56 cm | 50 cm – 67 cm | 2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003 |
Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.
How accurate is this forecast?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.
