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Yunding / Thaiwoo ski resort

Asia

Yunding / Thaiwoo Snow Forecast

Projected to open Nov 7

Projected to open November 7, 2026

Best months to book: November, March, December · 30-yr snow record

Projected to open Nov 7

Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.

Last Snowfall

Oct 20

3d ago

Past 24 Hours

0cm

Past 48 Hours

0cm

Past 10 Days

2cm

7-Day Forecast

8cm

Snow Depth

--

Updated: Oct 23, 8:03 AM•Weather at base: 1,650m
SnowSure™ ScoreWhen to book
Projected to open Nov 7

Yunding / Thaiwoo is projected to open November 7, 2026. Here is when it is usually best to book.

Best months to book: November, March, December.1Nov3DecJanFeb2MarAprMay

Best months to book

  1. #1November10cm avg
  2. #2March11cm avg
  3. #3December3cm avg

Ranked on 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. The live score returns when the lifts turn.

Snow Summary

Updated Oct 23 at 8:03 AM

2cm
Season
2cm
Past 10 days48H 0cm · 24H 0cm
0cm
Today
8cm
Next 6 days
Days 8–14 · Pro
1
0
Seasontotal
Wed21
Thu22
14 daystotal
—
—
6
2
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
TueOct 13
Wed14
Thu15
Fri16
Sat17
Sun18
Mon19
Tue20
TODAY23
Sat24
Sun25
Mon26
Tue27
Wed28
Thu29
Fri30
Sat31
SunNov 1
Mon2
Tue3
Wed4
Thu5
Freezing line
Snow qualityLight· bestAverage· okayHeavy· wet, skis heavy

Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro

Past snow is the model's estimate at the summit: no measurement reached us for these days.

Hourly Forecast

23 Fri
8° / -4°
24 Sat
7° / -2°
25 Sun
1° / -1°
26 Mon
3° / -7°
27 Tue
-3° / -11°
28 Wed
2° / -8°
29 Thu
2° / -5°
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight30 Fri31 Sat1 Sun2 Mon3 Tue4 Wed5 Thu
Conditions☀️☀️☀️☀️☁️☀️🌧️🌧️🌧️☁️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️⛅☀️☀️☀️☀️
clearclearclearclearcloudyclearlight drizzlelight drizzledrizzlecloudyclearclearclearclearclearclearsome cloudsclearclearclearclear
Summit2,160 mModeled
Temp°C0°6°-2°1°5°0°0°2°0°-1°1°-2°-9°-5°-7°-5°-1°-6°-4°0°-4°
Feels like°C-3°3°-6°-1°2°-3°-2°-3°-3°-5°-6°-8°-17°-12°-15°-8°-5°-10°-8°-6°-10°
Snowcm·····0.40.70.54.60.2·1.7·········
Precipmm·····0.91.22.16.80.20.12.3·········
Windkm/h865365563162515292821111310142518
Mid-mountain1,905 mModeled
Temp°C2°8°-1°2°7°1°2°3°2°1°3°-1°-8°-3°-6°-3°1°-4°-2°2°-2°
Feels like°C-1°5°-4°1°4°-1°0°-1°-1°-3°-4°-7°-15°-10°-13°-6°-4°-9°-7°-4°-8°
Snowcm········0.40.2·1.5·········
Precipmm·····0.91.22.16.80.20.12.3·········
Windkm/h865365563162515292821111310142518
Base1,650 mModeled
Temp°C3°9°1°4°8°3°4°5°3°3°4°1°-6°-2°-4°-2°2°-2°0°4°0°
Feels like°C1°7°-3°3°6°1°1°1°1°-1°-2°-5°-13°-8°-11°-5°-2°-7°-5°-3°-7°
Snowcm·········0.1···········
Precipmm·····0.91.22.16.80.20.12.3·········
Windkm/h865365563162515292821111310142518
Humidity%685181746788979898763067332636312741463344
0°C linem—————————————————————
Sunhours

Freeze line is the height where rain turns to snow. Plain: straight from the models. Marked ○: estimated from temperature. Sun is hours of actual sunshine, not day length; blank means we have no reading.

Forecast Range · SnowSure Pro

Every model for Yunding / Thaiwoo, side by side for 14 days

Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here.

Unlock with Pro

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For Yunding / Thaiwoo (alps), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

  • 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
  • 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
  • 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Snowfall Forecast Maps

Northeast China region

14 Day map is in SnowSure ProUnlock with Pro

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27

Yunding / Thaiwoo El Niño rank & forecast

Yunding / Thaiwoo is under review in SnowSure's El Niño dataset — we will not publish a rank against a discontinuous historical series.

Under review

This station is under review and carries no rank: its 30-year ERA5 baseline falls below the 80cm floor our methodology commits to, so percentage swings computed on it are unstable by construction. We expect it to benefit from El Niño; our method cannot size that reliably.

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 10 past El Niño winters at Yunding / Thaiwoo, ERA5 season snowfall median was 56 cm (22 in), about 14% above this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

JAS 2026 · ANOM +2.16°C

Analog season median

56cm

10 El Niño winters · 14% above median

All-season median

49cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)

PhaseSeasonsMedianp25–p75Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent1056cm46cm – 71cm2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009
La Niña1242cm33cm – 52cm2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010
ENSO-neutral856cm50cm – 67cm2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Local Reports

0 reports

How accurate is this forecast?

We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.

→

Frequently asked questions about Yunding / Thaiwoo

How much snow is Yunding / Thaiwoo getting this week?
The SnowSure™ blend forecasts about 8 cm (3 in) of snow at Yunding / Thaiwoo over the next 7 days.
What is the 14-day snow forecast for Yunding / Thaiwoo?
The full 14-day forecast for Yunding / Thaiwoo — the SnowSure™ blend and every model we track, day by day — is part of SnowSure Pro. The first 7 days are free on this page.
How accurate are SnowSure forecasts for Yunding / Thaiwoo?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell and publish the results — see our forecast verification pages for model-by-model accuracy, updated continuously.