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Storm WatchLikelyLikely at 2 of 3 resorts

Late-September Andes System

3 resorts in the path, 68cm at the biggest. Likely — the models agree on this one; likely at 2 of 3 resorts.

+68CM

Predicted at Corralco

43–116cm across the models

Storm

Sep 24–26

3 resorts in the path

Peak

Sep 24

56cm at Corralco

Predicted

68cm

Corralco · 43–116cm across the models

Confidence

Likely

Likely at 2 of 3 resorts

Updated

Sep 21, 18:30 UTC

S

SnowSure Forecaster

Written from the blend and the model spread · updated Sep 21, 18:30 UTC

Current prediction: 43–116cm for Corralco between 2026-09-24 and 2026-09-26, 68cm our central figure. The biggest day is 2026-09-24 at 56cm. Also in the path: Las Leñas 37cm, Batea Mahuida 29cm. Confidence is likely: the models agree on both the window and the magnitude. By resort: Likely at 2 of 3 resorts. On day one we said 126cm for Corralco; that is the number we are measured against. These figures are re-read from the latest model blend; each entry in the log keeps what we said at the time.

Forecast log

Every entry, newest first. Nothing is overwritten.

  1. Day 10·Sep 21·Likely·73cm(-53)

    Late-September Andes System: 72.8cm for Corralco (47.2–123cm)

    Day 10: the window start moved one day later, and totals are down 53cm since the previous entry. The forecast window is now set for 2026-09-24 to 2026-09-26, with Corralco expected to receive 72.8cm, Las Leñas 41.7cm, and Batea Mahuida 38cm. The biggest day for all resorts is projected for September 24, with Corralco leading at 59.8cm. Confidence remains likely at two of the three resorts, while we are watching Batea Mahuida closely as its trend is new.

    Window Sep 24–26 · Corralco

  2. Day 9·Sep 20·Likely·126cmFirst prediction

    Late-September Andes System: 125.8cm for Corralco (45.7–205.8cm)

    The prediction for the late-September Andes System, from September 23 to September 27, indicates significant snowfall totals, with Corralco leading at 125.8cm (range 45.7–205.8cm). The overall pattern suggests a favorable setup for snow accumulation across the region. Corralco and Nevados de Chillán are likely to see the most substantial totals, while Cerro Catedral and Las Leñas also stand to benefit. However, Las Araucarias, Cerro Perito Moreno, and Batea Mahuida are currently in a watching phase, with potential for improvement. A shift in the storm's trajectory or intensity could alter these predictions.

    Window Sep 23–27 · Corralco

Snow by day

Sep 23 – Sep 27, with a day either side. For each resort: where the freeze line sits against the mountain, then what falls — snow in cm, rain in mm — and the day read from those two numbers.

Corralcobase 1,440 m · summit 2,400 m

68cm snow16mm rain

Modelled at the summit, 2,400 m · snow above 2,295 m

Freeze
line
m
Snow
/ rain
cm · mm
summit 2,400 mbase 1,440 m2,0652,1602,2952,4252,11553568114527

Wed

Sep 23

Snow

Thu

Sep 24

Snow

Fri

Sep 25

Mixed

Sat

Sep 26

Mixed

Sun

Sep 27

Mixed

How the call moved-58cm
12668Day 9Day 10

snow Thu · rain low, snow high Fri, Sat (above about 2,295 m)

Las Leñasbase 2,240 m · summit 3,430 m

37cm snow

Modelled at the summit, 3,430 m · snow to the base

Freeze
line
m
Snow
/ rain
cm · mm
summit 3,430 mbase 2,240 m3,4453,2103,3153,4053,4355181361

Wed

Sep 23

Snow

Thu

Sep 24

Snow

Fri

Sep 25

Snow

Sat

Sep 26

Snow

Sun

Sep 27

Snow

How the call moved-5cm
4237Day 9Day 10

snow every day

Batea Mahuidabase 1,650 m · summit 1,900 m

29cm snow52mm rain

Modelled at the summit, 1,900 m

Freeze
line
m
Snow
/ rain
cm · mm
summit 1,900 mbase 1,650 m2,1002,1152,2702,3551,98527201741676324

Wed

Sep 23

Mixed

Thu

Sep 24

Mixed

Fri

Sep 25

Mixed

Sat

Sep 26

Mixed

Sun

Sep 27

Mixed

How the call moved-26cm
5629Day 9Day 10

rain low, snow high Thu, Fri, Sat

snowrain low, snow highraindryThe dots are the freeze line — the height where rain turns to snow. Solid: straight from the models. Hollow: estimated from temperature. Above the summit line it rains on the whole mountain; below the base line it snows all the way down. Blue bars are snow in cm, amber bars rain in mm; the totals above are their sums.

Rain / snow line

Base to summit for each mountain, with the snow line cut across them.

Snow line against every mountain in Late-September Andes System

Enlarge rain / snow line

The system

700mb flow — where the storm is, and what is steering it. Pins sized by forecast total.

700mb flow map for Late-September Andes System

72-hour snowfall forecast for the same window.

Loading forecast map…
andes 72h snowfall forecast — Snowsure

In the path

Forecast, not observation — none of this has fallen yet. Totals are across the window. We will post what fell when the window closes.

← All storm watches

Last updated 2026-09-21 18:30 UTC. SnowSure scans a blend of seven weather models twice daily and flags systems clearing 30cm over 72 hours, three to fourteen days out. This watch opened on 2026-09-14 with 47cm forecast at Corralco.