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Beaver Creek ski resort
Epic PassView resorts
Tier C — ENSO-proof

North America

Beaver Creek Snow Forecast

Projected to open November 25, 2026

Best months to book: April, February, March · last season + 30-yr record

Projected to open Nov 25

Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.

Last Snowfall

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Past 24 Hours

0cm

Past 48 Hours

0cm

Past 10 Days

0cm

7-Day Forecast

11cm

Snow Depth

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Updated: Oct 12, 11:00 PM•Weather at base: 2,469m
SnowSure™ Score2025-26 season
Projected to open Nov 25

Beaver Creek is projected to open November 25, 2026. Here is when it is usually best to book.

Best months to book: April, February, March. Best weeks: 12 Apr–15 Apr, 1 Mar–7 Mar, 5 Apr–11 Apr.NovDecJan2Feb3Mar1AprOpens 25 NovCloses 28 Mar

Best months to book

  1. #1April58cm avg · last season 27.5
  2. #2February47cm avg · last season 30.7
  3. #3March48cm avg · last season 25.1

Best weeks to book

  1. #1 12 Apr – 15 Apr · last season 28.3
  2. #2 1 Mar – 7 Mar · last season 33.7
  3. #3 5 Apr – 11 Apr · last season 25.3

Ranked on 25% last season's SnowSure score (2025-26) · 75% 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. The live score returns when the lifts turn.

Snow Summary

3,488m
ECMWFGFSGEMJMAICONMétéo-Fr

Updated Oct 12, 2026 at 11:00 PM

0cm
24h
11cm
Past 10d
7-Day Forecast
0
Prev10d
—
Now12
2
T13
5
W14
4
T15
—
F16
—
S17
—
S18
Days 8–14 and every model are in Pro.Unlock with Pro
Past
Today
Forecast

Hourly Forecast

12 Mon
10° / -0°
13 Tue
5° / -3°
14 Wed
4° / -5°
15 Thu
1° / -7°
16 Fri
6° / -11°
17 Sat
6° / -9°
18 Sun
3° / -7°
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight19 Mon20 Tue21 Wed22 Thu23 Fri24 Sat25 Sun
Conditions🌤️🌤️🌤️🌧️❄️🌧️⛅❄️❄️❄️☁️⛅☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️🌧️☀️
mostly clearmostly clearmostly clearlight drizzlelight snowlight drizzlesome cloudslight snowlight snowlight snowcloudysome cloudsclearclearclearclearclearclearclearlight drizzleclear
Summit3,488 mModeled
Temp°C3°9°2°0°4°-1°0°3°-4°-4°0°-4°-6°4°-8°-3°5°-6°-2°2°-4°
Feels like°C0°4°-2°-3°1°-4°-4°-1°-7°-8°-4°-8°-11°0°-13°-6°1°-10°-6°-1°-8°
Snowcm···0.90.6212.72.30.80.14.8········0.1
Precipmm···1.72.43.31.94.93.31.10.16.8·······0.50.1
Windkm/h6178534101278861189355453
Mid-mountain2,979 mModeled
Temp°C6°13°5°4°7°3°4°6°0°-1°3°-1°-3°7°-5°1°8°-3°1°6°-1°
Feels like°C3°8°2°1°5°0°0°3°-4°-4°0°-4°-8°4°-9°-3°5°-7°-2°3°-4°
Snowcm···0.60.61.112.42.10.80.14.8·········
Precipmm···1.72.43.31.94.93.31.10.16.8·······0.50.1
Windkm/h6178534101278861189355453
Base2,469 mModeled
Temp°C9°16°8°7°10°6°7°10°3°3°6°3°0°11°-1°4°11°1°4°9°2°
Feels like°C7°12°6°5°9°4°4°7°0°0°3°0°-4°7°-6°1°9°-3°1°7°0°
Snowcm···0.60.6112.420.80.14.8·········
Precipmm···1.72.43.31.94.93.31.10.16.8·······0.50.1
Windkm/h6178534101278861189355453
Humidity%723675897394906796957088692471443563766682
0°C linem—————————————————————
Sunhours

Freeze line is the height where rain turns to snow. Plain: straight from the models. Marked ○: estimated from temperature. Sun is hours of actual sunshine, not day length; blank means we have no reading.

Forecast Range · SnowSure Pro

Every model for Beaver Creek, side by side for 14 days

Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here.

Unlock with Pro

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For Beaver Creek (rockies), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

  • 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
  • 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
  • 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Snowfall Forecast Maps

Rockies & Southwest region

14 Day map is in SnowSure ProUnlock with Pro

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27

Beaver Creek El Niño rank & forecast

Beaver Creek ranks #187 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier C, +2% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier C — ENSO-proof: Strong El Niño winters looked like a normal year here — within about ±3% of this resort’s own 30-year snowfall average. Not a jackpot, not a bust: a hedge if you’re planning around El Niño.

#187 of 488Tier C — ENSO-proof

Strong-event signal: +2% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Beaver Creek averaged +2% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline — effectively ENSO-proof. Beaver Creek has held within a few percent of normal across every phase of the Pacific cycle, making it one of the safest bets of a record El Niño winter 2026-27. Analog winters: '97-98 -7%, '15-16 +5%, '23-24 +8%.

'97-98 −7%'15-16 +5%'23-24 +8%

Signal = average snowfall in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996 ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24) vs this resort's own 30-year ERA5 baseline. n=3 — a lean, not a law. Updated monthly against measured snowfall Dec–Mar.

Full El Niño report →

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 10 past El Niño winters at Beaver Creek, ERA5 season snowfall median was 369 cm (145 in), about 3% above this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

JAS 2026 · ANOM +2.16°C

Analog season median

369cm

10 El Niño winters · 3% above median

All-season median

358cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)

PhaseSeasonsMedianp25–p75Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent10369cm356cm – 381cm2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009
La Niña12359cm314cm – 381cm2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010
ENSO-neutral8333cm294cm – 373cm2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Local Reports

0 reports

How accurate is this forecast?

We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.

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Frequently asked questions about Beaver Creek

How much snow is Beaver Creek getting this week?
The SnowSure™ blend forecasts about 11 cm (4 in) of snow at Beaver Creek over the next 7 days.
What is the 14-day snow forecast for Beaver Creek?
The full 14-day forecast for Beaver Creek — the SnowSure™ blend and every model we track, day by day — is part of SnowSure Pro. The first 7 days are free on this page.
How accurate are SnowSure forecasts for Beaver Creek?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell and publish the results — see our forecast verification pages for model-by-model accuracy, updated continuously.