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Calabogie Peaks ski resort
Tier C — ENSO-proof

📷 Calabogie Peaks

North America

Calabogie Peaks

Off-season

Last season ended April 4, 2026

Conditions data updated Fri, Aug 28, 10:02 AM UTC · informational only

Off-season closed April 4

Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.

Last Snowfall

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Past 24 Hours

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Past 48 Hours

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Past 10 Days

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14-Day Forecast

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Snow Depth

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Updated: Aug 28, 10:02 AMWeather at base: 154m

Overview

Calabogie Peaks is a ski resort in North America, Canada, currently closed for the season (Last season ended April 4, 2026). Conditions last updated 2026-08-28 10:02 UTC.

Resort Guide

Calabogie Peaks is a ski resort located in the Ottawa Valley of Ontario, Canada, offering the highest vertical drop in the province. The resort features a variety of terrain across 24 trails, a lakeside hotel, and a family-friendly atmosphere. Signature experiences include alpine skiing, snowboarding, and winter activities such as snowshoeing and cross-country skiing, complemented by amenities like on-site dining and a spa. Calabogie Peaks stands out for its scenic setting on the shores of Calabogie Lake and its year-round resort offerings.

Resort Info

Summit386m
Base154m
Vertical232m
Lifts3
Runs29
Skiable Area80 acres
Average snowfall80 inches / 203 cm
CountryCanada

Season dates

Last season endedApril 4, 2026
Projected openingDecember 12, 2026

Ski passes

Indy Pass

Buy pass →

Access tiers change by season — confirm benefits on the pass operator's site.

Top Après Ski

Black Donald’s Pub – This cozy and welcoming spot at Calabogie Peaks Resort is celebrated for its relaxed après-ski atmosphere, offering craft beers, hearty comfort food, and live music events that make it a favorite gathering place for skiers to unwind after a day on the slopes.

Snow Summary

386mECMWF Model

Updated Aug 28, 2026 at 10:02 AM

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24h
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Past 10d
14-Day Forecast
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Prev10d
Now28
S29
S30
M31
T1
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T3
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Today
Forecast

Snowfall Forecast Maps

Eastern Canada region

Current Conditions

Reported Fri, Aug 28, 10:02 AM UTC

Base

154m

Temp

14.9°C

Wind

11.8km/h

Snow Depth

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14-Day Forecast

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Mid-Mountain

270m

Temp

--°C

Wind

13km/h

Snow Depth

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14-Day Forecast

0cm

Summit

386m

Temp

13.4°C

Wind

11.8km/h

Snow Depth

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14-Day Forecast

0cm

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27

Calabogie Peaks El Niño rank & forecast

Calabogie Peaks ranks #221 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier C, −1% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier CENSO-proof: Strong El Niño winters looked like a normal year here — within about ±3% of this resort’s own 30-year snowfall average. Not a jackpot, not a bust: a hedge if you’re planning around El Niño.

#221 of 488Tier CENSO-proof

Strong-event signal: −1% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Calabogie Peaks averaged -1% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. El Niño has historically made little difference here — this is an ENSO-proof mountain, for winter 2026-27 as in past events. Analog winters: '97-98 +5%, '15-16 -7%, '23-24 0%. A pattern, not a promise.

'97-98 +5%'15-16 −7%'23-24 0%

Local Reports

0 reports
SnowSure™ Forecast Range

Daily Snowfall Forecast by Model

Black line = verified SnowSure™ blend (not a simple average). Weights update weekly from measured snowfall at SNOTEL stations and resort reports.

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For Calabogie Peaks (rockies), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

  • 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
  • 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
  • 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Hourly Forecast Detail

AM / PM / Night breakdown with wind and freezing level

NWP models refresh up to 4× daily · Last synced Aug 28, 10:02 AM

Hourly Forecast Detail
 
Today
19 / 13
Sat, Aug 29
22 / 110.9mm
Sun, Aug 30
23 / 168.7mm
Mon, Aug 31
23 / 14
Tue, Sep 1
29 / 1512.6mm
Wed, Sep 2
23 / 183.6mm
PeriodAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight
Snow (cm)000000000000000000
Precip (mm)00000.30.61.82.74.20004.508.10.30.62.7
Temp (°C)141814152115172217152117182719202320
Wind (km/h)1315891813121312458131311468
Gusts (km/h)293519224225252925141924253026172625

14-Day Snow Forecast by Model

Summit elevation (386m)

ECMWF
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GFS
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GEM
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JMA
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ICON
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Météo-Fr
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SnowSure™
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10-Day Forecast

Today

28

☁️

18.5°

13°

15 km/h

Sat

29

🌧️

21.7°

11.1°

20 km/h

Sun

30

🌧️

23.3°

15.9°

16 km/h

Mon

31

☁️

22.8°

13.9°

9 km/h

Tue

1

🌧️

28.5°

14.9°

15 km/h

Wed

2

🌧️

23.3°

18.3°

11 km/h

Thu

3

🌤️

22.4°

15.5°

16 km/h

Fri

4

☁️

19.4°

13.6°

14 km/h

Sat

5

🌧️

20.6°

13.5°

13 km/h

Sun

6

☁️

20.3°

13°

9 km/h

Summit elevation (386m) • ECMWF model

Avalanche

No bulletin for this mountain

Avalanche Canada

This resort lies outside every forecast zone published by its national warning service, so no bulletin covers it.

Read the official bulletin ↗

SnowSure relays the official avalanche bulletin and does not issue avalanche forecasts. Read the full bulletin at the issuer’s link and make your own terrain decisions. Not a substitute for avalanche education, equipment, or local knowledge.

Season vs Historic

Updated Fri, Aug 28, 10:02 AM UTC

0cm

Season Total

This Season to Date

vs 5-Year Avg

Off-season · 135cm full-season avg

vs 30-Year Avg

Off-season · 145cm full-season avg

135cm

5-Yr Avg by Now

The last completed season totaled ~147.2 cm. That's 9% above the 5-year average (135 cm). Versus the 30-year baseline: near the 30-year average (145 cm).

Calabogie Peaks Snow History

Average annual snowfall is 153cm with an average of 80 snowfall days per season. The table below shows monthly averages across 30 seasons of archive data (modeled snowpack at mid-elevation).

Average monthly snowfall history
MonthAvg SnowfallSnowfall DaysAvg Base DepthMax Base DepthBiggest Snowfall
November15.4cm9 days3cm10cm6cm
December32.6cm17 days16cm29cm9.9cm
January31.7cm18 days30cm43cm8.9cm
February28.2cm15 days40cm51cm9.2cm
March26.3cm12 days34cm52cm8.9cm
April15cm7 days8cm27cm8.3cm
May0.9cm1 days0cm2cm1.8cm

Source: SnowSure archive · Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis at mid-elevation. Depth is modeled, not resort-reported.

Season at a Glance

Next season(2026-27)

Opens Dec 12, 2026

Through Apr 4, 2027

Multi-season averages will appear once SnowSure has tracked more than one full season.

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 10 past El Niño winters at Calabogie Peaks, ERA5 season snowfall median was 147 cm (58 in), about 3% below this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

MJJ 2026 · ANOM +1.39°C

Analog season median

147 cm

10 El Niño winters · 3% below median

All-season median

151 cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)

PhaseSeasonsMedianp25–p75Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent10147 cm127 cm – 155 cm2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009
La Niña12144 cm128 cm – 158 cm2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010
ENSO-neutral8161 cm148 cm – 171 cm2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Best Months to Visit

February

Peak Season

January

Peak Season

March

Good

December

Good

Note: Based on typical ski season patterns for this region.

Frequently asked questions about Calabogie Peaks

Where is Calabogie Peaks?
Calabogie Peaks is a ski resort in Canada.
How high is Calabogie Peaks?
Calabogie Peaks runs from a base elevation of 154 m (505 ft) to a summit of 386 m (1,266 ft), giving a vertical drop of 232 m (761 ft).
How big is Calabogie Peaks?
Calabogie Peaks has 80 acres (32 hectares) of skiable terrain, 29 marked runs and 3 lifts.
Which ski pass covers Calabogie Peaks?
Calabogie Peaks is on the Indy Pass. Access terms such as blackout dates and day limits vary by pass tier, so check the pass operator for the current season.
When is ski season at Calabogie Peaks?
Calabogie Peaks typically operates from December to April. Exact opening and closing dates shift each year with snowfall — check the resort's current season dates before booking.
How much snow does Calabogie Peaks get in a typical season?
Calabogie Peaks averages 80 inches / 203 cm of snowfall in a typical season. Any individual season can run well above or below that.
How will El Niño affect Calabogie Peaks in winter 2026-27?
El Niño Signal Rank: #221 of 488 SnowSure resorts · Tier C · strong-event signal -1% vs its own 30-yr average. In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Calabogie Peaks averaged -1% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. El Niño has historically made little difference here — this is an ENSO-proof mountain, for winter 2026-27 as in past events. Analog winters: '97-98 +5%, '15-16 -7%, '23-24 0%. A pattern, not a promise.