El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27
Calabogie Peaks El Niño rank & forecast
Calabogie Peaks ranks #221 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier C, −1% in strong El Niño winters.
Tier C — ENSO-proof: Strong El Niño winters looked like a normal year here — within about ±3% of this resort’s own 30-year snowfall average. Not a jackpot, not a bust: a hedge if you’re planning around El Niño.
#221 of 488Tier C — ENSO-proof
Strong-event signal: −1% vs this resort's 30-yr avg
In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Calabogie Peaks averaged -1% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. El Niño has historically made little difference here — this is an ENSO-proof mountain, for winter 2026-27 as in past events. Analog winters: '97-98 +5%, '15-16 -7%, '23-24 0%. A pattern, not a promise.
'97-98 +5%'15-16 −7%'23-24 0%
