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Cervinia ski resort
Ikon PassView resorts
Tier B — Favored

Europe

Cervinia Snow Forecast

Closed for the season

Best months to book: April, March, November · last season + 30-yr record

Closed since Aug 1 — Summer glacier skiing suspended — insufficient snow cover (shared Plateau Rosà).

Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.

Last Snowfall

Oct 10

4d ago

Past 24 Hours

0cm

Past 48 Hours

0cm

Past 10 Days

15cm

7-Day Forecast

23cm

Snow Depth

--

☀️❄️

Bluebird Days predicted: Tue, Thu

Updated: Oct 14, 12:05 AM•Weather at base: 2,050m
SnowSure™ ScoreAI
Closed since Aug 1 — Summer glacier skiing suspended — insufficient snow cover (shared Plateau Rosà).

Cervinia is closed for the season. Here is when it is usually best to book.

Best months to book: April, March, November. Best weeks: 15 Mar–21 Mar, 29 Mar–4 Apr, 12 Apr–18 Apr.3NovDecJanFeb2Mar1AprMayCloses 3 May

Best months to book

  1. #1April87cm avg · last season 32.7
  2. #2March70cm avg · last season 42.6
  3. #3November108cm avg

Best weeks to book

  1. #1 15 Mar – 21 Mar · last season 54.7
  2. #2 29 Mar – 4 Apr · last season 44
  3. #3 12 Apr – 18 Apr · last season 36.4

Ranked on 25% last season's SnowSure score (2025-26) · 75% 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. The live score returns when the lifts turn.

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Depth

Resort closed — no current ski-base depth.

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Recent

In the past week, 15cm of new snow has fallen.

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Forecast

23cm in the next 7 days.

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Historic

Season-to-date snowfall is 3% below the 5-year average.

Closed since Aug 1 — Summer glacier skiing suspended — insufficient snow cover (shared Plateau Rosà). · Data updated Wed, Oct 14, 12:05 AM UTC · informational only

Snow Summary

3,008m · mid-upper
ECMWFGFSGEMJMAICONMétéo-FrUKMOMeteoSwissICON-2I

Updated Oct 14, 2026 at 12:05 AM

15cm
24h
23cm
Past 10d
7-Day Forecast
15
Prev10d
—
Now14
—
T15
—
F16
1
S17
16
S18
5
M19
1
T20
Days 8–14 and every model are in Pro.Unlock with Pro
Past
Today
Forecast

Hourly Forecast

14 Wed
2° / -11°
15 Thu
3° / -6°
16 Fri
3° / -7°
17 Sat
-0° / -8°
18 Sun
-5° / -6°
19 Mon
-4° / -7°
20 Tue
-4° / -11°
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight21 Wed22 Thu23 Fri24 Sat25 Sun26 Mon27 Tue
Conditions☁️☀️☁️🌤️⛅☀️🌤️🌤️🌤️🌤️🌤️☀️❄️❄️❄️☁️☁️☁️☁️☀️☀️
cloudyclearcloudymostly clearsome cloudsclearmostly clearmostly clearmostly clearmostly clearmostly clearclearheavy snowheavy snowheavy snowcloudycloudycloudycloudyclearclear
Summit3,480 mModeled
Temp°C-6°2°-6°-3°3°-4°-3°3°-5°-5°-1°-6°-6°-5°-5°-6°-5°-6°-10°-5°-8°
Feels like°C-10°-2°-10°-7°-1°-8°-7°-1°-8°-9°-4°-9°-9°-9°-9°-10°-8°-10°-13°-8°-12°
Snowcm···········2.110.315.622.61·5.3···
Precipmm···········2.413.221.029.11.2·6.0···
Windkm/h424332212122686665111
Mid-mountain2,765 mModeled
Temp°C-1°6°-2°2°8°0°2°7°0°-1°4°-1°-1°0°-1°-1°0°-2°-5°0°-4°
Feels like°C-5°4°-5°-2°4°-3°-2°4°-3°-4°1°-4°-4°-4°-4°-5°-3°-5°-8°-3°-7°
Snowcm···········1.79.214.720.40.8·4.2···
Precipmm···········2.413.221.029.11.2·6.0···
Windkm/h424332212122686665111
Base2,050 mModeled
Temp°C3°11°3°6°12°5°6°12°5°4°8°4°4°4°4°3°5°3°-1°5°1°
Feels like°C0°9°0°3°10°2°3°9°2°1°6°1°1°2°2°1°3°0°-3°3°-1°
Snowcm···········1.79.214.720.40.8·4.2···
Precipmm···········2.413.221.029.11.2·6.0···
Windkm/h424332212122686665111
Humidity%714376403348283553636284989899989998959492
0°C linem—————————————————————
Sunhours

Freeze line is the height where rain turns to snow. Plain: straight from the models. Marked ○: estimated from temperature. Sun is hours of actual sunshine, not day length; blank means we have no reading.

Forecast Range · SnowSure Pro

Every model for Cervinia, side by side for 14 days

Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here.

Unlock with Pro

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For Cervinia (alps), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

  • 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
  • 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
  • 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Snowfall Forecast Maps

The Alps region

14 Day map is in SnowSure ProUnlock with Pro

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27

Cervinia El Niño rank & forecast

Cervinia ranks #141 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier B, +6% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier B — Favored: Modest El Niño upside (+3% to +8% vs normal). Often a solid pick, without the biggest Andes-style swings.

#141 of 488Tier B — Favored

Strong-event signal: +6% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Cervinia averaged +6% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. The pattern has historically leaned mildly in this resort's favor for winter 2026-27. Analog winters: '97-98 -13%, '15-16 -2%, '23-24 +33%. A pattern, not a promise.

'97-98 −13%'15-16 −2%'23-24 +33%

Signal = average snowfall in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996 ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24) vs this resort's own 30-year ERA5 baseline. n=3 — a lean, not a law. Updated monthly against measured snowfall Dec–Mar.

Full El Niño report →

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 10 past El Niño winters at Cervinia, ERA5 season snowfall median was 638 cm (251 in), about this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

JAS 2026 · ANOM +2.16°C

Analog season median

638cm

10 El Niño winters · ≈ long-term median

All-season median

638cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)

PhaseSeasonsMedianp25–p75Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent10638cm563cm – 729cm2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009
La Niña12578cm507cm – 742cm2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010
ENSO-neutral8691cm597cm – 737cm2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Local Reports

0 reports

How accurate is this forecast?

We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.

→

Frequently asked questions about Cervinia

How much snow is Cervinia getting this week?
The SnowSure™ blend forecasts about 23 cm (9 in) of snow at Cervinia over the next 7 days.
What is the 14-day snow forecast for Cervinia?
The full 14-day forecast for Cervinia — the SnowSure™ blend and every model we track, day by day — is part of SnowSure Pro. The first 7 days are free on this page.
How accurate are SnowSure forecasts for Cervinia?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell and publish the results — see our forecast verification pages for model-by-model accuracy, updated continuously.