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El Colorado ski resort
Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain

South America

El Colorado Snow Forecast

62

Superb

↗improving

Last Snowfall

Sep 21

today

Past 24 Hours

0cm

Resort reported

Past 48 Hours

12cm

Past 10 Days

27cm

7-Day Forecast

20cm

Snow Depth

3cm

Resort reported
🎿

Powder Days

44

2026 season

☀️

Bluebird Days

7

2026 season

Updated: Sep 21, 10:02 PM•Weather at base: 2,430m
SnowSure™ ScoreAI
62
Superb
↑improving

Exceptional season - 540cm already this season!

El Colorado is currently experiencing partly cloudy conditions with a temperature of 1°C. The snow depth stands at 3cm, but the resort has received 26cm of fresh snow in the past week. Looking ahead, the 14-day forecast suggests a potential for 63cm to 74cm of additional snowfall.

AI-generated summary
↓

Depth

3cm depth — upper mountain may be better.

↓

Recent

In the last 7 days, 26cm of new snow has fallen.

✓

Forecast

20cm in the next 7 days.

✓

Historic

So far this season, El Colorado has recorded 540cm of snowfall, which is 194% of the 5-year average to date of 278cm.

Data updated Mon, Sep 21, 10:02 PM UTC

Snow Summary

3,333m
ECMWFGFSGEMJMAICONMétéo-Fr

Updated Sep 21, 2026 at 10:02 PM

27cm
24h
20cm
Past 10d
7-Day Forecast
27
Prev10d
2
Now21
0
T22
2
W23
5
T24
9
F25
2
S26
—
S27
Days 8–14 and every model are in Pro.Unlock with Pro
Past
Today
Forecast

Hourly Forecast

21 Mon
2° / -7°
22 Tue
3° / -4°
23 Wed
1° / -2°
24 Thu
1° / -2°
25 Fri
1° / -3°
26 Sat
3° / -4°
27 Sun
2° / -5°
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight28 Mon29 Tue30 Wed1 Thu2 Fri3 Sat4 Sun
Conditions⛅🌤️⛅☀️☀️⛅❄️❄️☁️☁️❄️☁️❄️❄️☁️⛅☀️☀️☀️🌤️☀️
some cloudsmostly clearsome cloudsclearclearsome cloudslight snowlight snowcloudycloudylight snowcloudysnowlight snowcloudysome cloudsclearclearclearmostly clearclear
Summit3,333 mModeled
Temp°C-5°1°-3°-2°3°-1°-1°0°-1°-1°0°-1°-2°1°-1°-1°3°-1°-4°1°-3°
Feels like°C-10°-1°-7°-6°2°-5°-4°-3°-5°-6°-4°-5°-6°-3°-5°-6°2°-6°-8°-1°-7°
Snowcm······0.51.10.6·1.45.90.913.6······
Precipmm······0.71.60.8·2.08.51.31.55.2······
Windkm/h85673676611118777848868
Mid-mountain2,882 mModeled
Temp°C-2°4°0°1°6°2°2°3°2°2°3°1°1°4°2°1°6°2°-1°4°0°
Feels like°C-7°2°-4°-3°5°-1°-1°0°-2°-3°-1°-2°-2°0°-2°-3°5°-3°-5°2°-4°
Snowcm······0.51.10.6·1.45.90.913.6······
Precipmm······0.71.60.8·2.08.51.31.55.2······
Windkm/h85673676611118777848868
Base2,430 mModeled
Temp°C-2°4°1°2°6°4°2°4°3°2°4°3°2°5°2°4°8°4°1°5°1°
Feels like°C-6°2°-2°-2°5°0°-2°1°0°-1°1°0°-1°2°-1°0°6°0°-3°3°-3°
Snowcm··0.4···3.7·4.2·0.12.30.20.14.6·····0.3
Precipmm··0.5··0.36.11.37.8·0.45.20.40.36.7····0.81.6
Windkm/h754745866314667756747
Humidity%344562615864756066615673646569444950495159
0°C linem—————————————————————
Sunhours

Freeze line is the height where rain turns to snow. Plain: straight from the models. Marked ○: estimated from temperature. Sun is hours of actual sunshine, not day length; blank means we have no reading.

Forecast Range · SnowSure Pro

Every model for El Colorado, side by side for 14 days

Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here. Free for 14 days, then yearly.

Unlock with Pro

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For El Colorado (andes), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

  • 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
  • 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
  • 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Snowfall Forecast Maps

Andes (Chile & Argentina) region

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026

El Colorado El Niño rank & forecast

El Colorado ranks #6 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier A, +56% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain: Historically snowed much more than normal in strong El Niño winters (≥ +8% vs this resort’s own 30-year average).

#6 of 488Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain

Strong-event signal: +56% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), El Colorado averaged +56% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. The pattern has historically been a friend here. With a record-strength event forecast for winter 2026, El Colorado sits on the favorable side of the ledger. Analog winters: '97-98 +100%, '15-16 +28%, '23-24 +40%. A pattern, not a promise.

'97-98 +100%'15-16 +28%'23-24 +40%

In-season scorecard

Predicted signal

+56%

Measured to date

+86%

Season total

540 cm

Vs predicted

+30%

Predicted signal vs measured season-to-date against this resort's own climatology.

Signal = average snowfall in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996 ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24) vs this resort's own 30-year ERA5 baseline. n=3 — a lean, not a law. Updated monthly against measured snowfall Dec–Mar.

Full El Niño report →

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 6 past El Niño winters at El Colorado, ERA5 season snowfall median was 473 cm (186 in), about 43% above this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

JJA 2026 · ANOM +1.8°C

Analog season median

473cm

6 El Niño winters · 43% above median

All-season median

330cm

Across 31 ERA5 seasons (2026)

PhaseSeasonsMedianp25–p75Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent6473cm448cm – 496cm2026, 2023, 2015, 2009, 2002, 1997
La Niña4292cm235cm – 329cm2022, 2010, 1999, 1998
ENSO-neutral21296cm263cm – 360cm2025, 2024, 2021, 2020, 2019, 2018

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Local Reports

0 reports

How accurate is this forecast?

We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.

→

Frequently asked questions about El Colorado

How much snow is El Colorado getting this week?
The SnowSure™ blend forecasts about 20 cm (8 in) of snow at El Colorado over the next 7 days.
What is the 14-day snow forecast for El Colorado?
The full 14-day forecast for El Colorado — the SnowSure™ blend and every model we track, day by day — is part of SnowSure Pro. The first 7 days are free on this page.
How accurate are SnowSure forecasts for El Colorado?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell and publish the results — see our forecast verification pages for model-by-model accuracy, updated continuously.