Name: SnowSure MCP Server
Author: SnowSure

Tier B — Favored

South America

Solid · 2026 season average

Projected to open June 2027 · average of 94 verified open days

Best months to book: August, July, September · last season + 30-yr record

Scroll for happiness

Projected to open Jun 2027 — closed September 27

Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.

Last Snowfall

Oct 5

11d ago

Past 24 Hours

0cm

Resort reported

Past 48 Hours

0cm

Past 10 Days

0cm

7-Day Forecast

6cm

Snow Depth

🎿

Powder Days

2026 season

☀️

Bluebird Days

2026 season

Updated: Oct 16, 4:03 AM•Weather at base: 1,430m

SnowSure™ Score2026 season

Solid

2026 season average

La Hoya is projected to open June 2027. Last season it averaged 33.2 across 94 verified open days.

Best months to book

#1August52cm avg · last season 43.8
#2July55cm avg · last season 27.9
#3September26cm avg · last season 29.7

Best weeks to book

#1 7 Aug – 13 Aug · last season 52.4
#2 14 Aug – 20 Aug · last season 48
#3 21 Aug – 27 Aug · last season 40.6

Ranked on 25% last season's SnowSure score (2026) · 75% 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. Last season's strongest fortnight was 9 Aug – 22 Aug. One season describes what happened, not what to expect. The live score returns when the lifts turn.

Snow Summary

Updated Oct 16 at 4:03 AM

Snow qualityHeavyAverageLightmeasuredestimated

Freezing line

302cm

Season

7cm

Past 10 days

0cm

48h

0cm

24h

0cm

Today

10cm

Next 6 days

Days 8–14 · Pro

Seasontotal

Wed14

Thu15

14 daystotal

—

SunOct 4

Mon5

Tue6

Wed7

Thu8

Fri9

Sat10

Sun11

Mon12

Tue13

TODAY16

Sat17

Sun18

Mon19

Tue20

Wed21

Thu22

Fri23

Sat24

Sun25

Mon26

Tue27

Wed28

Thu29

Freezing line

Snow qualityHeavyAverageLightmeasuredestimated

Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro

Hourly Forecast

	16 Fri 8° / -2°			17 Sat 8° / -2°			18 Sun 9° / -1°			19 Mon 9° / 0°			20 Tue 3° / -0°			21 Wed -1° / -5°			22 Thu 4° / -3°			Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
	AM	PM	Night	AM	PM	Night	AM	PM	Night	AM	PM	Night	AM	PM	Night	AM	PM	Night	AM	PM	Night	23 Fri	24 Sat	25 Sun	26 Mon	27 Tue	28 Wed	29 Thu
Conditions	☀️	☁️	⛅	☀️	🌧️	☀️	☀️	🌧️	☀️	☀️	🌧️	☁️	🌧️	🌧️	☁️	❄️	🌧️	❄️	🌧️	🌧️	🌧️	🌤️	🌧️	🌧️	🌧️	☁️	🌧️	🌧️
	clear	cloudy	some clouds	clear	light drizzle	clear	clear	light drizzle	clear	clear	light drizzle	cloudy	light drizzle	light rain	cloudy	snow	light drizzle	light snow	light drizzle	light drizzle	light drizzle	mostly clear	light drizzle	light drizzle	light drizzle	cloudy	light drizzle	light drizzle
Summit2,075 mModeled
Temp°C	1°	8°	3°	1°	7°	2°	1°	7°	3°	2°	8°	3°	1°	3°	2°	-3°	-2°	-1°	-3°	1°	-1°	1°	2°	2°	0°	-2°	-1°	-0°
Feels like°C	-2°	3°	-2°	-1°	5°	-3°	0°	6°	-1°	1°	6°	1°	-1°	-1°	-1°	-8°	-8°	-6°	-4°	0°	-4°	-0°	1°	3°	0°	-5°	-5°	-5°
Snowcm	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	0.1	·	·	·	0.2	·	1.1	3.9	1.3	6.5	0.7	0.1	2.2	0.4	0.4	0.1	1.2	2.6	4.4	2.6
Precipmm	·	·	·	·	2.4	1.6	·	0.2	0.1	0.2	1.8	1.1	1.0	5.4	7.2	5.8	2.0	9.7	1.0	1.1	3.4	1.7	1.8	1.1	3.7	3.8	6.5	5.0
Windkm/h	6	15	5	4	5	4	1	3	3	3	6	3	4	6	3	10	8	7	7	9	5	9	10	3	11	15	18	22
Mid-mountain1,753 mModeled
Temp°C	3°	10°	5°	3°	9°	4°	3°	9°	5°	5°	10°	5°	3°	5°	4°	-1°	0°	1°	0°	3°	1°	3°	4°	4°	2°	0°	1°	2°
Feels like°C	1°	6°	0°	1°	7°	0°	2°	8°	1°	3°	8°	3°	1°	2°	1°	-6°	-5°	-4°	-2°	2°	-1°	2°	3°	5°	3°	-3°	-2°	-3°
Snowcm	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	3.5	1.2	1.7	0.6	·	1.5	0.4	0.1	·	0.3	1.6	2.9	1.9
Precipmm	·	·	·	·	2.2	1.5	·	0.2	0.1	0.2	1.6	1.1	0.9	4.9	6.6	5.3	1.8	8.9	1.0	1.0	3.1	1.6	1.6	1.0	3.3	3.6	6.0	4.6
Windkm/h	6	15	5	4	5	4	1	3	3	3	6	3	4	6	3	10	8	7	7	9	5	9	10	3	11	15	18	22
Base1,430 mModeled
Temp°C	5°	12°	7°	5°	12°	6°	6°	12°	7°	7°	12°	7°	6°	8°	6°	1°	3°	3°	2°	5°	3°	5°	7°	6°	4°	2°	3°	4°
Feels like°C	3°	8°	3°	4°	10°	2°	5°	10°	4°	6°	10°	5°	4°	4°	4°	-4°	-3°	-1°	1°	4°	1°	5°	5°	8°	5°	0°	0°	-1°
Snowcm	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	1.1	0.1	0.3	0.3	·	0.6	0.3	·	·	·	·	0.7	·
Precipmm	·	·	·	·	2.0	1.3	·	0.2	0.1	0.2	1.5	1.0	0.8	4.5	6.0	4.8	1.6	8.1	0.9	0.9	2.8	1.5	1.5	0.9	3.0	3.2	5.4	4.2
Windkm/h	6	15	5	4	5	4	1	3	3	3	6	3	4	6	3	10	8	7	7	9	5	9	10	3	11	15	18	22
Humidity%	88	55	87	81	61	91	82	50	79	70	47	68	89	90	88	100	94	97	94	79	93	79	77	64	76	76	86	84
0°C linem	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	2,250	2,250	2,150	1,700	1,400	1,550	1,800
Sunhours																						11.4	12.3	12.6	13.6	9.6	7.6	10.4

Freeze line is the height where rain turns to snow. Plain: straight from the models. Marked ○: estimated from temperature. Sun is hours of actual sunshine, not day length; blank means we have no reading.

Forecast Range · SnowSure Pro

Every model for La Hoya, side by side for 14 days

Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here.

Unlock with Pro

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For La Hoya (andes), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Snowfall Forecast Maps

Andes (Chile & Argentina) region

14 Day map is in SnowSure ProUnlock with Pro

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026

La Hoya El Niño rank & forecast

La Hoya ranks #176 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier B, +3% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier B — Favored: Modest El Niño upside (+3% to +8% vs normal). Often a solid pick, without the biggest Andes-style swings.

#176 of 488Tier B — Favored

Strong-event signal: +3% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), La Hoya averaged +3% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. The pattern has historically leaned mildly in this resort's favor for winter 2026. Analog winters: '97-98 -39%, '15-16 -16%, '23-24 +64%. A pattern, not a promise.

'97-98 −39%'15-16 −16%'23-24 +64%

Signal = average snowfall in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996 ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24) vs this resort's own 30-year ERA5 baseline. n=3 — a lean, not a law. Updated monthly against measured snowfall Dec–Mar.

Full El Niño report →

Key

What the tiers mean

% vs each resort's own 30-year average in strong El Niño winters.

Tier	Signal	Means
A — Prime terrain	≥ +8%	Historically much snowier than normal.
B — Favored	+3% to +8%	Modest upside vs normal.
C — ENSO-proof	about −3% to +3%	Near-normal snowfall — a hedge, not a jackpot or bust.
D — Late bloomer	−3% to −8%	Often lighter early — aim Feb–Mar.
E — Timing play	≤ −8%	Often lighter overall — aim late winter.

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 6 past El Niño winters at La Hoya, ERA5 season snowfall median was 181 cm (71 in), about 4% below this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

JJA 2026 · ANOM +1.8°C

Analog season median

181cm

6 El Niño winters · 4% below median

All-season median

189cm

Across 31 ERA5 seasons (2026)

Phase	Seasons	Median	p25–p75	Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent	6	181cm	180cm – 186cm	2026, 2023, 2015, 2009, 2002, 1997
La Niña	4	190cm	166cm – 254cm	2022, 2010, 1999, 1998
ENSO-neutral	21	204cm	174cm – 263cm	2025, 2024, 2021, 2020, 2019, 2018

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Local Reports

0 reports

How accurate is this forecast?

We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.

→