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Val di Fassa ski resort
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Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain

Europe

Val di Fassa Snow Forecast

Projected to open Dec 4

Projected to open December 4, 2026

Best months to book: March, February, April · 30-yr snow record

Projected to open Dec 4

Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.

Last Snowfall

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Past 24 Hours

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Past 48 Hours

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7-Day Forecast

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Snow Depth

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Updated: Oct 16, 4:05 AM•Weather at base: 1,320m
SnowSure™ ScoreWhen to book
Projected to open Dec 4

Val di Fassa is projected to open December 4, 2026. Here is when it is usually best to book.

Best months to book: March, February, April.NovDecJan2Feb1Mar3AprMay

Best months to book

  1. #1March39cm avg
  2. #2February32cm avg
  3. #3April37cm avg

Ranked on 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. The live score returns when the lifts turn.

Snow Summary

Updated Oct 16 at 4:05 AM

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Today
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Next 6 days
Days 8–14 · Pro
Seasontotal
Wed14
Thu15
14 daystotal
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0
5
6
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SunOct 4
Mon5
Tue6
Wed7
Thu8
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Sat10
Sun11
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Tue13
TODAY16
Sat17
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Mon19
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Mon26
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Freezing line

Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro

Hourly Forecast

16 Fri
11° / 2°
17 Sat
9° / -1°
18 Sun
3° / -3°
19 Mon
7° / -3°
20 Tue
3° / -1°
21 Wed
3° / -0°
22 Thu
2° / -2°
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight23 Fri24 Sat25 Sun26 Mon27 Tue28 Wed29 Thu
Conditions⛅⛅⛅☁️☀️⛅☁️☁️⛅⛅☀️☀️☁️🌧️🌧️🌧️🌧️🌧️🌧️🌧️🌧️
some cloudssome cloudssome cloudscloudyclearsome cloudscloudycloudysome cloudssome cloudsclearclearcloudylight drizzlelight drizzledrizzlelight drizzlelight drizzledrizzlelight drizzlelight drizzle
Summit2,650 mModeled
Temp°C4°11°3°3°8°2°-1°3°-1°-1°6°-1°0°3°0°-1°3°0°-1°2°-1°
Feels like°C2°7°0°0°5°-1°-4°-1°-5°-3°4°-3°-2°-1°-3°-2°0°-3°-2°-4°-3°
Snowcm··············0.21.4·3.71.80.11.6
Precipmm·············0.30.72.32.16.12.71.42.4
Windkm/h2511327103251373473683
Mid-mountain1,985 mModeled
Temp°C7°15°7°7°12°6°3°8°3°3°10°3°4°8°4°3°7°4°3°6°3°
Feels like°C6°12°5°5°10°4°1°4°0°2°9°2°3°4°2°3°5°3°3°1°2°
Snowcm··················0.3··
Precipmm·············0.20.42.11.95.62.41.32.1
Windkm/h2511327103251373473683
Base1,320 mModeled
Temp°C10°19°9°10°16°9°8°12°7°7°14°7°8°12°8°8°11°8°7°10°7°
Feels like°C11°17°10°10°15°9°7°9°5°7°14°7°8°10°8°8°10°8°8°6°7°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm·············0.20.51.91.45.02.21.12.0
Windkm/h2511327103251373473683
Humidity%363145454066886490715883989293989297979788
0°C linem—————————————————————
Sunhours

Freeze line is the height where rain turns to snow. Plain: straight from the models. Marked ○: estimated from temperature. Sun is hours of actual sunshine, not day length; blank means we have no reading.

Forecast Range · SnowSure Pro

Every model for Val di Fassa, side by side for 14 days

Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here.

Unlock with Pro

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For Val di Fassa (alps), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

  • 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
  • 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
  • 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Snowfall Forecast Maps

The Alps region

14 Day map is in SnowSure ProUnlock with Pro

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27

Val di Fassa El Niño rank & forecast

Val di Fassa ranks #93 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier A, +9% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain: Historically snowed much more than normal in strong El Niño winters (≥ +8% vs this resort’s own 30-year average).

#93 of 488Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain

Strong-event signal: +9% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Val di Fassa averaged +9% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. The pattern has historically been a friend here. With a record-strength event forecast for winter 2026-27, Val di Fassa sits on the favorable side of the ledger. Analog winters: '97-98 -11%, '15-16 -11%, '23-24 +49%. A pattern, not a promise.

'97-98 −11%'15-16 −11%'23-24 +49%

Signal = average snowfall in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996 ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24) vs this resort's own 30-year ERA5 baseline. n=3 — a lean, not a law. Updated monthly against measured snowfall Dec–Mar.

Full El Niño report →

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 10 past El Niño winters at Val di Fassa, ERA5 season snowfall median was 240 cm (94 in), about 1% below this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

JAS 2026 · ANOM +2.16°C

Analog season median

240cm

10 El Niño winters · 1% below median

All-season median

244cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)

PhaseSeasonsMedianp25–p75Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent10240cm180cm – 329cm2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009
La Niña12247cm229cm – 363cm2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010
ENSO-neutral8223cm178cm – 320cm2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Local Reports

0 reports

How accurate is this forecast?

We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.

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Frequently asked questions about Val di Fassa

How much snow is Val di Fassa getting this week?
No significant snow is forecast at Val di Fassa over the next 7 days.
What is the 14-day snow forecast for Val di Fassa?
The full 14-day forecast for Val di Fassa — the SnowSure™ blend and every model we track, day by day — is part of SnowSure Pro. The first 7 days are free on this page.
How accurate are SnowSure forecasts for Val di Fassa?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell and publish the results — see our forecast verification pages for model-by-model accuracy, updated continuously.