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Whakapapa ski resort

📷 Whakapapa

Oceania

Whakapapa

41

Good

stable

Last Snowfall

Aug 19

2d ago

Past 24 Hours

0cm

Reported by Whakapapa

Past 48 Hours

0cm

Past 10 Days

19.8cm

14-Day Forecast

68.4cm

Snow Depth

75cm

Resort reported (website)
🎿

Powder Days

9

2026 season

☀️

Bluebird Days

2

2026 season

Updated: Aug 21, 3:08 PMWeather at base: 1630m

Overview

Whakapapa is a ski resort in Oceania, New Zealand. Today's SnowSure™ Score is 41/100 (Good), snow base 75 cm (29.5 in), 20 cm (7.9 in) of snow in the last 7 days. The 14-day ensemble forecast across seven weather models (ECMWF, GFS, GEM, JMA, ICON, Météo-France, Met Norway) calls for ~68 cm (26.8 in) of new snow. Conditions last updated 2026-08-21 15:08 UTC.

Resort Guide

Whakapapa is New Zealand’s largest ski area, located on the northwestern slopes of Mt Ruapehu in Tongariro National Park. The resort features over 550 hectares of skiable terrain, catering to all abilities with wide beginner slopes, intermediate trails, and advanced runs, as well as the renowned Sky Waka gondola offering panoramic views. Whakapapa’s amenities include a modern base area, equipment rentals, ski school, and multiple dining options, making it a versatile destination for families and adventure seekers. Its unique volcanic landscape and extensive facilities distinguish it as a premier ski destination in the Southern Hemisphere.

Resort Info

Summit2300m
Base1630m
Vertical670m
Lifts9/12
Runs17/67
Skiable Area1360 acres
Average snowfall68 inches / 173 cm
CountryNew Zealand

Season dates

OpenedMay 30, 2026
Projected closingOctober 26, 2026

Future dates are operator estimates and may change.

Ski passes

Powder Alliance

Buy pass →

Access tiers change by season — confirm benefits on the pass operator's site.

Top Après Ski

Lorenz's Bar & Café – Located at the base of Whakapapa, Lorenz's is renowned for its relaxed alpine atmosphere, hearty après-ski fare, and panoramic views of Mt Ruapehu, making it a favorite spot for skiers to unwind with drinks and share stories after a day on the slopes.

SnowSure™ ScoreAI
41
Good
stable

Major snowfall ahead - 68cm forecast.

Whakapapa is currently experiencing overcast skies with a temperature of -5°C and a snow depth of 75cm. The resort has received 20cm of snow in the past week, contributing to a season total of 77cm, which is 108% of the 5-year average for this time of year.

AI-generated summary

Depth

75cm depth — upper mountain may be better.

Recent

There has been no new snowfall in the past 24 hours, but the area received 20cm in the last week.

Forecast

The 14-day snow outlook predicts an average of 68cm of new snow.

Historic

Season-to-date snow accumulation is 108% of the 5-year average, which is 71cm.

Data updated Fri, Aug 21, 03:08 PM UTC

Snow Summary

2300mECMWF Model

Updated Aug 21, 2026 at 3:08 PM

20cm
24h
68cm
Past 10d
14-Day Forecast
20
Prev10d
Now21
2.9
S22
23
S23
1.8
M24
1.7
T25
W26
7.9
T27
Past
Today
Forecast

Snowfall Forecast Maps

New Zealand region

Current Conditions

Reported Fri, Aug 21, 03:08 PM UTC

Depth by source

every reading we have
  • Resort ReportedBase 75cm
  • Open-MeteoBase 10cm · Summit 10cm

The headline depth uses the most trusted available source. We show every reading so you can judge for yourself.

Freezing Level

1538m

❄️ Below base - cold & dry snow expected

Base

1630m

Temp

-0.6°C

Wind

8.4km/h

Snow Depth

75cm

Resort reported (website)

Resort 75cm · Model 10cm

14-Day Forecast

4.4cm

Mid-Mountain

1965m

Temp

--°C

Wind

9km/h

Snow Depth

75cm

Resort reported (website)

14-Day Forecast

68.4cm

Summit

2300m

Temp

-4.9°C

Wind

8.4km/h

Snow Depth

75cm

Open-Meteo model

14-Day Forecast

63.3cm

SurfaceHard Pack(softer trail conditions)

Ops signals

  • Freezing level below base — snowmaking window open
  • Fresh snow + cold temps — good grooming window next 48h

Lifts Open

9/12
75%

open

Runs Open

17/67
25%

open

Live Conditions

Whakapapa Webcams

All Webcams

Whakapapa

Whakapapa

Whakapapa

Whakapapa

Whakapapa

Whakapapa

6 webcams • Click to expand

Local Reports

0 reports
SnowSure™ Forecast Range

Daily Snowfall Forecast by Model

Black line = verified SnowSure™ blend (not a simple average). Weights update weekly from measured snowfall at SNOTEL stations and resort reports.

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For Whakapapa (southern alps), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

  • 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
  • 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
  • 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Hourly Forecast Detail

AM / PM / Night breakdown with wind and freezing level

NWP models refresh up to 4× daily · Last synced Aug 21, 3:08 PM

Hourly Forecast Detail
 
Sat, Aug 22
-3 / -63.5cm4.9mm
Sun, Aug 23
-1 / -622.5cm32.3mm
Mon, Aug 24
-1 / -61.2cm1.8mm
Tue, Aug 25
-1 / -71.6cm2.3mm
Wed, Aug 26
2 / -42.7cm4mm
Thu, Aug 27
1 / -17.2cm10.2mm
PeriodAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight
Snow (cm)0.51.21.810.97.34.30.10.60.50.30.90.40.40.41.92.32.92
Precip (mm)0.71.72.515.610.56.20.20.90.70.41.30.60.50.82.73.34.12.8
Temp (°C)-4-3-4-3-2-5-5-2-6-5-2-5-11-3-10-1
Wind (km/h)101210202217141110101786127141311
Gusts (km/h)424844969475564048415139474640313735

14-Day Snow Forecast by Model

Summit elevation (2300m)

ECMWF
52.4cm
GFS
74.5cm
GEM
52.1cm
JMA
46.9cm
ICON
36.7cm
Météo-Fr
17cm
SnowSure™
68.4cm

10-Day Forecast

Sat

22

🌧️

-2.9°

-5.9°

2.9cm

13 km/h

Sun

23

❄️

-1°

-5.8°

23cm

25 km/h

Mon

24

❄️

-1.4°

-6.5°

1.8cm

15 km/h

Tue

25

🌧️

-1.4°

-6.7°

1.7cm

19 km/h

Wed

26

🌧️

1.5°

-4.4°

15 km/h

Thu

27

🌧️

0.7°

-1.5°

7.9cm

16 km/h

Fri

28

🌧️

-0.5°

-1.8°

5.1cm

21 km/h

Sat

29

❄️

-0.3°

-2.2°

4.4cm

21 km/h

Sun

30

❄️

-1°

-4.5°

4.8cm

15 km/h

Mon

31

☁️

0.6°

-4.9°

0.2cm

11 km/h

Summit elevation (2300m) • ECMWF model

Season vs Historic

Updated Fri, Aug 21, 03:08 PM UTC

77cm

Season Total

This Season to Date

+8%

vs 5-Year Avg

71cm avg by now

+97%

vs 30-Year Avg

39cm avg by now

71cm

5-Yr Avg by Now

This season is at 77 cm to date. The last completed season totaled ~76.7 cm. That's 8% above the 5-year average (71 cm). Versus the 30-year baseline: 97% above the 30-year average (39 cm).

Whakapapa Snow History

Average annual snowfall is 67cm with an average of 33 snowfall days per season. The table below shows monthly averages across 31 seasons of archive data (modeled snowpack at mid-elevation).

Average monthly snowfall history
MonthAvg SnowfallSnowfall DaysAvg Base DepthMax Base DepthBiggest Snowfall
June8.9cm5 days1cm7cm4.8cm
July16.3cm8 days1cm6cm6cm
August17.6cm8 days1cm8cm5.8cm
September15.8cm6 days0cm5cm5.7cm
October7.1cm4 days0cm3cm3.9cm

Source: SnowSure archive · Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis at mid-elevation. Depth is modeled, not resort-reported.

Season at a Glance

Current season(2026)

Opened May 30, 2026

Scheduled close: Oct 26, 2026

Multi-season averages will appear once SnowSure has tracked more than one full season.

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 5 past El Niño winters at Whakapapa, ERA5 season snowfall median was 42 cm (17 in), about 3% above this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

MJJ 2026 · ANOM +1.39°C

Analog season median

42 cm

5 El Niño winters · 3% above median

All-season median

41 cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026)

PhaseSeasonsMedianp25–p75Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent542 cm26 cm – 45 cm2023, 2015, 2009, 2002, 1997
La Niña418 cm7 cm – 51 cm2022, 2010, 1999, 1998
ENSO-neutral2142 cm23 cm – 127 cm2025, 2024, 2021, 2020, 2019, 2018

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Best Months to Visit

August

Peak Season

July

Peak Season

September

Good

June

Good

Note: Based on typical ski season patterns for this region.

Frequently asked questions about Whakapapa

Where is Whakapapa?
Whakapapa is a ski resort in New Zealand.
How high is Whakapapa?
Whakapapa runs from a base elevation of 1,630 m (5,348 ft) to a summit of 2,300 m (7,546 ft), giving a vertical drop of 670 m (2,198 ft).
How big is Whakapapa?
Whakapapa has 1,360 acres (550 hectares) of skiable terrain, 67 marked runs and 12 lifts.
Which ski pass covers Whakapapa?
Whakapapa is on the Powder Alliance. Access terms such as blackout dates and day limits vary by pass tier, so check the pass operator for the current season.
When is ski season at Whakapapa?
Whakapapa typically operates from July to October. Exact opening and closing dates shift each year with snowfall — check the resort's current season dates before booking.
How much snow does Whakapapa get in a typical season?
Whakapapa averages 68 inches / 173 cm of snowfall in a typical season. Any individual season can run well above or below that.